Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that, affected by industry division over the compromise proposal on the stablecoin revenue clause in the Clarity Act, the probability for the Polymarket event "Clarity Act Signed into Law by 2026" is temporarily reported at 54%, down 11% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of $430.6k.
Coinbase has expressed dissatisfaction with the latest compromise text to U.S. Senate staff but has not yet publicly stated opposition. The proposal was presented to cryptocurrency industry stakeholders on Monday, with some expressing dissatisfaction while others said the outcome was better than expected. During an industry conference call this week, Coinbase diverged from other parties; some firms believe giving up certain stablecoin rewards is costly, while others think losing the bill poses a greater risk to the overall legislative framework for the crypto industry. Affected by this, Circle's stock price fell 20% on Tuesday and recovered slightly on Wednesday. White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt stated on platform X that "everything will work out." The final text is expected to be released this weekend or early next week.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.