Macroeconomics
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U.S. Q2 GDP Grew by 1.5%, Missing Consensus Estimates
The U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.5% in the second quarter, falling short of the consensus estimate of 1.8%.
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Analysts expect the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged
A Bloomberg analysis notes that, due to recent fluctuations in energy prices, the market widely expects the Bank of England (BOE) to keep interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting.
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A Look Back at 2021: The Five Key Factors Affecting Bitcoin Price Fluctuations
2021 was a year of extreme volatility for the Bitcoin market, with prices surging past $40,000 at the start of the year, reaching an all-time high of nearly $69,000 in November, and then experiencing a pullback toward the end of the year.During this period, widespread adoption by institutional investors and enterprises, the global macroeconomic narrative of inflation hedging, changes in regulatory policies by various governments, the statements and actions of Tesla and its founder Elon Musk, as well as market supply and demand dynamics and shifts in sentiment, collectively constituted the key drivers influencing the price fluctuations of Bitcoin.These factors intertwined to profoundly shape Bitcoin’s market performance in 2021.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
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US 30-Year Treasury Yield Stays Above 5% for Longest Period Since 2007, Signaling Shift in Bond Market Dynamics
The US 30-year Treasury yield has closed above 5% for 14 consecutive sessions, marking its longest such run since July 2007. This year, it has finished above 5% 29 times, the most in any calendar year
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Macro Investor Raoul Pal States Bitcoin's Price Is Primarily Driven by Global Liquidity, Not News
Macro investor Raoul Pal stated on Monday that Bitcoin (BTC) is primarily driven by global liquidity, not daily news or earnings. He cited an 87% correlation between Bitcoin and global liquidity, and
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Will the Depreciation of the U.S. Dollar Drive Up the Price of Bitcoin? An Analysis of the Complex Relationship and Recent Shifts
The relationship between the depreciation of the U.S. dollar and the price of Bitcoin has historically been complex and dynamic. Traditionally, Bitcoin has often been viewed as “digital gold” and has garnered attention as a hedging tool when the dollar weakens. However, as of 2026, the market has observed that this negative correlation is weakening and has even turned positive during certain periods.JPMorgan Chase Research by and VanEck indicates that the correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. Dollar Index has undergone a structural shift; its performance is now more influenced by short-term capital flows, market sentiment, and institutional investor behavior—such as the spot ETF effect—rather than solely by the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven attributes. Understanding this relationship requires an in-depth analysis of the specific drivers of U.S. dollar depreciation.
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Opinion: The Market Is Ignoring the “Gray Rhino” Risk; If Oil Prices Return to $100, It Could Deal a Blow to the Global Economy
Svmuu News: Jiang Zhuoer posted on X, stating that the market is currently overlooking a massive “gray rhino” risk—namely, the continued rise in international oil prices. He pointed out that Brent cru
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Bitcoin Analysis of Correlation with U.S. Stocks: Will Markets Move in Tandem During a Market Crash?
Bitcoin The correlation with the U.S. stock market has long been a focus of attention. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a high degree of convergence with the S&P 500 Index, particularly after institutional investors entered the market.However, as of July 2026, the latest data shows that the short-term correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. stock market has declined significantly, even turning negative, sparking debate over whether it can serve as an independent safe-haven asset. Macroeconomic factors, Federal Reserve policy, and institutional adoption continue to influence the performance of Bitcoin, causing its role to oscillate between that of “digital gold” and a high-risk asset.
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Semiconductor Stocks Face Several Key Events Over the Next Two Weeks, with AI Capital Expenditures Taking Center Stage
Svmuu News: Paradis Labs posted on X stating that it is currently difficult to determine whether semiconductor stocks have bottomed out. Most AI infrastructure-related stocks rose that day, with SIVE,
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Wash: The two aspects of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate—price stability and maximum employment—are not in conflict with each other
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash outlined his views on the economy. Wash stated that economic conditions are robust and financial markets appear to be functioning well, but the housing market ha
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Bitcoin What is the relationship between this and stocks?
