The analysis highlights that while Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility has fallen to a long-held floor of 36%, this should not be mistaken for low risk. Adam Haeems, head of asset management at Tesseract Group, warned that cheap volatility encourages traders to build large directional bets, which can accelerate price swings if the market moves. Paul Howard, a senior director at market-making firm Wincent, noted a weakening demand for puts and a lack of strong bids for upside exposure, suggesting the bear market may be nearing its lowest price range for this cycle.