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3/24
22:32
Polymarket's "U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Ends by End of March" Probability Temporarily Reported at 54%, Down 26% in 1 Hour
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the U.S. Senate has voted to approve Senator Marin as the Secretary of Homeland Security. The probability of the event "U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Ends by March 31" on Polymarket has dropped to 54%, down 26% in 1 hour, with trading volume nearing $1 million.
Furthermore, the probability of the event "U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Ends by End of March" has surged significantly in the short term, temporarily reported at 24%, up 13% in 1 hour. The probability of the event "U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Ends Between March 24-27" is temporarily reported at 13%, up 3% in 1 hour.
During last week's nomination hearing, Marin expressed support for the Trump administration's immigration policies. Marin also urged Democrats to vote quickly to pass the budget bill for the Department of Homeland Security to "restart" the agency. Marin also stated at the hearing, "As Secretary of Homeland Security, I will protect everyone. My goal for the next six months is to keep the Department of Homeland Security off the front pages of the media every day." Since last year, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security has frequently made headlines due to issues like cracking down on illegal immigration. Democrats have demanded reforms to the Department of Homeland Security and federal law enforcement operations, threatening not to support the budget bill for the department otherwise. The Department of Homeland Security has been in a "shutdown" since February 14 due to exhausted funds.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
22:30
Cryptocurrency market generally rises, AI sector surges over 10%, only RWA sector slightly declines
According to SoSoValue data, cryptocurrency market sectors generally maintain an upward trend. The AI sector performed notably, rising 10.58% in 24 hours. Among them, Siren (SIREN), which experienced a significant drop yesterday, rebounded sharply, surging 48.37%. Bittensor (TAO) and Venice Token (VVV) rose 14.61% and 18.15%, respectively. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) rose 0.48%, holding above $70,000, and Ethereum (ETH) rose 1.39%, trading in a narrow range around the $2,100 mark.
In other sectors, the Meme sector rose 3.58% in 24 hours, with Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) up 7.89%; the DeFi sector rose 3.02%, with Hyperliquid (HYPE) up 8.24%; the Layer2 sector rose 1.75%, with Mantle (MNT) up 1.85%; the Layer1 sector rose 1.23%, with Zcash (ZEC) up 7.07%; the CeFi sector rose 0.92%, with FTX (FTT) up 5.30%; the PayFi sector rose 0.89%, with Stellar (XLM) up 9.20%.
Additionally, only the RWA sector slightly declined by 0.15%. Within the sector, Sky (SKY) fell 2.18%, but Ondo Finance (ONDO) saw a slight increase of 1.31%.
The cryptocurrency sector indices reflecting historical sector performance show that the ssiAI, ssiDeFi, and ssiMeme indices rose 8.58%, 4.74%, and 2.21%, respectively.
22:24
An address goes long on crude oil, with a total position value of $89.79 million, incurring a floating loss of over $1.7 million.
According to monitoring by Ai Yi, address 0x94d...33814 opened positions on Hyperliquid from last night until early morning, shorting BTC while going long on crude oil. The total position value reached $89.79 million, making it currently the top BTC holder on Hyperliquid.
BTC 40x Short: Holds 1,000 BTC, valued at $70.65 million, with an entry price of $69,614. BRENTOIL 20x Long: Holds 202,000 units, valued at $19.16 million, with an entry price of $98.32. Both positions are currently in a floating loss state, with a total floating loss exceeding $1.7 million.
22:08
Analyst: Oil prices are expected to remain high until the conflict with Iran ends
Svmuu News Oil prices fell sharply as the United States pushed to end the war with Iran. Ajay Parmar, head of crude oil markets at commodity research firm ICIS, said, "Oil prices will continue to be volatile as the market is influenced by both fundamentals and rhetoric. The fundamentals haven't changed—nearly 10 million barrels per day of crude supply in the Middle East remains disrupted, and until this war ends, we expect oil prices to remain high." (Jin10)
22:06
U.S. XRP Spot ETF Records Single-Day Total Net Inflow of $1.3999 Million
Svmuu News According to data from SoSoValue, the XRP spot ETF recorded a total single-day net inflow of $1.3999 million yesterday (Eastern Time, March 24).
