Greeks.live: The current consolidation range has not been effectively broken; if it breaks above $75,000 over the weekend, it may continue to rise
According to Svmuu, Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, posted on X, stating that after the weekly options expiry, BTC rose and approached $74,000, reaching the upper boundary of the consolidation range seen since February. The options market showed a muted reaction to this. The implied volatility (IV) for BTC weekly options is below 50%, and for ETH weekly options, it's below 70%, both lower than the IV for major tenors. In terms of trading volume, block trades for call options accounted for less than 30%, concentrated in near-the-money options expiring at the end of the month. The options market has not priced this rally favorably; the Volatility Risk Premium (VRP) has rebounded but remains negative, indicating the market views volatility as overestimated. The current consolidation range has not been effectively broken. If it breaks above $75,000 over the weekend, a follow-up rally could occur, but it remains challenging.
Source:Odaily · Source Link
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