Svmuureports that market analysts have pointed out that if Elon Musk's proposed merger between SpaceX and Tesla proceeds, SpaceX may need to issue new shares equivalent to 94% of its current outstanding shares to acquire Tesla, increasing the total share count to approximately 8 billion. However, the financial logic of the transaction faces challenges. Tesla's GAAP net profit over the past 12 months has dropped from $15 billion in 2023 to $3.9 billion. After excluding regulatory credit revenue and Bitcoin gains, its core operating profit stands at only about $2.3 billion.
Analysts believe that this transaction may essentially be an attempt to use a high-valuation asset to acquire another similarly overvalued company, leaving significant uncertainty regarding its long-term profitability and cash flow performance. The combined company's valuation could reach $3.4 trillion, with SpaceX estimated at $1.75 trillion and Tesla's current market cap around $1.65 trillion. Musk may be leveraging the high valuation from SpaceX's impending IPO to support Tesla, which is under earnings pressure. (Fortune)