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Election forecast
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
Bloomberg Markets reports that prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are outperforming traditional polls in election forecasting, but critics warn they pose new risks to democracy.
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Election forecast
24H Trending
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1
Middle East Tensions Escalate: Houthis Claim Multiple Attacks on Saudi Arabia, Brent Oil Surpasses $112, Iran Claims to Have Struck Oil Tanker in Strait of Hormuz
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2
AI Companies and French Sovereign Debt Face Stress Test: CoreWeave CDS Spreads Exceed 1,000 Basis Points, France's 10-Year Government Bond Yield Breaks 5% for the First Time Since 2002, Moody's to Review France's Rating
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3
Tesla and NVIDIA Invest KRW 3.7 Trillion in Samsung Electro-Mechanics, Securing AI Chip Substrate Production Capacity
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Arbitrage trades in European government bonds have triggered successive liquidations, leading to nearly a hundred London traders exiting the market, with the French 10-year government bond yield surpassing 5%.
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5
An Israeli court ordered the release of nine settlers suspected of attacking journalists and diplomats in the West Bank, as UN Secretary-General Guterres described the situation there as "out of control."
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6
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by approximately 11 basis points from its previous close, now at 5.04%.
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is down approximately 9 basis points from its previous close, currently at 5.35%.
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8
Houthis claim Saudi Arabia targeted an Indian boat in Red Sea, rescued 14 Indian nationals
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9
Rising U.S. Treasury yields are diminishing the appeal of biotechnology stocks, prompting investors to exercise caution. These stocks are often perceived as high-risk "all-or-nothing" bets, heavily reliant on the success of breakthrough medical solutions.
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10
iFLYTEK released its Spark X2.6 large model, featuring an edge-cloud integrated architecture, with the edge-side model capable of processing sensitive information locally.
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