Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that with one day remaining until the opening match of the World Cup on June 12, the probability of a "European Country Winning the World Cup" on Polymarket is reported at 72%, ranking first; the probability of a South American country winning the World Cup is 22%, ranking second; the probabilities for countries from Africa, Asia, and North America to win the World Cup are all 3%, tied for third place.
The rule for this event is: The continent of the country that wins the 2026 World Cup championship. For example, if France wins the World Cup championship, it will be determined as "Europe." If the 2026 World Cup is canceled, postponed to after December 31, 2026, or no official champion is determined before December 31, 2026, it will be determined as "Other." The final standard for determining the continent of the country will be based on the relevant information from World Population Review.
Svmuu Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing.