Morgan Stanley Warns: SpaceX Is Approaching a “Point of Maximum Pressure” as a Large Number of Shares Are Set to Be Unlocked
Morgan Stanley noted that SpaceX (SPCX) is approaching its “point of maximum pressure,” primarily because approximately 911.5 million shares—representing 20% of the restricted shares held by employees and early investors—will become eligible for sale on August 6. Based on current prices, this block of shares is valued at approximately $100 billion and represents the first in a series of upcoming lock-up expirations; nearly 4 billion shares are expected to become available by January 2027. Morgan Stanley maintained its “Overweight” rating and $300 price target for SPCX, but emphasized that investors are paying closer attention to management’s comments on Starship, computing deployments, and AI model development rather than the upcoming first-quarter earnings report.
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