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10/10
12:00
Societe Generale strategists, including Manish Kabra, stated in a recent research report that the S&P 500 could fall by more than 20% next year if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rises to 6%, Brent crude oil climbs to $150 per barrel, and tech giants continue to face cash flow pressure. Kabra noted that a 5% yield would create valuation headwinds, but a 6% yield would trigger credit events, with all current issues centered on the fiscal stability and debt sustainability of sovereign nations.
12:00
The S&P 500 index hit a new all-time high this week, but this record masks an extremely fragile market foundation—only about 30% of its constituent stocks are trading above their 50-day moving average, marking the lowest market participation on a record-setting trading day since Bloomberg began tracking data in 1990. Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 small-cap index has fallen for a fifth consecutive week, with a cumulative decline of approximately 8.5% from its peak, approaching a technical correction. Lynn Martin, President of the New York Stock Exchange Group, directly attributed the recent postponements of several high-profile IPOs to rising interest rates.
12:00
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly approached 5.4% this Wednesday, marking its highest level since 2002 and indicating that the interest rate shock has spread globally beyond U.S. borders. UK borrowing costs have risen to a 19-year high, with French government debt pressure simultaneously increasing. In credit markets, yields on bonds issued by the weakest borrowers have reached approximately 15%, while U.S. high-yield corporate bond spreads have widened recently. Junk bond ETFs have fallen to near their lowest levels since the market sell-off triggered by the spring banking crisis earlier this year.
11:45
Lookonchain reported that trader web3vc withdrew 1.79M UNI, valued at $13.18 million, from Venus Protocol and deposited it into Binance earlier today. The trader began accumulating UNI a year ago at an average price of approximately $9. Although they briefly turned a profit a few days ago, they did not sell. Now, it appears they are preparing to exit their position, which could result in a loss of nearly $3 million if sold at current prices.
11:25
Elon Musk retweeted a post from @cb_doge, stating that Venezuela's telecom regulator, Conatel, has officially authorized Starlink to provide satellite internet services nationwide. This approval follows Starlink's provision of over 1,600 kits to support rescue teams, medical staff, and humanitarian groups after June's earthquakes damaged local networks. The authorization is expected to connect more communities, offering greater choice and new opportunities for learning, work, and staying connected.
11:24
Elon Musk retweeted a post from his mother, Maye Musk, stating that she and Arthur Wallen were driven by the CyberCab at the Tesla Gigafactory Texas. She highlighted the vehicle's driverless feature and large trunk, adding that they received a marvelous tour of the factory.
11:04
A recent survey by payment giant Visa shows that nearly half (46%) of consumers in the Asia-Pacific region are likely to start using stablecoins for daily spending, travel, and cross-border transfers within the next five years. Although only 6% of respondents currently accurately understand how stablecoins work, consumer interest in stablecoins is growing significantly. Nischint Sanghavi, Visa's Head of Digital Currency for Asia Pacific, noted that the market opportunity lies in converting this interest into a trusted and familiar payment experience.
10:50
Australia stated that it still does not need to purchase fuel from Russia after the Trump administration reached a diesel supply agreement with Russia, and will continue to ban procurement from Russia to prevent Russia from profiting from the invasion of Ukraine.
10:18
Goldman Sachs commodity analyst Robert Quinn noted that the silver market is caught in a dual predicament: failing to rise on positive news while being precisely suppressed by negative factors. During Friday's Asian trading session, silver prices once fell over 2% to $58.70 per ounce, halving from their January peak. According to a CFTC report, for the week ending September 29, managed money and other entities collectively net sold approximately $1.6 billion in silver futures, marking the largest weekly sell-off since February this year, with half of it being new short positions. Speculative net long positions have shrunk from a January peak of $24 billion to $12 billion. Bearish sentiment in the options market has reached a two-year extreme, and trend-following funds (CTAs) have accumulated their largest net short positions in at least a year. Quinn's analysis suggests that a stronger dollar and rising real interest rates are the primary suppressive factors, rather than silver's industrial demand logic. The Goldman Sachs FX team warned that the dollar's upward trend might be stalling, but recent macroeconomic headwinds (surging crude oil, rising US Treasury yields, and hawkish FOMC minutes) have once again pressured silver.
10:14
Tron records show a 2 million USDT conversion through USDD’s stability module, moving funds stolen in the Ledger hack beyond Tether’s freeze controls. Bitquery estimates Tether has frozen $10 million across the wider theft cluster related to the incident.
10:10
Russian President Vladimir Putin informed US President Donald Trump in a phone call on Friday that an immediate resumption of trilateral peace talks with Ukraine is unlikely. Putin cited large-scale drone attacks on Moscow and other cities during last month's parliamentary elections as the reason, stating that these actions by the Kyiv regime "interrupted the possibility of an immediate resumption of the negotiation process."
09:53
On-chain monitoring shows that three wallets, possibly belonging to the same whale, deposited 2,903 ETH, worth approximately $7.22 million, to Coinbase after more than nine years of dormancy. These wallets received the ETH nine years ago when the price was only $9.9, and have now realized a profit of about $7.19 million, with an ROI of up to 250x.
08:57
STRK Jumps 30% as Starknet Weighs Layer 1 Shift, Outpacing Bitcoin and Ether; daily trading on Starknet's decentralized exchanges rose to about $33.7 million.
08:39
Lebanon's health authorities reported that an Israeli drone strike on Friday (October 9) in Lebanon's Hermel district, near the Syrian border, injured six people, including five Syrians and one Lebanese. Lebanon's National News Agency (NNA) reported that the strike targeted a vehicle. The Israeli military claimed to have attacked a "Syrian terrorist acting under the guidance of the Iranian regime," accusing him of "planning and advancing attacks against Israeli forces in southern Syria."
08:33
U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Friday a diesel supply agreement with Russian President Vladimir Putin, allowing Russia to supply diesel to the global market in an effort to rapidly lower record-high diesel prices. Under the agreement, Russia will immediately supply 300,000 tons of diesel, followed by another 500,000 tons in November, then an immediate 1 million tons, and an additional 3 million tons depending on refinery conditions. The U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has issued a temporary general license authorizing the relevant transactions until April 7, 2027.

