According to a CNBC report on November 6, the probability wagered on Kalshi of Anthropic announcing an IPO before December dropped from nearly 90% to 57% over the past week; meanwhile, the probability of an IPO announcement before January of the following year fell from over 88% to 68%. The report noted that the contracts evaluate the timing of the official IPO announcement rather than the completion of the listing. These are prediction market probabilities at the time of the report, not a commitment to list.