Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that, possibly influenced by the news of "OpenAI completing $122 billion in committed capital, with a post-money valuation of $852 billion," the intraday probability of Anthropic's public valuation exceeding $500 billion in 2026 once fell from 93% to 90%, with a weekly gain of 4%.
The criteria for this event are: by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion or more, or reaches a company valuation of $500 billion or more in a private financing round, the event will be deemed "Yes." Otherwise, it will be deemed "No."
This valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or achieve an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The primary source will be Anthropic's official communications, but credible consensus reporting may also be used.
Previously, Anthropic completed a $30 billion Series G funding round in February this year, with a post-money valuation of $380 billion. GIC and Coatue led the round, with co-leads including D.E. Shaw Ventures, Dragoneer, Founders Fund, ICONIQ, and MGX. Accel, Addition, JPMorgan Chase, Sequoia Capital, Temasek, and others also participated.
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.