Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that three accounts on Polymarket collectively bet $60,000 on the event "the US will not invade Cuba in 2026" at the same time, with all opening positions priced at 78¢.
In early 2026, the US intensified energy and economic sanctions against Cuba and restricted oil shipments to the island through tariffs and sanctions, leading to severe fuel shortages and nationwide power outages in Cuba. Concurrently, domestic protests in Cuba increased, and secret contacts and negotiations took place between the US and Cuba in an attempt to ease tensions, but the overall relationship remained highly strained.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.