BBC analysis suggests that Iran may believe a limited conflict with the United States serves its strategic interests better than peace. Following Iran's recent missile strike on a US base in Jordan, which ended a fragile pause in hostilities, the BBC reports that Tehran might see a controlled confrontation as a way to maintain pressure on the US, global energy markets, and regional diplomacy. This strategy could allow Iran to assert influence over shipping rules and address domestic political pressures, while avoiding an all-out war that neither side appears ready for. However, the analysis also notes the significant risk that controlled conflicts can become uncontrolled.