Bitcoin The relationship between Bitcoin and stocks is complex and constantly evolving. Initially viewed as an independent asset class, the correlation between and U.S. stocks—particularly tech stocks—has strengthened significantly since the 2020 pandemic and the implementation of quantitative easing policies.Macroeconomic policies, inflation, interest rates, investor sentiment, and institutional participation are the primary factors influencing the correlation between the two. Although decoupling may occur during specific periods, global liquidity and risk appetite remain the key drivers of their respective trends.
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Federal Reserve Semiannual Report: Inflation Remains High, M2 Money Supply Growth Rate Moderate
Svmuu News Federal Reserve released a semi-annual report, which noted that the labor market remains generally stable, with “solid” nominal wage growth accompanied by “strong” productivity gains; bank
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South Korean Think Tank: Chip Boom Offsets Manufacturing Slump; South Korean Economy Remains on Track for Recovery
Svmuu News: A South Korean government-affiliated think tank said Wednesday that the South Korean economy remains on a recovery track, with the boom in the chip industry offsetting the slowdown in the
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U.S. national debt has risen to $39 trillion, with annual interest payments totaling approximately $1 trillion
Svmuu News: The U.S. national debt has risen to approximately $39 trillion; the size of the public debt is equivalent to the total U.S. GDP, and annual interest payments have reached about $1 trillion
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Markets stabilized ahead of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, with Bitcoin. holding steady at $61,000
Svmuu News: On the eve of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, sentiment in the crypto market gradually stabilized, with Bitcoin holding above $61,000 and Ethereum climbing above $1,700, continuing the
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Analyst: Bitcoins face a greater risk of decline; selling call options currently offers good value for money.
Svmuu News: Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, posted that Bitcoins have reclaimed the $60,000 psychological level. Currently, GEX is concentrated around the $60,000 mark; as the price has been
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The Wall Street Journal: Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 115,000; Unemployment Rate Expected to Remain Steady
Svmuu News: Traders and investors will be closely watching the June nonfarm payrolls report, which is set to be released later today. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal forecast 115,000 ne
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Cathie Wood: New AI Technologies Are Ushering in a Productivity Cycle; the Narrative of a Resurgence in Inflation Is Being Dampened by Macroeconomic Data
Svmuu News: Cathie Wood, founder of ARK Invest, shared her latest market outlook on X, stating that a series of recent macroeconomic data points are steadily alleviating market concerns about a resurg
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Standard Chartered: In the second half of the year, we recommend overweighting technology and communication services and underweighting consumer staples.
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered Bank has released its Global Market Outlook for the second half of 2026. In China, given the potential for a valuation re-rating across the broader market, Standard Char
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Tom Lee: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets, and macroeconomic headwinds are weighing on BTC and ETH
Svmuu News: Tom Lee posted on X, stating that cryptocurrencies are a highly volatile asset class, and that certain macro headwinds are currently putting pressure on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Current headw
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Capital Economics: The Rally in U.S. Treasuries Is Expected to Lose Momentum
Svmuu News: Thomas Mathews, Head of Asia-Pacific Markets at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the rally in U.S. Treasuries—which had previously driven yields lower—is expected to lose momentu
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CITIC Securities: While the positive outlook for AI computing power remains unchanged, volatility has intensified; we recommend exercising caution when buying at high prices.
Svmuu News: A research report by CITIC Securities points out that the following factors will determine the market trend in the third quarter: On the fundamentals front, AI computing power continues to
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Cathie Wood: Growing Demand for Asset Preservation and Cross-Border Allocation Tools May Boost Demand for Bitcoin and Digital Assets
Svmuu News: Cathie Wood, founder of ARK Invest, stated on X that capital outflows from the world’s more unstable countries will provide new upward momentum for Bitcoin and other digital assets. She no
-
U.S. Q2 GDP Grew by 1.5%, Missing Consensus Estimates
The U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.5% in the second quarter, falling short of the consensus estimate of 1.8%.
-
Analysts expect the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged
A Bloomberg analysis notes that, due to recent fluctuations in energy prices, the market widely expects the Bank of England (BOE) to keep interest rates unchanged at its upcoming meeting.
