According to PPP’s prediction market monitoring, the probability that “the CLARITY Act will be signed into law by the end of 2026” on Polymarket has risen to 42%, up 5% over the past 24 hours and 10% over the past week.
The market rules are as follows: If the Digital Asset Market Transparency Act of 2025 (HR 3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by 11: 59 p.m. Eastern Time, the market will be ruled a “YES”; otherwise, it will be a “NO.” The primary sources of information are the U.S. Congress website and other official U.S. government channels, though other reliable reports may also be consulted.
White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt has officially announced today that he will remain in Washington to push for the passage of the CLARITY Act. Previous reports had suggested he would step down before the Senate vote, but this information has now been reversed.
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