Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 30" has risen to 64%, a 24H increase of 52%; additionally, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace before June 15" has risen to 59%, a 24H increase of 52%.
Closing airspace refers to the closure of all of Israel's civilian airspace, or a closure covering most of Israel's civilian airspace, resulting in flight cancellations or a complete suspension of commercial aviation, including commercial flights transiting, arriving at, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply to flights nationwide in Israel, or to a qualifying major portion of Israel's airspace. Limited-scope flight cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops, or individual regional closures do not meet the conditions for a "Yes" settlement.
If there are a few exceptions within the context of a large-scale closure, such as permitting some pre-approved flights to pass, this does not affect the closure being deemed valid. Warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions issued by airlines or countries other than Israel cannot serve as sufficient basis for a "Yes" settlement.
After the US-Israel-Iran ceasefire on April 8, Iran today launched missiles at Israel again after a two-month interval. Trump stated that his advice to Iran is, since the missiles have been launched, they should now return to the negotiating table and reach an agreement. Trump also said he will call Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to tell him not to retaliate.
Svmuu Seer Prophecy Channel continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.