However, this move has sparked widespread controversy. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy issued a strong statement, accusing the U.S. of easing sanctions on Moscow, which "plays right into Russia's hands," and stating that any relaxation of sanctions without a clear and lasting de-escalation agreement is "a clear sign of weakness." Several bipartisan members of the U.S. Congress and commentators also pointed out that the agreement contradicts recent U.S. efforts to pressure Russia to end the war in Ukraine by sanctioning its energy exports, particularly clashing with the Lindsey O. Graham Sanction Russia and Iran Act signed by Donald Trump three weeks prior. Wharton School Professor Jeremy Siegel called the move "a deal with the devil" and considered it "very unfortunate."
08:23
The White House released the U.S. President's remarks on Leif Erikson Day, which mentioned a historic agreement reached last month with Denmark and Greenland. This agreement grants the U.S. permanent control over Greenland's security to ensure the safety of the U.S. and its allies. The President stated that this move, unprecedented by any president in the past 100 years, permanently recognizes Greenland as a vital national security partner and makes the Arctic a pillar of American strength once again.
08:07
The Kremlin says US President Trump welcomed Russia’s involvement in efforts aimed at reaching a settlement over Iran.
08:05
US stocks closed higher on Friday, with all three major indices posting weekly gains, as investors turned their attention to the upcoming third-quarter earnings reports and inflation data next week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 423.31 points, or 0.83%, to 51,654.95; the S&P 500 gained 46.15 points, or 0.59%, to 7,811.54; and the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 172.83 points, or 0.64%, to 27,366.17.

Crude oil prices initially pulled back after US President Donald Trump stated that the US would not launch any attacks on Iran before the midterm elections, adding that negotiations aimed at ending the war in Iran were "productive." However, both front-month West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude futures closed up 0.4%. Benchmark government bond yields edged higher but remained below the 24-year high reached on Wednesday.

The third-quarter earnings season will kick off next week, with major US banks including Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley set to report their results. Meanwhile, US consumer sentiment deteriorated this month, with short-term expectations falling to historic lows.

In company news, Elon Musk's SpaceX reached an agreement to acquire a nationwide low-frequency spectrum portfolio, posing a direct challenge to US wireless carriers. Shares of telecommunications companies T-Mobile US, AT&T, and Verizon fell between 8.8% and 13.3%. Apple's stock declined 1.1% after reports that the iPhone maker had told some suppliers to cut component production for its newly launched iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, due to soaring memory chip costs and price increases curbing consumer demand.
08:05
Lookonchain reported that one user bought a Ledger device from reseller CryptoBillis three weeks ago and deposited 7 million USDT into it. About 10 hours ago, all 7 million USDT was stolen, possibly the largest single loss among the victims.
08:03
Beijing has set ambitious new five-year targets to boost its global presence, including at least five pharmaceutical products with annual global sales surpassing US$1 billion by 2030. Jefferies' head of Asia healthcare research Cui Cui noted that Chinese biopharmaceutical companies' competitive efficiency and speed would drive global commercialization, making the goal achievable.
07:14
Morgan Stanley's latest report indicates that delays in Oracle's data center construction are not providing a reprieve in capital expenditure, but rather compressing a massive debt repayment burden into 2028, coinciding fatally with multiple critical financing milestones. As of Thursday's close, Oracle's 5-year credit default swap (CDS) was quoted at 261 basis points, a new historical high, implying a default probability of over 20% within five years. The report emphasizes that of approximately $79 billion in data center construction debt, about $33 billion is concentrated in two projects, Lighthouse and Jupiter, which have confirmed power delays. Furthermore, $9.4 billion in construction loans will mature and require refinancing in 2028, at which point market concerns about Oracle's creditworthiness will create a ripple effect through refinancing pressure.
07:09
CNBC's Jim Cramer said the upcoming earnings season, kicking off with major banks and semiconductor reports, will provide a clearer picture of corporate performance and the strength of the artificial intelligence trade. He remains bullish on Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo, while being cautious on JPMorgan and watching Citigroup. Cramer also highlighted Johnson & Johnson as a potential buying opportunity post-earnings. He will be watching for signs of easing inflation in Wednesday's CPI data and strong demand signals from ASML's earnings. However, Cramer warned that rising bond yields, potentially exceeding 6% for long-term Treasuries, pose a significant risk due to high demand for money from both the Treasury and private enterprise, particularly data center investments.
07:01
The U.S. Department of Justice is reviewing whether Binance violated its 2023 settlement agreement, following investigations suggesting the exchange may have breached sanctions against Iran, Bloomberg reported. Federal prosecutors are seeking to seize $61 million allegedly linked to Iranian oil sales and laundered through Binance. If a breach of the agreement is confirmed, Binance could face renewed criminal prosecution and billions of dollars in additional fines. No charges of wrongdoing have been filed against Binance or its employees at this time. Binance stated it continues to strengthen its compliance controls and cooperate with law enforcement.

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