Following the oil agreement between the United States and Venezuela, analysts generally believe that due to the difficulties in crude oil extraction and refining in Venezuela, and U.S. refineries already operating near their capacity limits, the agreement is unlikely to lower U.S. fuel prices in the short term or replace oil supplies disrupted by a blockage in the Strait of Hormuz.

Since Donald Trump announced this "largest oil deal in world history" on August 28, U.S. crude oil prices have risen instead of falling. On Thursday morning, WTI crude futures rose 0.7% to $90.83 per barrel, and Brent crude rose 1.1% to $95.68 per barrel, primarily due to escalating geopolitical risks and supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts point out that Venezuela's oil production bottlenecks and aging infrastructure mean that a significant increase in output would take several years.