MUFG Bank warns dollar at risk of falling due to Fed's unclear rate path amid Middle East energy shock, despite DXY rising 0.1% to 99.895
MUFG Bank’s Derek Halpenny stated that the dollar is at risk of falling given the lack of confidence in how the Federal Reserve will respond to the energy-price shock driven by the Middle East conflict. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has not provided clear signals about potential interest-rate rises, refraining from forward guidance. Concerns that the Fed could keep rates on hold despite elevated underlying inflation are causing a steepening of the Treasury yield curve. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to an 11-day high of 4.7354%.
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