According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel, possibly influenced by the news that "OpenAI secured $122 billion in committed capital, with a post-investment valuation reaching $852 billion," the intraday probability of Anthropic's public valuation exceeding $500 billion by 2026 once dropped from 93% to 90%, representing a weekly increase of 4%.
The criteria for this event are as follows: by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, if a public valuation reaches $500 billion or more, or if the company's valuation in a private financing round reaches $500 billion or more, the event will be judged as "Yes." Otherwise, it will be judged as "No."
This valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or supported by an overwhelming consensus of credible reports. The primary source will be Anthropic's official communications, but credible consensus reporting may also be used.
Previously, it was reported that Anthropic completed a $300 billion Series G funding round in February this year, achieving a post-investment valuation of $3.8 trillion. The round was led by GIC and Coatue, with co-leadership from D.E.Shaw Ventures, Dragoneer, Founders Fund, ICONIQ, and MGX, among others. Participants included Accel, Addition, JPMorgan Chase, Sequoia Capital, Temasek, and others.
The Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.