According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, in Polymarket’s “2026 World Cup Winner” prediction event, the probability of winning is 48% Smart money (address: 0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63) has purchased over $106,000 worth of positions betting that France will win the World Cup, with an average entry price of 18.5¢, with a current unrealized profit of approximately $14,909.
Early this morning, the highly anticipated match between France and Norway took place in the third round of Group I of the World Cup. France ultimately secured an easy 4–1 victory thanks to Dembélé’s first-half hat trick. Currently, France’s probability of winning the World Cup has risen to 22%, placing them in first place; followed by Argentina at 18%; Spain ranks third at 12%.
The Svmuu Seer channel continuously monitors prediction markets, spotting changes before prices are set.