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U.S. Treasury yields saw their largest single-day drop since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis, as the market pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike to January next year.
On Thursday, the U.S. Treasury market experienced its most significant single-day rally in three years, driven by a triple whammy of AI tech stock sell-offs, escalating French sovereign debt concerns, and Middle East oil price shocks. The 10-year Treasury yield fell by 19.3 basis points in a single day to 4.952%, dropping back below 5% and marking its largest single-day decline since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in March 2023. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike have subsequently shifted, with federal funds futures now fully pricing in a 25 basis point hike in January next year, previously anticipated for December.
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Arbitrage trades in European government bonds have triggered successive liquidations, leading to nearly a hundred London traders exiting the market, with the French 10-year government bond yield surpassing 5%.
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An Israeli court ordered the release of nine settlers suspected of attacking journalists and diplomats in the West Bank, as UN Secretary-General Guterres described the situation there as "out of control."
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by approximately 11 basis points from its previous close, now at 5.04%.
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is down approximately 9 basis points from its previous close, currently at 5.35%.
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