Yesterday, only the Bitwise XRP ETF (XRP) saw net inflows, with a single-day net inflow of $1.3999 million. Its historical total net inflow has now reached $376 million.
As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of the XRP spot ETF is $979 million, with an XRP net asset ratio of 1.13%. The historical cumulative net inflow has reached $1.21 billion.
22:03
An address deposited $2 million USDC into Hyperliquid and shorted CL
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a newly created address deposited $2 million USDC into Hyperliquid and opened a short position on CL with 5x leverage.
21:53
Polymarket's "SpaceX IPO by June 30" Probability Rises to 75%, Up 32% in 24 Hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of the event "SpaceX will IPO before June 30" has risen to 75%, up 32% in 24 hours.
Additionally, the probability of the event "SpaceX will IPO before September 30" is currently reported at 86%, and the probability of "SpaceX will IPO before December 31" is currently reported at 90%.
According to a report by The Information, Elon Musk's SpaceX plans to file for an IPO as early as this week.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Polymarket's "SpaceX IPO by June 30" Probability Rises to 75%, Up 32% in 24 Hours
21:49
British Media: Iran Prefers Negotiations with Vance, Accuses Kushner and Witkof of "Betrayal"
According to a report by the British Daily Telegraph, Iran has refused to negotiate with U.S. Middle East envoy Witkof and Trump's son-in-law Kushner, accusing them of "betrayal." Gulf sources indicate that Iran will not sit down with Witkof and Kushner because Tehran came under military attack just hours after their meeting in February. U.S. Vice President Vance has largely remained silent during this conflict. If negotiations resume later this week in Islamabad, Pakistan, Vance is seen as the leading candidate for chief negotiator. "Vance is the preferred choice," a Gulf source said regarding Iran's stance. "They do not want to work with Kushner and Witkof because they betrayed their trust." The source added that Iran believes Vance will honor his commitments, and his involvement is considered appropriate for negotiations with Iranian Parliament Speaker Kalibaf. The vice president potentially taking over as the new head of the U.S. negotiation team suggests the White House aims to avoid further economic losses and ease tensions, although the strategy to end the war remains unclear. (Jin10)
21:46
Trump says Vance is involved in negotiations with Iran to end the war
Svmuu News U.S. President Trump said on Tuesday that Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are leading negotiations with Iran and expressed optimism about reaching a deal. Sources from Iran told CNN that Tehran is willing to listen to "sustainable" proposals to end the war.
Meanwhile, Israel launched a new round of strikes against Iran, and Tehran also attacked Tel Aviv. An Israeli official said an agreement "does not seem practical at the moment." Two regional sources said Iran has indicated to the Trump administration that it does not wish to restart negotiations with envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner, preferring instead to engage with Vice President JD Vance.
In addition, approximately 1,000 soldiers from the U.S. Army's 82nd Airborne Division are expected to be deployed to the Middle East in the coming days. Republicans once again blocked a resolution that would have required Trump to seek congressional authorization for future military action against Iran.
21:38
Flowdesk-associated address deposits 63,250 ETH to Binance within 24 hours, totaling $135 million in value
According to monitoring by Ai Yi, a Flowdesk-associated address (0x768E...a3) deposited 63,250 ETH to Binance within the past 24 hours, with a total value reaching $135 million and an average deposit price of $2,145. Flowdesk is a French company primarily serving institutions, exchanges, and project teams, with core businesses including market making, over-the-counter (OTC) trading, and asset management.
21:33
U.S. Stock Market Closes with Crypto Sector Plunging Across the Board, Circle (CRCL) Drops Over 20%
Svmuu News According to data from msx.com, at the close of U.S. trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.18%, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.37%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.84%. The crypto sector weakened collectively, with Circle down 20.11%, Coinbase down 9.76%, SharpLink down 4.53%, Solana down 2.43%, Bitmine down 2.21%, and MicroStrategy (MSTR) down 1.41%.
