According to the final New York Times/Siena College poll before the midterm elections, Democrats lead Republicans in almost all seven key swing states that will determine control of the Senate. For example, in Michigan, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers 53% to 42%; in Texas, Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 50% to 43%. However, polls are not predictions of actual election results and have often been inaccurate in the past.