Technical analyst Aksel Kibar noted that after a strong autumn rally, Bitcoin entered a "hard retest" phase around $82,800, where the price pulls back to previously broken levels to confirm buyer strength. He believes that insufficient global liquidity and a lack of momentum are the main reasons for this phenomenon, leading major assets to experience deep technical pullbacks after every strong rally. Market hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve's October 27-28 meeting also prompted capital outflows from risk assets. Decentralized prediction platforms show a 63% probability of Bitcoin temporarily falling below $80,000.