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4/2
12:08
Yesterday, US Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 2,254 BTC, while Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of 17,197 ETH.
Svmuu News According to Lookonchain monitoring, US Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 2,254 BTC yesterday, Ethereum ETFs had a net outflow of 17,197 ETH, and Solana ETFs recorded a net inflow of 1,531 SOL.
12:03
Analysis: Bitcoin Holders Face Nearly $600 Billion in Unrealized Losses, Retail Selling Pressure Remains High
Svmuu News Bitcoin traded at $66,450 on Thursday, with approximately 44% of the circulating supply in a state of loss, accumulating unrealized losses of about $59.87 billion (approximately 8.8 million BTC), which is weighing on market sentiment. Data indicates that market demand remains weak. Glassnode pointed out that the scale of this supply overhang is similar to that of the second quarter of 2022, when the market only recovered after about 3 million BTC were redistributed.
Long-term holders (LTH) have begun selling below their cost basis, with cumulative realized losses for Bitcoin LTH reaching $200 million, showing signs of active "capitulation selling." The current BTC price is also below the average cost basis of $83,408 for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF holders, further indicating investor pressure.
The decline in market risk appetite is also reflected in outflows from investment products. In the week ending March 27, Bitcoin investment products saw net outflows exceeding $194 million. Capriole Investment indicators show BTC's apparent demand at -1,623 BTC. CryptoQuant stated that retail selling still dominates and confirmed the market is in a sustained distribution phase. The Coinbase Premium Index remains persistently negative, indicating U.S. investors have not entered the market on a large scale, which aligns with the trend of shrinking on-chain demand. (Cointelegraph)
11:51
Kroll Assigns Ripple Prime a "Moderate Quality" BBB Rating, the Lowest Investment Grade
Svmuu News Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) has assigned Ripple Prime's US broker-dealer and holding company a "moderate quality" BBB rating, which is the lowest investment grade. Ripple Prime provides integrated services of trading, lending, and settlement for institutional investors. KBRA noted that this rating reflects its business is still in an "expansion phase," with revenue primarily concentrated on exchange derivatives clearing and short-term treasury financing. (The Block)
11:34
Bitcoin Miner Riot Platforms Transfers Another 500 BTC, Valued at $33.26 Million
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, Bitcoin mining company Riot Platforms has transferred another 500 BTC, valued at $33.26 million, suspected to be for sale.
11:33
Coinbase stated that it has received conditional approval for a U.S. trust charter
Svmuu News: According to market sources, Coinbase has stated that it has received conditional approval for a U.S. trust charter, meaning it has taken another step towards conducting digital asset businesses such as custody under a federal regulatory framework. If ultimately implemented, the relevant license will help enhance its compliance service capabilities for institutional clients.
11:29
The U.S. CFTC and Department of Justice sue Illinois, its Governor, and Attorney General, alleging they lack authority to regulate prediction markets
Svmuu News According to market sources: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice (DOJ) have filed a lawsuit against the state of Illinois, its Governor, and Attorney General, alleging that their attempts to regulate prediction markets exceed their legal authority. Both agencies stated that Illinois' relevant regulatory measures are invalid because the state government does not have the authority to exercise jurisdiction over federally regulated prediction markets. The lawsuit emphasizes protecting innovative financial instruments from overreach by local governments.
11:19
Iranian crude oil prices trade at a premium to Brent for the first time since 2022
Svmuu News According to Argus Media data, following the US's temporary relaxation of some sanctions on Iranian oil, Iranian crude oil has traded at a premium to the global benchmark Brent crude for the first time since May 2022. On March 26, Iran's main export-grade crude oil traded at a premium of approximately $1 per barrel to Brent, whereas at the beginning of this year, under comprehensive sanctions, its crude was discounted by about $10 per barrel. This change indicates that Tehran is benefiting from its control over the Strait of Hormuz. With Brent crude maintaining around $107 per barrel and global supply constrained, buyers are willing to pay a premium for crude oil that remains accessible. By impeding the passage of Gulf oil-producing nations while allowing its own shipments, Iran has created a transportation bottleneck, driving up global oil prices and enhancing the relative value of Iranian light crude. Tanker tracking data shows that vessels associated with Iran continue to transport through the strategic waterway and are unloading from floating storage facilities. (Jin10)
11:12
Analysis: Iran Plans to Coordinate Strait of Hormuz Passage with Oman, Bitcoin's Decline Narrows
Svmuu News According to reports influenced by news that Iranian officials stated they will draft an agreement with Oman to manage shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the Nasdaq's roughly 2% drop in early Thursday trading was largely erased, easing concerns about global oil supply disruptions. WTI crude oil had surged to nearly $115 per barrel following President Trump's pledge to continue pressuring Iran, but fell rapidly by about $5 per barrel after the news was announced.
