Fed's preferred inflation gauge PCE due Wednesday, expected to show persistent price pressures and strong consumer spending
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's primary inflation gauge, is expected to show increases of 0.3% month-over-month for both all-items and core levels. On an annual basis, these are projected to be 3.7% and 3.3% respectively, unchanged from July and remaining well above the Fed's 2% target. Analysts suggest this data is unlikely to provide evidence against further interest rate hikes. Separately, consumer spending is anticipated to have risen by 0.8% in August, indicating continued resilience despite ongoing price increases. Fed officials, including Chairman Kevin Warsh and Governor Michael Barr, have recently indicated that financial conditions are not restrictive enough and further policy adjustments may be needed to bring inflation down to target.
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