Svmuu News: Digital asset management firm Bitwise Asset Management analyzed price data covering the period from July 17, 2010, to February 11, 2026, and found that if investors hold Bitcoin for at least three years, the historical probability of incurring a loss is only 0.70%.The longer the holding period, the lower the risk of loss. If investors hold Bitcoin for five years, the probability of a loss drops to 0.2%, and for a 10-year holding period, the probability of a loss is 0%.In contrast, investors holding for less than three years face higher risks: the probability of incurring an unrealized loss is 47.1% for intraday traders, 44.7% for those holding for one week, and 43.2% for those holding for one month; even for those holding for one year, the probability of a loss remains at 24.3%.Bitwise notes that the current price of the "Bitcoin" is approximately $65,000, representing a decline of about 50% from its October 2025 high.However, the realized price for investors holding for three to five years is approximately $34,780, meaning that investors in this group are still collectively sitting on paper gains of about 90%. (Cointelegraph)