Deutsche Bank: Gold Holdings Extremely Bearish, Reversal Signals Accumulating, Recommend Buying
Deutsche Bank's latest commodity research report, published on September 30, states that the gold market currently exhibits a triple characteristic of being "ignored, oversold, and under-allocated," with extreme pessimism in positioning nearing a "capitulation" moment. The report indicates that Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) have sold 52% of their largest position size in the past month, marking the third-highest monthly outflow in history. However, gold prices have consistently failed to hit new lows, a divergence signal suggesting strong hedging demand in the market. Daniel Ghali, Head of Metals Research at Deutsche Bank, explicitly called to "buy in Sorrento" in the report, believing this is when alarm bells are ringing loudest. He warned that if gold prices fall again in the coming week, CTAs could push their positions to "effectively maximum short" levels, constituting an absolute capitulation moment for the gold market. However, the probability of further subsequent selling is extremely low given continuous central bank buying.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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