It is reported that msx.com is a decentralized RWA trading platform that has cumulatively listed hundreds of RWA tokens, covering U.S. stock and ETF token targets such as AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NFLX, and NVDA.
21:32
Precious metals lead the gains, European stock indices rise, crude oil retreats against the trend
According to the latest data from Gate, the price of gold has risen to $4,578.25 per ounce, with an intraday increase of 2.32%. The price of silver has climbed to $73.917 per ounce, marking an intraday gain of 3.85%.
The latest quote for BVIX (BTC Volatility Index) is 52.15, representing an intraday decline of 2.52%. The latest quote for EVIX (ETH Volatility Index) is 75.82, indicating an intraday increase of 0.29%.
In the foreign exchange market, the US Dollar against Offshore Chinese Yuan (USD/CNH) fell 0.03% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 6.88979. The US Dollar against Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) rose 0.04% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 158.716.
Regarding global stock indices, the Europe 50 Index (EUSTX50) rose 0.68% intraday to 5,641.63 points; the UK FTSE 100 Index (UK100) rose 0.32% intraday to 10,039.28 points; the Germany DAX40 Index (GER40) rose 0.37% intraday to 22,943.60 points.
In the commodities sector, WTI crude oil fell 0.53% intraday to $88.17 per barrel. Brent crude oil fell 1.40% intraday to $98.38 per barrel.
Gate enables users to directly trade traditional financial market products within the platform, offering one-stop access to multiple asset classes including precious metals, foreign exchange, global stock CFDs, major indices, and commodities. This facilitates deep integration between crypto assets and traditional financial assets. Gate's TradFi-related features are fully integrated into the Gate App and Web platform. Users can conveniently participate in global asset price trading without switching platforms, unlocking more strategies and opportunities beyond the crypto market, and continuously enhancing their diversified asset allocation experience.
21:29
Svmuu Morning Brief
1. U.S. House Republicans reject bundling housing bill with cryptocurrency legislation;
2. 7 newly created wallets withdrew nearly 75,000 ETH from Binance within 16 hours, worth approximately $161 million;
3. Jump Trading calls Terraform Labs' $4.4 billion lawsuit a "blame-shifting" tactic;
4. BlackRock withdrew 2,267 BTC from Coinbase in the past 10 hours, worth approximately $158 million;
5. Crude oil futures prices plummet;
6. X platform to update revenue sharing mechanism, increasing weight of creator's regional exposure;
7. Two new wallets suspected to be linked to Bitmine withdrew 67,100 ETH from Kraken;
8. SpaceX plans to file for IPO as early as this week;
9. litellm, with 97 million monthly downloads, suffers supply chain attack; simple installation can steal all sensitive credentials like SSH keys;
10. Iran states "non-hostile vessels" can pass through the Strait of Hormuz after coordination with Iran.
21:27
500 BTC Linked to Irish Drug Dealer Moved On-Chain After Nearly 10 Years of Inactivity
Svmuu News According to Bitcoin News, 500 BTC linked to Irish drug dealer Clifton Collins have been moved on-chain after being considered lost for nearly a decade. Collins purchased 6,000 BTC between 2011 and 2012 using proceeds from marijuana sales, storing them across 12 wallets. He wrote the private keys on paper and hid them in a fishing rod box at a rental property in Galway, Ireland. After Collins' arrest in 2017, the property was cleared out and his belongings were sent to a landfill. Both the authorities and Collins himself believed the private keys were permanently lost, and the court ruled that the related funds were to be confiscated as proceeds of crime. The recent on-chain movement of 500 BTC indicates that at least a portion of these assets may not have been lost after all.
