Monitoring by Svmuu Seer Channel shows that an account with a win rate exceeding 75% has purchased over $480,000 worth of "No permanent peace agreement" positions in the event "US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22". The opening price was 83.1¢, the current price is 82.5¢, resulting in an unrealized loss of approximately $3,750.
Recently, the US and Iran have been advancing a second round of negotiations with Pakistan's mediation. However, due to factors such as port blockades and regional tensions, the uncertainty of reaching a comprehensive agreement in the short term remains high, leading to an overall cautious market sentiment.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, identifying changes before they are priced in.