Experts: Multiple Practical Obstacles Hinder U.S.-Iran Temporary Ceasefire
Svmuu News According to Li Zixin, Assistant Research Fellow at the China Institute of International Studies, given the current situation, the possibility of the U.S. and Iran reaching a temporary ceasefire is not nonexistent, but it is indeed fraught with difficulties. Even if achieved, it is more likely to be a stopgap measure rather than a reliable path leading to a permanent ceasefire. Firstly, the core demands of both sides are fundamentally difficult to reconcile. Iran views control of the Strait of Hormuz and its stockpile of 60% highly enriched uranium as core strategic bargaining chips in negotiations and has explicitly stated it will not abandon these fundamental interests for a short-term ceasefire. The United States, on the other hand, demands that Iran reopen the strait and address its nuclear materials, essentially requiring unilateral concessions from Iran and using short-term actions as a suspension to exchange for Iran's core interest conditions, which touches upon Iran's sovereignty and security red lines. Secondly, the foundation of trust for negotiations is extremely weak. While Iran acknowledges exchanging relevant information with the U.S. through friendly nations, it denies engaging in direct negotiations. Meanwhile, U.S. President Trump sends negotiation signals while simultaneously issuing continuous military strike "ultimatums." This pattern of negotiating while applying pressure is more akin to a strategy of maximum pressure and testing the other side's room for compromise, rather than genuinely seeking reconciliation. (CCTV News)
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