Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its October Outlook Report: Raised the FY2027 inflation forecast to 2.6%, expects economic activity risks to be broadly balanced, and price risks to be skewed to the upside.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its October Outlook Report, raising its forecast for CPI (excluding fresh food) for fiscal year 2027 from 2.4% to 2.6%, while keeping the fiscal year 2026 CPI forecast unchanged at 2.5%. The report anticipates that risks to economic activity are roughly balanced, while price risks lean to the upside, with the potential for rising medium-to-long-term inflation expectations and core CPI inflation possibly deviating above the 2% target. The BOJ expects the economy to grow moderately but at a slower pace in fiscal year 2026, with a moderate recovery in growth starting from fiscal year 2027, as the negative impact of high energy and raw material prices diminishes and the virtuous cycle from income to spending strengthens.
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