ClearBridge Investments analyst Jeff Schulze stated that despite rising U.S. government bond yields, U.S. equities remain strong due to robust corporate earnings and the fact that the increase in yields reflects economic growth rather than surging inflation. On Friday, the 10-year U.S. government bond yield was reported at 4.93%.
Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, noted that the S&P 500 is only about 2% away from its all-time high, primarily due to a strong corporate earnings environment, with Q2 earnings growing 52% year-over-year. He believes the recent rise in 10-year Treasury yields (reported at 4.93% on Friday, with 30-year Treasury yields near 5.33%) is mainly driven by real rates, reflecting economic growth, AI infrastructure buildout, and a repricing of the Federal Reserve's policy path, rather than surging inflation expectations or a fiscal credibility shock. The market has already priced in expectations for a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
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