Russell Investments Warns: A Slight Upside Surprise in October U.S. CPI Could Prompt the Federal Reserve to Hike Rates in December
Russell Investments warns that if the US October CPI comes in slightly above expectations, it could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in December. BeiChen Lin, a strategist at Russell Investments, stated that given strong employment data and economic resilience, the Fed has a low tolerance for persistent inflation; therefore, if Tuesday's US CPI report shows a slight upward surprise, it could solidify a Fed rate hike in December. Current market pricing indicates that the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Fed on December 9 has risen to 84.5%, up from 76.3% the previous day.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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