21:21
House Republicans Reject Bundling Housing Bill with Cryptocurrency Legislation
Svmuu News: House Republicans have rejected a legislative deal proposed by the Senate. The deal suggested incorporating the House's bipartisan community bank deregulation bill into pending cryptocurrency market structure legislation, in exchange for the House accepting the Senate-passed housing affordability bill. Rep. Bill Huizenga, Vice Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, expressed skepticism about this. Senate Banking Committee Republicans discussed the deal in a closed-door meeting last week, with Senator Katie Britt assisting in pitching the proposal to other Republican senators. The House had included community bank deregulation provisions in a housing bill passed in February this year, but the housing bill passed by the Senate this month did not contain these provisions. House Republicans stated that there are still several issues in the Senate housing bill that need to be resolved, and simply adding the banking bill to the cryptocurrency legislation is not enough to persuade them to accept the Senate version of the housing bill. Rep. Andy Barr, a senior member of the House Financial Services Committee, expressed support for including the banking regulatory provisions in the cryptocurrency legislation but also demanded that the Senate incorporate some of the House's housing proposals.
21:15
Seven newly created wallets withdrew nearly 75,000 ETH from Binance within 16 hours, worth approximately $161 million
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, over the past 16 hours, 7 newly created wallets collectively withdrew 74,959 ETH from Binance, worth approximately $161 million, and subsequently transferred the ETH to other wallets.
21:13
Jump Trading Calls Terraform Labs' $44 Billion Lawsuit a "Shifting of Blame"
Svmuu News Jump Trading responded on Monday to the lawsuit filed by Todd Snyder, the head of the Terraform Labs bankruptcy trust. Snyder sued Jump Trading, several of its subsidiaries, and two executives in December last year, accusing them of market manipulation, defrauding investors, and self-dealing, seeking $4 billion in damages.
In its response, Jump Trading described the lawsuit as a "transparent attempt" by Snyder to evade the $4.4 billion fine imposed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Terraform Labs in 2024. It stated that Snyder "fabricated a series of allegations designed to shift Terraform's liability to the SEC and its creditors onto the defendants." Jump Trading also pointed out that the lawsuit lacks key details, fails to specify the actions of each defendant, does not identify the location of the alleged violations, and is time-barred, and therefore should be dismissed.
According to previous court records, when UST depegged from the U.S. dollar in 2021, Jump Trading assisted Terraform Labs in maintaining UST's peg by purchasing large amounts of UST to support its price, but executives from both sides kept this confidential. Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon was previously sentenced to 15 years in prison for two counts of fraud.
21:03
BlackRock CEO: Crypto Business Could Generate $500 Million in Annual Revenue for the Company Within Five Years
According to BlackRock CEO Larry Fink's 2026 annual letter to shareholders, the crypto business and other high-growth markets could become a $500 million revenue stream for the company within the next five years. BlackRock currently manages nearly 800,000 BTC on behalf of clients through its spot Bitcoin ETF, valued at approximately $55 billion. Its iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF is estimated to generate around $250 million in annual fee revenue. Additionally, BlackRock's USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund, BUIDL, has become the world's largest tokenized fund, with assets under management exceeding $2 billion.
In the letter, Fink stated that BlackRock manages nearly $150 billion in assets related to the digital asset space, including approximately $65 billion in stablecoin reserves and nearly $80 billion in digital asset exchange-traded products. He suggested that tokenization could "refresh the infrastructure of the financial system" and likened the development of blockchain tokenization to the rapid growth of the internet in the 1990s. Fink also noted that if the United States underinvests in digitization and tokenization, other countries will surpass it.
20:57
BlackRock withdrew 2,267 BTC from Coinbase in the past 10 hours, valued at approximately $158 million
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, BlackRock withdrew 2,267 BTC from Coinbase in the past 10 hours, valued at approximately $158 million.
20:43
BTC Breaks Through 71,000 USDT, 24H Gain 0.5%
Svmuu News According to OKX market data, BTC has broken through 71,000 USDT and is currently trading at 71,006.7 USDT, with a 24-hour gain of 0.5%.
20:42
Crude oil futures prices plummet
Svmuu News Recently, near-month WTI crude oil futures fell by 5.9% to $86.86 per barrel. Near-month Brent crude oil futures dropped by 6.6% to $97.57 per barrel. (Jin10)
20:38
X platform will update its revenue sharing mechanism, increasing the weight of exposure in creators' regions
Svmuu News Nikita Bier, Product Lead at X, posted on the X platform stating that starting Thursday, the X platform will update its revenue sharing incentive mechanism, increasing the weight of exposure in creators' regions to encourage content that resonates with users in their own country, neighboring countries, and those who speak the same language. This move aims to reduce behaviors that compete for attention through traffic gaming and promote diverse conversations on the platform. The X platform invites creators to start building local audiences.
