Goldman Sachs Report: Six major US cloud service providers need to generate $1.42 trillion in revenue between 2028 and 2030 to provide a reasonable return on $1.73 trillion in AI capital expenditures.
Goldman Sachs' latest research report indicates that, under a baseline assumption of a 15% annualized return on invested capital (ROIC), six major US hyperscale cloud service providers—Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Oracle, and SpaceX—would need to collectively generate approximately $1.42 trillion in revenue between 2028 and 2030 to justify their estimated AI hashrate capital expenditures of about $1.73 trillion from 2026 to 2027. The report also notes that as of Q2 2026, the top three public cloud service providers have accumulated approximately $1.69 trillion in contract backlog, significantly exceeding Goldman Sachs' calculated threshold of $1.00 trillion, providing substantial support for future monetization potential.
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