Analysis points out that the DXY is in a delicate intermediate state at the 100 mark, with insufficient downward momentum in the short term or limited rebound.
Wall Street Insights analysis points out that after the Japanese Yen intervention shakeout, the DXY has returned to the 100 mark. Currently, based on FX option positions, the US-non-US interest rate differential, and the market pricing in a 64% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, the US dollar exchange rate is at a neutral level, a delicate middle ground. Although analysts are not optimistic about a stronger dollar in the second half of the year, they believe that the DXY lacks downward momentum in the short term and may even see a limited rebound. This is primarily due to the resilience shown in US economic data for July (such as the ISM Manufacturing PMI hitting a nearly four-year high and low jobless claims), as well as the Federal Reserve's incentive to release hawkish messages at the Jackson Hole annual meeting in late August to maintain credibility.
No AI analysis yet. Tap the "AI Analysis" button above to generate one now.
Source:华尔街见闻 · Source Link
Disclaimer: This content reflects only the author’s personal views and does not constitute any investment or financial advice. If you discover any content that violates regulations,Click to Report
24H Trending
-
1
Goldman Sachs' latest research report: Maintains its year-end 2027 gold price target of $5,400, but lowers its year-end 2026 forecast to $4,650, stating that Federal Reserve rate hikes will only slow short-term gains, and central bank gold purchases are the core driver.
-
2
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright says another round of crude loans from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is a “very real possibility” amid higher oil prices and steep futures backwardation.
-
3
Hong Kong Financial Secretary Christopher Hui: The government is studying expanding the scope of RMB usage, including promoting RMB payment for stamp duty on stock transactions and an RMB counter for Stock Connect Southbound Trading.
-
4
Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
-
5
HKMA: The total number of stored value facility accounts reached 90.38 million in Q2 2026, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.8%.
-
6
NVIDIA's optimistic outlook boosts tech stocks, Nasdaq futures rise 0.7%, South Korea's KOSPI leads Asian markets with a 2.7% gain.
-
7
Brent crude oil fell 2.0% intraday, nearing $97/barrel, Bitcoin rose 1.2% to $77,426, and gold increased by 0.5%.
-
8
JPMorgan Chase and Santander Lead Over £1 Billion Loan for Drax's Acquisition of Bluefield Solar
-
9
Prudential Exits AlexForbes as Motsepe’s ARC Boosts Stake
-
10
South Korea's FSS calls for stronger consumer protection at brokerages amid rising debt-fueled investing
Markets Today
Recommended Reading