The cryptocurrency market also narrowed its losses, with Bitcoin trading at $66,700, down about 3%, and Ethereum at $2,060, also down 3%. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi stated that this move is about coordination, not control, aiming to ensure the safety of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and improve services, not to restrict passage. Previously, President Trump had pledged to exert "maximum pressure" on Iran and stated that the Strait of Hormuz would "naturally open" after the war ends. Bitcoin and crypto-related stocks, including Coinbase and Robinhood, experienced short-term declines following Trump's remarks. (CoinDesk)
11:04
Iran to Impose Transit Fees on Ships Passing Through the Strait of Hormuz
Svmuu News Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister announced that Iran will impose transit fees on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. (Jin10)
11:02
U.S. Connecticut Federal Prosecutor Recovers $600,000 in Crypto Assets from Ledger User Phishing Scam
Svmuu News The U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Connecticut announced that it has recovered and seized over $600,000 in cryptocurrency. This follows a phishing scam in September 2025 targeting a Ledger hardware wallet user, who was tricked by a letter impersonating "Ledger Security and Compliance" into performing a so-called security check, leading to the theft of approximately $234,000 in crypto assets. The FBI and state police tracked the funds and successfully seized about $600,000 worth of USDT, filing a civil forfeiture lawsuit alleging the funds were linked to wire fraud and money laundering.
This incident is reportedly part of a series of phishing attacks targeting hardware wallet users. Scammers have been using physical mailed letters featuring company logos, holograms, and QR codes to enhance the credibility of their fraud. Similar incidents have affected manufacturers like Ledger and Trezor, with ongoing phishing attacks fueled by data breaches and vulnerabilities in third-party services. (Decrypt)
10:52
X Product Lead: To Implement Automatic Lock and Verification Mechanisms for Accounts Posting Crypto-Related Content for the First Time
Svmuu News, platform product lead and Solana ecosystem advisor Nikita Bier posted that the X platform is advancing a countermeasure against cryptocurrency phishing scams: if an account posts cryptocurrency-related content for the first time in its history, the platform will automatically trigger an account lock and require identity verification. This move is expected to eliminate 99% of malicious motives.
10:51
Brent and WTI crude oil prices plummeted sharply in the short term, with WTI crude oil reported at $108.93 per barrel
Svmuu News According to Gate data, Brent and WTI crude oil prices plummeted sharply in the short term, with WTI crude oil falling by nearly $5 to $108.93 per barrel. Reports indicate that Iran is drafting a Strait of Hormuz transit agreement with Oman.
10:49
Two newly created wallets withdrew 6,328 ETH from Binance, valued at $12.98 million
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, two newly created wallets withdrew 6,328 ETH from Binance, valued at $12.98 million. These two wallets may belong to the same entity.
10:48
Polymarket's "U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Lasting Over 70 Days" Probability Plummets to 8%, Down 45% in 24 Hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability for the Polymarket contract "U.S. Department of Homeland Security shutdown lasting over 70 days" has plummeted to 8%, down 45% in the past 24 hours. As of now, the trading volume for this event contract has exceeded $1.27 million. The contract rules are as follows: If a shutdown of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, beginning on February 14, 2026, lasts for at least the number of days listed in this market (including the start and end dates), it will settle as "YES"; otherwise, it will settle as "NO". The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date the President signs or otherwise enacts an appropriations bill to restart the Department of Homeland Security. Announcements of an impending restart alone will not be counted.
