Nick Timiraos quotes Goldman Sachs: The firm is reluctant to change its call, seeing no strong economic case for a rate hike and a less clear-cut Fed decision than market pricing implies.
Goldman Sachs believes some FOMC participants may agree there is no strong economic case for raising the funds rate. However, most FOMC participants are likely concerned about the potential market reaction if a hike, almost fully priced due to recent Fed communication, is not delivered. Chairman Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech led the market to expect a hike if inflation news was imperfect, and while the CPI was not concerning, it was imperfect.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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