Industry Insiders: The Core Logic Behind the Yuan’s Strength Is Clear
This morning, the offshore yuan rose above 6.97 against the U.S. dollar, continuing the appreciation trend that began in late 2025. The market widely expects the yuan to officially return to the "6" range in 2026.Industry analysts believe the core logic underpinning the yuan’s strength is clear: on the one hand, under the pressure of high U.S. debt, Federal Reserve monetary policy is more likely to ease than tighten, and the continued weakening of the U.S. dollar index has created external conditions for the yuan’s appreciation; on the other hand, domestic economic fundamentals continue to improve, coupled with the release of policy dividends from the 15th Five-Year Plan, significantly boosting market confidence in yuan-denominated assets.More notably, the approximately $900 billion in un-converted trade surpluses accumulated over the past three years is showing signs of flowing back into the domestic market, providing strong support for the RMB exchange rate. (21st Century Business Herald)
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