U.S. President Trump just stated that he is about to sign an order to pay salaries to all the admirable employees of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. Trump also thanked Speaker of the House Johnson and Thune for their work this week and praised Congressional Republicans for making progress on the Department of Homeland Security issue.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
10:47
U.S. Bank and Crypto Industry Executives to Review Stablecoin Yield Agreement Text in "Small Group" to Resolve Dispute Promptly
Svmuu News: Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett posted on platform X, stating that a small group of bank and crypto industry executives will review the text of a new stablecoin yield agreement over the next two days, aiming to quickly resolve the lobbying dispute over stablecoin yield issues previously in the CLARITY Act. It is reported that the relevant text will be limited to specific participants for review and will not be made more widely public. Individuals who visited Capitol Hill last week could view the text on-site but were not allowed to take copies.
Paul Grewal, Chief Legal Officer of Coinbase, previously stated in an interview with Fox Business that the debate over stablecoin yields in the upcoming CLARITY Act is "very close" to reaching an agreement.
10:38
Fed's Logan: Supports Keeping Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News Fed's Logan stated that she supports the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at the recent FOMC meeting, and the labor market has stabilized from the second half of 2025 to this year. (Jin10)
10:38
BTC Rebounds Above 67,000 USDT, 24-Hour Loss Narrows to 1.88%
Svmuu News: According to OKX market data, BTC has rebounded above 67,000 USDT and is currently trading at 67,027 USDT, with its 24-hour loss narrowing to 1.88%.
10:35
CryptoQuant: Bitcoin May See Short-Term Rebound to $71,500–$81,200, but Demand Remains Deeply Contracted
According to on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, Bitcoin demand remains in a phase of "deep contraction." As of the end of March, the 30-day apparent demand decreased by approximately 63,000 BTC, indicating that selling pressure in the market still outweighs buying pressure. Although both ETFs and Michael Saylor's Strategy have increased their purchases, it remains insufficient to alleviate the overall pressure. Specifically, ETF purchases over 30 days reached about 50,000 BTC, the highest level since October 2025, while Strategy's 30-day accumulation remained around 44,000 BTC.
CryptoQuant notes that large holders ("whales" holding 1,000–10,000 BTC) have shifted to net selling, reducing their holdings by 188,000 BTC over the past year, confirming sustained structural selling pressure. Medium-sized holders ("dolphins" holding 100–1,000 BTC) are still accumulating, but the pace has significantly slowed, dropping from nearly 1 million BTC in October 2025 to 429,000 BTC. Additionally, demand from U.S. investors has recently weakened, with the Coinbase premium mostly negative, suggesting that retail investors have not yet entered the market on a large scale.
CryptoQuant states that if the macro environment improves, particularly with a de-escalation of U.S.-Iran tensions, Bitcoin could experience a short-term rebound to the range of $71,500–$81,200. Within this range, $71,500 serves as the initial resistance level, while $81,200 represents the upper limit for a bear market rally. (The Block)
10:30
Federal Reserve's Logan: Balance Sheet Reduction Possible Through Regulatory Changes
Svmuu News: Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan outlined the path and options for the Federal Reserve to reduce the size of its balance sheet on Thursday, while noting that the current system is functioning well and benefits overall financial stability. Logan stated that the Fed's current system for managing financial liquidity is designed to provide an "ample" level of reserves, which is "efficient and effective." However, there are still multiple ways within the current system to help reduce the Fed's holdings, many of which involve rules governing how financial institutions manage their cash reserves. Recent research, both internal and external to the Fed, suggests that by adjusting regulations to encourage banks to hold lower reserve levels, the Fed could further shrink its balance sheet under the current framework. Logan expressed agreement, stating that the Fed is currently working to make reserve management "more efficient" during periods of stress. She also noted that some liquidity rules, while increasing reserves, do not enhance safety because banks are reluctant to use these reserves during a crisis. "This is an inefficient use of the Fed's balance sheet, and we can absolutely avoid this situation." (Jin10)
10:18
Microsoft Plans to Launch Large-Scale Frontier AI Model Next Year
Svmuu News Microsoft announced plans to develop a large-scale frontier artificial intelligence model next year, aiming to build its own internal solution as an alternative to the strongest AI tools from OpenAI and Anthropic. Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman stated in an interview: "We must deliver absolutely cutting-edge technology. By 2027, the goal is for the models to achieve truly state-of-the-art levels in text, image, and audio generation and response."
