Alluvial Fund stated in its Q2 2026 investor letter that Talen Energy (Nasdaq:TLN) has transformed through share buybacks and asset reinvestment post-bankruptcy, with projected free cash flow exceeding $40/share by 2028.
Alluvial Fund noted that Talen Energy, as an independent power producer, has demonstrated exceptional operational capabilities through its management's actions post-bankruptcy, including repurchasing a significant amount of stock, selling old assets, and reinvesting in modern generation capacity at reasonable prices. The fund believes that the market currently views Talen as a proxy for AI and data centers, leading to significant volatility in its stock price. With growing electricity demand and a shortage of generation capacity in the US, Talen is expected to generate strong free cash flow, projected to exceed $40 per share by 2028. Alluvial Fund considers Talen's stock to be undervalued, based on a valuation of 9 times its 2028 free cash flow. As of the end of Q2 2026, 87 hedge funds held shares in Talen Energy.
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