Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos of “Federal Reserve” notes that there are three key points to watch in the “Federal Reserve” meeting, which Warsh is chairing for the first time: 1. Will the phrase “dovish bias” be removed? If so, what will replace it?Since 2024, the phrase regarding “further adjustments” in policy statements has consistently signaled to the public that the next interest rate move is more likely to be a cut than a hike. This phrasing sparked controversy at the last “Federal Reserve” meeting and now appears somewhat untenable.Removing it would satisfy all parties: hawks want it gone, and Warsh could tout the move as a reform rather than a signal of a shift toward a hawkish stance. Even Donald Trump foreshadowed this move at Warsh’s swearing-in ceremony. 2. Will the “dot plot” take over as the guiding tool? Who will forecast rate hikes? Federal Reserve will release its first interest rate projections since March; at that time, 12 of the 19 officials expected at least one rate cut in 2026. Now, most do not expect any rate cuts;I’m watching to see how many predict a rate hike—and whether Warsh, a long-time skeptic of the dot plot, will submit his own forecast or downplay its significance by abstaining from the vote. 3. How will Warsh communicate at the press conference? Federal Reserve The chairman’s remarks can only move the markets if people believe he commands a majority—that is, that his words represent the committee’s direction, not just his personal views. Warsh leads a divided group that is not necessarily entirely under his control.If he can faithfully convey his colleagues’ views, he can begin to establish his authority to speak on their behalf; conversely, if he fails to do so, his colleagues will express their own positions elsewhere—for example, by casting dissenting votes. Under a chair who tends to minimize signaling, those “dissenting votes” themselves may become tools for conveying signals. (Jin Shi)