Microsoft's AI division launched a speech transcription model on Thursday, which is claimed to outperform competitors in benchmark tests across 11 of the 25 most commonly used languages. However, similar to the speech and image generation models previously released by the division, this model is an efficient professional tool trained on a smaller dataset compared to general-purpose models like Claude 3 Opus or OpenAI's GPT-4. Suleyman indicated that Microsoft is consolidating computing power to build models with broader capabilities. The company began expanding its computing resources in October last year using a set of Nvidia GB200 chips. He said: "Over the next 12 to 18 months, we will gradually scale up to frontier-level computing capabilities." (Jin10)
10:16
U.S. Federal Judge Halts Trump Administration's Ban on Anthropic, U.S. Department of Justice Appeals
Svmuu The Trump administration will appeal a federal judge's ruling that blocked its ban on government use of Anthropic's technology. The U.S. Department of Justice filed a notice in court on Thursday, stating it will appeal last month's ruling by U.S. District Judge Rita F. Lin of the Northern District of California in San Francisco. The judge previously halted the government's plan to sever ties with Anthropic to maintain the status quo while the legal dispute continues, but she stayed the ruling for a week to give the government a chance to appeal. Anthropic filed a lawsuit challenging the Department of Defense's decision that its technology poses a threat to the U.S. supply chain. In the March 26 ruling, the judge agreed with Anthropic, finding the government's justification for the ban on national security grounds questionable. The judge viewed the move more as "punishing" Anthropic because the company demanded assurances that its technology would not be used to surveil Americans or deployed in autonomous weapons. (Jin10)
10:13
AI Model Evaluation Platform Yupp to Cease Operations, Previously Secured $33 Million Seed Round Led by a16z
Svmuu News AI model evaluation platform Yupp.ai's CEO Pankaj Gupta announced on the X platform that the platform will soon cease operations. The platform will remain accessible for the next 15 days, during which users can download their data. Existing users are unable to create new conversations starting today, and new users cannot register.
Yupp.ai launched in June 2025 and secured a $33 million seed round in June last year, led by a16z. The platform allowed users to freely compare various AI models. Users could input prompts and view responses generated side-by-side by multiple AIs. After selecting the best result, a "preference data packet" was formed. This data was used for the post-training and evaluation of AI models. The platform integrated blockchain technology to achieve transparency in the evaluation process. Users providing feedback received corresponding rewards, while AI developers obtained verifiable training data.
