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4/10
08:58
"Fed Mouthpiece": March Core CPI Slightly Below Expectations, But Single-Month Data Insufficient to Alter Fed's Assessment
Svmuu News "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos: The US March core CPI was slightly below expectations at 0.196%. However, a single month's data doesn't say much. The Fed wants to see energy prices decline (coupled with more confidence that the tariff pass-through effects have ended), and likely more energy impacts (airfare, transportation) are still ahead. (Jin10)
08:53
Analysis: US-Iran Negotiations Emerge as New Variable, Dollar and Oil Buying Strategy Faces Test
Svmuu According to foreign exchange analyst Carter Johnson, under the market landscape following the release of CPI data, the US Dollar Spot Index has accumulated a drop of approximately 1.4% this week and is expected to record its largest weekly decline since January. In terms of clear macro trading strategies during the US-Iran conflict, buying the US dollar and oil performed quite well. However, as the foreign exchange market enters the next phase of trading driven by headlines (this time concerning reports of negotiations against the backdrop of a fragile ceasefire), this strategy will face a test. (Jin10)
08:50
Iranian Leader's Envoy: US-Iran Talks in Islamabad May Last Two to Three Days
Svmuu News: An envoy of the Iranian leader stated that the talks between the United States and Iran in Islamabad may last two to three days. (Jin10)
08:45
Gate Releases White Paper on Employment Development Trends in the Crypto Industry: AI Reshapes Job Structure, Versatile Talent Becomes Core Competitiveness
Svmuu News: Gate Research Institute, in collaboration with Global HR, has released the "Gate White Paper on Employment Development Trends in the Crypto Industry," which outlines the talent structure, job changes, and AI transformation trends in the crypto industry for Q1 2026. The report indicates that as the market shifts from expansion to restructuring growth, AI is accelerating the reshaping of job definitions and organizational methods within the crypto industry. Versatile talent with a dual background in "AI tool proficiency × deep vertical industry expertise" is becoming the most competitive core group at present.
In terms of sector distribution, the crypto employment market in Q1 2026 has formed four major parallel directions: exchanges, public chains and infrastructure, stablecoins, and DeFi and derivatives. Among these, exchange-related positions account for 34%, public chains and infrastructure for 28%, DeFi and derivatives for 21%, and stablecoins for 17%. Regarding job structure, technical research and development remains the largest demand area, accounting for 39%, followed by compliance and risk control at 13%, and product and design at 12%. Overall, the industry's recruitment focus is increasingly shifting toward core engineering, security, compliance, payment products, and commercialization capabilities. Stablecoins, AI, compliance, and infrastructure remain the more certain directions for talent demand currently.
08:40
Analysis: U.S. CPI Monthly Rate Hits Highest Since 2022, Oil Price Surge Contributes Nearly 3/4 of the Increase
Svmuu News: Due to soaring gasoline prices amid the war with Iran, the U.S. seasonally adjusted CPI jumped 0.9% month-on-month in March, marking the largest increase since 2022. Data released on Friday showed that the U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 0.9% compared to February, with the year-on-year increase climbing to 3.3%, the fastest pace since 2024. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics stated that the record surge in gasoline prices contributed nearly three-quarters of the CPI increase for the month. Another indicator excluding food and energy costs saw its month-on-month increase slow to 0.2%. (Jin10)
08:39
Reuters: Market Pricing Continues to Bet on Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged Throughout 2026
Svmuu News According to Reuters: Market pricing continues to bet that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026. (Jin10)
08:39
Bitcoin Strengthens Slightly After CPI Release, Remains Volatile Above $72,000
Svmuu News According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin's price showed a slight strengthening after the release of U.S. March inflation data. Overall, the March CPI rose 0.9% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, meeting expectations, primarily driven by a significant surge in energy prices influenced by the Iran situation. Prior to the data release, Bitcoin's price was trading within a narrow range around $72,000. Following the release, it continued to hold above this range. Previously, due to the Middle East situation and the spike in oil prices, market expectations for a Fed rate cut within the year have significantly cooled. It is now widely anticipated that interest rates will remain unchanged in the short term.
08:36
Market pricing shows increased bets on one Fed rate cut this year
Svmuu News Market pricing indicates that bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates once this year have increased, with U.S. short-term interest rate futures paring some gains after the CPI report was released. (Jin10)
08:34
WTI and Brent crude oil showed little fluctuation after the CPI data release, with the latest prices at $97.57 per barrel and $95.46 per barrel
Svmuu News According to Gate data, WTI and Brent crude oil showed little fluctuation after the CPI data release, with the latest prices at $97.57 per barrel and $95.46 per barrel. The US Dollar Index (DXY) briefly fell by 10 points, now reported at 98.68.
08:33
U.S. Vice President Vance: Trump Provides Very Clear Guidelines for Negotiations
Svmuu News U.S. Vice President Vance stated that Trump has provided very clear guidelines for the negotiations, looks forward to the talks with Iran, and believes the negotiations with Iran will be positive. (Jin10)
08:32
U.S. March CPI Rises Significantly, Spot Gold Rises Over $10 in the Short Term
Svmuu News According to data, the U.S. March unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate came in at 3.3%, the highest since May 2024, meeting market expectations. The U.S. March seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate came in at 0.9%, the highest since June 2022, meeting market expectations. According to Gate data, spot gold rose over $10 in the short term, currently trading at $4775 per ounce.