20:34
Two new wallets suspected to be related to Bitmine withdrew 67,100 ETH from Kraken
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, two newly created wallets withdrew 67,111 ETH from Kraken, valued at approximately $145 million, and are suspected to be related to Bitmine.
20:29
OpenAI to Shut Down Sora Video App and API, Ending $10 Billion Partnership with Disney
Svmuu News OpenAI has announced the shutdown of its AI video generation platform Sora and related APIs, redirecting resources towards "world simulation research to advance robotics." This decision also halts a previously announced $10 billion investment partnership with Disney centered around Sora.
OpenAI stated that as the company continues to focus on its AGI roadmap and the computing power required to support agent AI capabilities, it has decided to cease operations of Sora as a consumer-facing application and API. However, the AI image generator built into ChatGPT will remain unaffected. The company will announce the shutdown timeline for the application and APIs, as well as user content preservation plans, at a later date.
According to reports, Sora's operational costs were approximately $15 million per day. OpenAI first launched the Sora text-to-video model in February 2024, followed by the release of the more advanced Sora 2 and a standalone mobile app supporting social video streaming and user "cameo" features. In December 2024, OpenAI and Disney announced a three-year agreement licensing approximately 250 Disney characters for AI video generation, covering franchises such as Frozen, Star Wars, and Marvel.
Disney stated that it respects OpenAI's decision to exit the video generation business and will continue to explore other avenues for collaboration with generative AI.
20:18
SpaceX plans to file for an IPO as early as this week
Svmuu: SpaceX plans to file for an IPO application as early as this week. (The Information)
20:16
WTI crude oil falls below $88 per barrel, down 1.01% intraday
According to Gate data, WTI crude oil has fallen below $88 per barrel, down 1.01% intraday.
20:14
litellm with 97 million monthly downloads suffers supply chain attack, simple installation can steal all sensitive credentials such as SSH keys
Svmuu News Andrej Karpathy posted on platform X, stating that litellm has suffered a PyPI supply chain attack. Simply executing `pip install litellm` could steal SSH keys, AWS/GCP/Azure credentials, Kubernetes configurations, git credentials, environment variables, cryptocurrency wallets, SSL private keys, CI/CD keys, and database passwords. litellm has 97 million monthly downloads, and the risk spreads to all projects dependent on litellm, such as dspy. The malicious version containing the implanted code was live for less than about 1 hour before being discovered due to a flaw in the attack code causing Callum McMahon's machine to run out of memory and crash. Andrej Karpathy stated that supply chain attacks are one of the most threatening issues in modern software; each dependency installation can potentially introduce tampered packages deep within the dependency tree. He is therefore increasingly inclined to reduce dependencies and instead use LLMs to directly implement simple functionalities.
20:12
Spot gold at $4550 per ounce, up 1.69% intraday
Svmuu News According to Gate data, spot gold has risen above $4550 per ounce, up 1.69% intraday.
20:12
Coinbase to List Perle (PRL)
Svmuu News According to an official announcement, Coinbase will add support for Perle (PRL). Users can now generate deposit addresses for PRL on coinbase.com, the Coinbase App, and Coinbase Exchange. The PRL deposit feature will become available once the PRL issuer enables transfers.
20:11
Robinhood Approves $1.5 Billion Stock Buyback Plan
Svmuu News Robinhood has announced a new stock repurchase plan, authorizing the company to buy back up to $1.5 billion worth of its shares. After more than tripling last year, Robinhood's stock price has fallen 39% since the beginning of 2026. Robinhood's Chief Financial Officer Shiv Verma stated that this authorization reflects the management team and board's confidence in the company's ability to continue providing innovative products for customers, creating value for shareholders, and gradually returning capital. Verma assumed the role of CFO in February this year. The repurchase plan has no expiration date and is expected to be executed over approximately three years.

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