10:07
Grayscale: Bullish on Long-Term Resilience of Crypto Market, Middle East Tensions and Oil Price Shocks Keep Investors on the Sidelines
Svmuu News Grayscale, a crypto asset management firm, stated that recent Middle East tensions and surging oil prices have led to a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market, with investors temporarily avoiding risk assets. Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility since the escalation of the conflict but has overall maintained a range-bound consolidation, showing relative resilience. Grayscale believes that if the situation eases and energy prices retreat, the market could quickly return to a favorable environment. In the long term, the fundamentals of the crypto market remain solid, including the continued growth of stablecoins and tokenized assets. The total supply of stablecoins has increased from approximately $20 billion in 2020 to about $3.15 trillion in 2025. The current phase of uncertainty may provide long-term investors with opportunities to position themselves, laying the groundwork for the next growth cycle. (CoinDesk)
10:04
Live prediction market Pumpcade completes $1 million Pre-Seed funding round, led by Pump.fun
Svmuu News: Live prediction market platform Pumpcade announced the completion of a $1 million Pre-Seed funding round, led by Pump.fun, with participation from Foundation Capital and angel investor RadioSolace. The company plans to use the funds to expand its engineering team and execute marketing strategies in preparation for concluding its internal testing phase. (The Block)
10:03
IMF: Fed Has Limited Room for Rate Cuts in 2026
Svmuu News According to the International Monetary Fund, although U.S. inflation is expected to fall back to the Federal Reserve's 2% target in the first half of next year, policymakers have little room to cut interest rates this year. Based on the IMF's annual assessment of the U.S. economy, IMF staff project that there may be only one opportunity for a rate cut by the end of 2026. "Overall, staff see limited room for policy rate reductions over the coming year. More substantial monetary easing would require a significant deterioration in the labor market outlook without an increase in inflationary pressures, with recent rises in oil and commodity prices pushing inflation expectations higher." IMF Executive Directors noted in a separate statement that, given the Fed's current policy stance is close to neutral, "there is limited room for rate cuts in 2026, especially considering the impact of rising energy prices, the pass-through effect on core inflation, and the upside risks to global commodity prices, which could further delay the achievement of the inflation target." (Jin10)
09:59
Analysis: Bitcoin Bear Market "Time Pain" May Persist for Months, Bottom May Be Gradually Approaching
Svmuu News The Bitcoin bear market has persisted for nearly six months, with analysis suggesting the current market may have entered a "time pain" phase. Prolonged sideways consolidation rather than sharp declines is causing fatigue among both bulls and bears due to a lack of directional clarity. Glassnode analysis points out that long-term Bitcoin holders (holding for over 6 months) currently account for approximately 80% of the supply, slightly below the historical bear market bottom level of around 85%. This implies that the Bitcoin bear market may be nearing its bottom phase, but it might still require several months of "boring" sideways consolidation to establish a solid foundation.
Note: "Time Pain" is a term used to describe a state of market psychology and price action, serving as a contrasting concept to the more common "Price Pain." (CoinDesk)
09:57
The premium of U.S. crude oil front-month futures over the next-month futures and over the seven-month futures both hit record highs
Svmuu News According to market sources: The premium of U.S. crude oil front-month futures over the next-month futures and over the seven-month futures both reached historic highs. (Jin10)
09:47
Citigroup: Brent crude oil average price could reach $130 per barrel in Q2 under bullish scenario
Svmuu News Citigroup stated that under the base case scenario, the average price of Brent crude oil in the second quarter of 2026 is expected to be $95 per barrel; under the bullish scenario, it would be $130 per barrel. (Jin10)
09:45
Hyperliquid Early Contributor Loracle Sells 450,000 HYPE, Worth $15.5 Million
Svmuu News According to MLM monitoring, Hyperliquid early contributor Loracle transferred 450,000 HYPE out of HyperEVM 20 minutes ago and subsequently began selling them, with a value of approximately $15.5 million. This large transfer has drawn market attention, and investors should be aware of the associated price volatility risks.
09:40
Gold and Silver Fall Broadly, Crypto Volatility Rises, Both BVIX and EVIX Gain Over 1%
According to the latest data from Gate, the price of gold has fallen to $4,596.98 per ounce, representing an intraday decline of 3.38%. The price of silver has dropped to $70.366 per ounce, marking an intraday decline of 6.25%.
The latest quote for BVIX (BTC Volatility Index) is 53.36, with an intraday increase of 1.35%. The latest quote for EVIX (ETH Volatility Index) is 73.83, also with an intraday increase of 1.35%.
In the foreign exchange market, the US Dollar to Offshore Chinese Yuan (USD/CNH) rose 0.31% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 6.89961. The US Dollar to Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) rose 0.51% intraday, with the current exchange rate at 159.615.
Regarding global stock indices, the Europe 50 Index (EUSTX50) fell 2.15% intraday to 5,608.13 points; the UK FTSE 100 Index (UK100) fell 0.79% intraday to 10,337.09 points; the Germany DAX40 Index (GER40) fell 2.21% intraday to 22,801.63 points.
In the commodities market, WTI crude oil rose 13.45% intraday to $112.73 per barrel.
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