08:31
U.S. March Unadjusted CPI Year-on-Year 3.3%, Expected 3.3%
Svmuu News According to data, the U.S. March unadjusted CPI year-on-year rate is 3.3%, expected 3.3%, previous value 2.40%. (Jin10)
08:25
Probability of Fed holding rates unchanged in April before CPI release is 98.4%
Svmuu News According to CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by June is 1.5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.8%, and the probability of cumulatively raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.7%.
08:21
Circle Responds to Drift Exploit Incident: Calls for Accelerated Crypto Regulation Legislation, USDC Freezes Require Legal Enforcement
Svmuu News Dante Disparte, Chief Strategy Officer of Circle, has issued a statement in response to the April 1st exploit of Drift Protocol, which resulted in losses exceeding $270 million. He stated that Circle freezes USDC only when legally compelled to do so, not as a unilateral decision. This action is not a backdoor procedure nor algorithmic surveillance, but rather an embodiment of the rule of law in internet-native finance.
He pointed out that a core contradiction in open systems is that legal frameworks update slower than technological development. Protocols, wallets, exchanges, and stablecoin issuers must view security and accountability as a shared responsibility. DeFi protocols can learn from traditional finance's circuit breaker mechanisms to build on-chain protections. Simultaneously, he called for the U.S. "GENIUS Act" and "CLARITY Act" to be passed into law before the next major security incident, incorporating standards for due process, property rights, and financial privacy protection into legislation.
08:19
The main negotiations between Iran and the United States will be held tomorrow
Svmuu News Pakistani media confirmed the arrival of an Iranian delegation for talks, and the main negotiations between Iran and the United States will be held tomorrow. (Jin10)
08:19
European Central Bank Supports EU Regulatory Reform, Crypto Asset Service Providers to be Uniformly Supervised by ESMA
Svmuu News The European Central Bank (ECB) has expressed support for the European Commission's proposal to centralize financial supervision. The proposal aims to transfer the supervisory authority over cross-border financial institutions, including Crypto-Asset Service Providers (CASPs), from national regulators to the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA). This move is intended to deepen the integration of the EU capital market and enhance its international competitiveness. The ECB emphasized that the reform requires equipping ESMA with sufficient manpower and funding, while minimizing market disruptions during the regulatory transition period. (Reuters)
08:12
Fed's Daly Preempts High Inflation Ahead of CPI Data Release
Svmuu News Federal Reserve official Daly stated that even before the oil price shock, the United States itself had work to do in combating inflation, and now this work simply requires more time. If the Iran conflict is resolved quickly and oil prices fall, rate cuts are "not impossible"; however, if inflation remains persistently above expectations for an extended period, the Fed will maintain a wait-and-see approach until confident the inflation issue has been resolved. She believes the likelihood of raising interest rates is lower than that of cutting or keeping rates unchanged. Daly pointed out that persistently high oil prices would mean higher inflation but would also impact economic growth. She has already seen higher prices being transmitted into the economy, with people reducing travel due to concerns about rising costs.
However, she emphasized that the current situation does not represent a fundamental price increase, and it is necessary to observe how the conflict will develop and how businesses will pass on price increases. She noted that the real issue lies in whether the ceasefire can be sustained; if it can, then the CPI data becomes irrelevant; high inflation data itself would not surprise anyone. She stressed that bringing inflation down to 2% is crucial, but doing so at the expense of employment would put households in a difficult position. Currently, the risks to the Fed achieving its full employment and inflation goals are roughly balanced. (Jin10)
08:11
Analysis: Bitcoin Faces Resistance After Touching $72,000, CPI and US-Iran Talks Emerge as Key Variables
Svmuu News Bitcoin has risen nearly 7% since Sunday, with its upward momentum slowing after reaching the $72,000 range, and institutional fund flows remain unclear. The market is focused on two major uncertainties: the US March CPI data (expected to exceed 3% year-on-year, driven by energy prices) and the progress of US-Iran talks over the weekend. The options market shows that while institutions are chasing $80,000 call options on Deribit and call options related to BlackRock's IBIT, they are also maintaining a high proportion of put options to hedge against downside risks. If CPI exceeds expectations, it may reinforce expectations of a Fed rate hike, putting pressure on risk assets including Bitcoin. (CoinDesk)
08:10
Bloomberg Analyst: Bitcoin "Day/Night" ETFs Launch on Same Day, NGHT Rebounds but Future Performance Remains to Be Seen
Svmuu News According to Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, who stated on platform X that while the market focused on the listing of Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF (MSBT), another Bitcoin exchange-traded fund, the Bitcoin After Dark ETF (NGHT), also launched this Wednesday. The product's first-day trading performance was lackluster, but its trading volume saw a significant increase on the second day. Its future market performance remains to be observed.
For long-term ETF investors, holding products similar to MSBT can already yield good returns. However, if NGHT shows strong subsequent capital inflows, it may gain market recognition; conversely, it could quickly become marginalized. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF, leveraging its distribution channel advantages, is still expected to achieve significant success.
08:08
Fed's Daly: If US-Iran Ceasefire Holds, CPI Data Becomes Irrelevant
Svmuu News Fed's Daly stated that the real question is whether the ceasefire can be sustained. If it can, then the CPI data becomes irrelevant. (Jin10)

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