-
US 30-Year Treasury Yield Stays Above 5% for Longest Period Since 2007, Signaling Shift in Bond Market Dynamics
The US 30-year Treasury yield has closed above 5% for 14 consecutive sessions, marking its longest such run since July 2007. This year, it has finished above 5% 29 times, the most in any calendar year
-
Macro Investor Raoul Pal States Bitcoin's Price Is Primarily Driven by Global Liquidity, Not News
Macro investor Raoul Pal stated on Monday that Bitcoin (BTC) is primarily driven by global liquidity, not daily news or earnings. He cited an 87% correlation between Bitcoin and global liquidity, and
-
Opinion: The Market Is Ignoring the “Gray Rhino” Risk; If Oil Prices Return to $100, It Could Deal a Blow to the Global Economy
Svmuu News: Jiang Zhuoer posted on X, stating that the market is currently overlooking a massive “gray rhino” risk—namely, the continued rise in international oil prices. He pointed out that Brent cru
-
Semiconductor Stocks Face Several Key Events Over the Next Two Weeks, with AI Capital Expenditures Taking Center Stage
Svmuu News: Paradis Labs posted on X stating that it is currently difficult to determine whether semiconductor stocks have bottomed out. Most AI infrastructure-related stocks rose that day, with SIVE,
-
Wash: The two aspects of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate—price stability and maximum employment—are not in conflict with each other
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash outlined his views on the economy. Wash stated that economic conditions are robust and financial markets appear to be functioning well, but the housing market ha
-
Federal Reserve Semiannual Report: Inflation Remains High, M2 Money Supply Growth Rate Moderate
Svmuu News Federal Reserve released a semi-annual report, which noted that the labor market remains generally stable, with “solid” nominal wage growth accompanied by “strong” productivity gains; bank
-
South Korean Think Tank: Chip Boom Offsets Manufacturing Slump; South Korean Economy Remains on Track for Recovery
Svmuu News: A South Korean government-affiliated think tank said Wednesday that the South Korean economy remains on a recovery track, with the boom in the chip industry offsetting the slowdown in the
-
U.S. national debt has risen to $39 trillion, with annual interest payments totaling approximately $1 trillion
Svmuu News: The U.S. national debt has risen to approximately $39 trillion; the size of the public debt is equivalent to the total U.S. GDP, and annual interest payments have reached about $1 trillion
-
Markets stabilized ahead of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, with Bitcoin. holding steady at $61,000
Svmuu News: On the eve of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, sentiment in the crypto market gradually stabilized, with Bitcoin holding above $61,000 and Ethereum climbing above $1,700, continuing the
-
Analyst: Bitcoins face a greater risk of decline; selling call options currently offers good value for money.
Svmuu News: Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, posted that Bitcoins have reclaimed the $60,000 psychological level. Currently, GEX is concentrated around the $60,000 mark; as the price has been
-
The Wall Street Journal: Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 115,000; Unemployment Rate Expected to Remain Steady
Svmuu News: Traders and investors will be closely watching the June nonfarm payrolls report, which is set to be released later today. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal forecast 115,000 ne
-
Cathie Wood: New AI Technologies Are Ushering in a Productivity Cycle; the Narrative of a Resurgence in Inflation Is Being Dampened by Macroeconomic Data
Svmuu News: Cathie Wood, founder of ARK Invest, shared her latest market outlook on X, stating that a series of recent macroeconomic data points are steadily alleviating market concerns about a resurg
-
Standard Chartered: In the second half of the year, we recommend overweighting technology and communication services and underweighting consumer staples.
Svmuu News: Standard Chartered Bank has released its Global Market Outlook for the second half of 2026. In China, given the potential for a valuation re-rating across the broader market, Standard Char
-
Tom Lee: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets, and macroeconomic headwinds are weighing on BTC and ETH
Svmuu News: Tom Lee posted on X, stating that cryptocurrencies are a highly volatile asset class, and that certain macro headwinds are currently putting pressure on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Current headw
-
Capital Economics: The Rally in U.S. Treasuries Is Expected to Lose Momentum
Svmuu News: Thomas Mathews, Head of Asia-Pacific Markets at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the rally in U.S. Treasuries—which had previously driven yields lower—is expected to lose momentu
-
CITIC Securities: While the positive outlook for AI computing power remains unchanged, volatility has intensified; we recommend exercising caution when buying at high prices.
Svmuu News: A research report by CITIC Securities points out that the following factors will determine the market trend in the third quarter: On the fundamentals front, AI computing power continues to
-
Cathie Wood: Growing Demand for Asset Preservation and Cross-Border Allocation Tools May Boost Demand for Bitcoin and Digital Assets
Svmuu News: Cathie Wood, founder of ARK Invest, stated on X that capital outflows from the world’s more unstable countries will provide new upward momentum for Bitcoin and other digital assets. She no
-
Serenity: Global markets are undergoing a correction, and it is unclear how long it will last.
Svmuu News: “The White-Haired Stock Guru” Serenity posted on X, stating that global markets are currently undergoing a correction, and it is unclear when it will end. The KOSPI fell 8.18%, with SK Hyn
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Ahead of the PCE data release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan has died at the age of 100
Svmuu News: Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has died at the age of 100. According to NBC News, citing his wife, the network’s chief foreign affairs correspondent and chief Washington co
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Wash: I hope the market will price assets based on real economic conditions, rather than following interpretations from Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that he hopes financial markets will price securities based on their own assessment of the economy, rather than attempting to price them based o
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Donald Trump: “I don’t want to be another Hoover; reaching an agreement is the way to avoid an economic collapse.”
Svmuu News: U.S. President Donald Trump delivered remarks on Wednesday following the conclusion of the G7 summit in France, defending the agreement reached between the United States and Iran and stati
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A Look Back at 2021: The Five Key Factors Affecting Bitcoin Price Fluctuations
2021 was a year of extreme volatility for the Bitcoin market, with prices surging past $40,000 at the start of the year, reaching an all-time high of nearly $69,000 in November, and then experiencing a pullback toward the end of the year.During this period, widespread adoption by institutional investors and enterprises, the global macroeconomic narrative of inflation hedging, changes in regulatory policies by various governments, the statements and actions of Tesla and its founder Elon Musk, as well as market supply and demand dynamics and shifts in sentiment, collectively constituted the key drivers influencing the price fluctuations of Bitcoin.These factors intertwined to profoundly shape Bitcoin’s market performance in 2021.
-
Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
-
Will the Depreciation of the U.S. Dollar Drive Up the Price of Bitcoin? An Analysis of the Complex Relationship and Recent Shifts
The relationship between the depreciation of the U.S. dollar and the price of Bitcoin has historically been complex and dynamic. Traditionally, Bitcoin has often been viewed as “digital gold” and has garnered attention as a hedging tool when the dollar weakens. However, as of 2026, the market has observed that this negative correlation is weakening and has even turned positive during certain periods.JPMorgan Chase Research by and VanEck indicates that the correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. Dollar Index has undergone a structural shift; its performance is now more influenced by short-term capital flows, market sentiment, and institutional investor behavior—such as the spot ETF effect—rather than solely by the U.S. dollar’s safe-haven attributes. Understanding this relationship requires an in-depth analysis of the specific drivers of U.S. dollar depreciation.
-
Bitcoin Analysis of Correlation with U.S. Stocks: Will Markets Move in Tandem During a Market Crash?
Bitcoin The correlation with the U.S. stock market has long been a focus of attention. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a high degree of convergence with the S&P 500 Index, particularly after institutional investors entered the market.However, as of July 2026, the latest data shows that the short-term correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. stock market has declined significantly, even turning negative, sparking debate over whether it can serve as an independent safe-haven asset. Macroeconomic factors, Federal Reserve policy, and institutional adoption continue to influence the performance of Bitcoin, causing its role to oscillate between that of “digital gold” and a high-risk asset.
-
Bitcoin What is the relationship between this and stocks?
Bitcoin The relationship between Bitcoin and stocks is complex and constantly evolving. Initially viewed as an independent asset class, the correlation between and U.S. stocks—particularly tech stocks—has strengthened significantly since the 2020 pandemic and the implementation of quantitative easing policies.Macroeconomic policies, inflation, interest rates, investor sentiment, and institutional participation are the primary factors influencing the correlation between the two. Although decoupling may occur during specific periods, global liquidity and risk appetite remain the key drivers of their respective trends.
Macroeconomics
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