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Inflation
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Analysis: Hedge funds are rapidly pulling out of safe-haven assets and shifting their focus to undervalued Asian stocks, U.S. Treasuries, and the consumer sector.
Svmuu News: The U.S.-Iran peace agreement is set to be formally signed this Friday, marking a major turning point for global markets. Hedge funds are rapidly exiting safe-haven assets and shifting the
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Inflation Risk Rises, South Korea's Central Bank Governor Signals Readiness to Hike Rates
Svmuu News: Bank of Korea Governor Rhee Chang-yong warned that the central bank cannot afford to fall behind the curve in controlling inflation. This statement sends a clear signal: policymakers are f
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analyst: US and Iran are both unwilling to give in, each hoping to outlast the other for a better deal
Svmuu News: Analyst Torbjorn Soltvedt pointed out that although there is a fragile truce between the US and Iran, low-intensity conflicts continue to pressure the ceasefire, escalating into more inten
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Electronic components are driving up the PPI index, which has hit its highest level since November 2022
Svmuu reported that the PPI inflation rate surged to 6.5% in May, exceeding the expected 6.4% and reaching its highest level since November 2022. The core PPI inflation rate stood at 4.9%, unchanged f
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Institution: Short-term Treasuries' Reaction to CPI Is Typically Less Sensitive Than to Employment Data
Svmuu reported that analysts at Julius Baer Group, led by Afonso Borges, noted in a report that the moderate rebound led by short-term Treasuries following the release of the US May CPI report on Wedn
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SK Hynix's multiple equipment suppliers have proposed price increases
Svmuu reports that according to South Korea's ETNews, several primary equipment suppliers for SK Hynix have recently proposed price increases, with supply price hikes ranging from 3% to 4%. SK Hynix h
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. US CPI annual rate hits a new high since April 2023, spot gold briefly surges approximately $20; 2. Tom Lee: SpaceX's century-defining IPO is the culprit behind the weakening US stock market; its l
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Donald Trump Reaction to the latest inflation data hitting a high not seen since last September: I love inflation
Svmuu News: When asked by reporters if he was concerned about the latest inflation data released today, U.S. President Trump said: "No, I'm fine with it. I love inflation." Latest data shows that the
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Inflation at Three-Year High Drags on US Stock Market, Dow Falls, Chip Stocks Continue to Decline
Svmuu reported that U.S. stocks weakened on Wednesday as investors digested a sell-off in the chip sector, escalating geopolitical tensions, and higher-than-expected inflation data. The Dow Jones Indu
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Strategist: U.S. inflation remains high, but cooling core data provides some breathing room for Federal Reserve
Strategist: US Inflation Remains Elevated, but Cooling Core Data Gives Fed Room to Breathe
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After the CPI data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96.3%
Svmuureports that, according to the CME "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is
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U.S. Core Inflation Unexpectedly Cools in May, Traders Still Bet on Fed Rate Hike by Year-End
Svmuu reported that the U.S. core CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month in May, below the market expectation of 0.3%. U.S. Treasuries strengthened slightly, while bond traders maintained their bets that the Fe
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“Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos: CPI rose 8.2% on a three-month annualized basis
Svmuu reported that "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos noted that it should not be overlooked that the overall CPI rose 0.47% month-over-month (an annualized increase of 5.8%), pushing the unadjusted annua
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Economist: Trump Needs to Resolve the Strait Issue Quickly to Reassure the Fed
Svmuu News Brian Jacobsen, Chief Economist at Annex Wealth Management, said the inflation data meeting expectations does not mean it is a good report. He added that the overall inflation data does not
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July rate hike probability stands at only 13% as US core inflation eases recent Fed concerns
Svmuu reported that US CPI data for May showed inflation surging to a three-year high, but the moderate rise in core prices has alleviated Wall Street's concerns about interest rate hikes. Today's CPI
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Analysis: US inflation in May returns to "4-handle," war-related inflation peak may have passed (Jin10 Data APP)
Svmuu reported that U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in three years in May, as the conflict in the Middle East pushed up prices for gasoline and other energy products, providing further j
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U.S. annual CPI rate hits a new high since April 2023, spot gold briefly surges by about $20
Svmuu News: The U.S. core CPI (unadjusted) for May recorded an annual rate of 2.9%, in line with market expectations, reaching a new high since September 2025. Spot gold briefly surged by about $20 to
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U.S. May seasonally adjusted CPI MoM 0.5%, expected 0.50%, prior 0.60%
According to Svmuu, the U.S. May seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate stands at 0.5%, compared with an expected 0.50% and a previous reading of 0.60%. (Jin10)
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U.S. CPI Preview: Core Inflation Expected to Be Moderate, Potentially Easing Market Rate Hike Concerns
Svmuureports that economists Durie and Wong predict that the overall U.S. CPI data for May will be strong, but core inflation, which is more critical to the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, sh
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QCP: Cross-asset sell-off continues, crypto market remains fragile in the short term
Svmuu reports that QCP analysis indicates the ongoing cross-asset sell-off continues, with the crypto market's movements highly correlated with global risk sentiment. When geopolitical tensions, inter
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U.S. CPI Preview: Inflationary pressures remain concentrated in food and energy; energy volatility in the Middle East is key to a shift in the landscape
Svmuu reported that Jason Pride, Head of Investment Strategy and Research at Glenmede, said U.S. inflationary pressures are expected to remain concentrated in the food and energy sectors, with core CP
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. SK Hynix is reportedly set to list in the US as early as August; 2. BIT: Bitcoin faces triple hedging pressure, with today's CPI data being the first key checkpoint; 3. SpaceX IPO investment demand
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US May CPI could hit a new three-year high, consumer confidence and purchasing power continue to erode
Svmuu News: Economists predict that a key inflation indicator due out Wednesday will show U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in over three years in May. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody
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US CPI Preview: Root Cause of Inflation Extends Far Beyond Oil, Sticky Inflation May Not Fade Quickly
Svmuureports that the market expects the US overall CPI annual rate for May to rise to 4.2% (previous value 2.4%), with the monthly rate falling to 0.5%. This would be the first time CPI has surpassed
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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US Treasury Yields Rise as TIPS Data Suggests Increasing Real Yields, Weighing on Non-Yielding Assets Like Bitcoin
US Treasury yields have risen, with data from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) indicating that the increase is driven by rising real yields rather than inflation. This dynamic is seen as
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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The U.S. Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% in the second quarter, slightly above the expected 0.8%, with wage growth accelerating in the private sector.
According to data from the U.S. Department of Labor, the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% quarter-over-quarter in the second quarter, slightly exceeding the 0.8% increase expected by economists s
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Eurozone CPI Rises to 2.9% in July, Core CPI Rebounds; Probability of an ECB Rate Hike in September Rises to 85%
According to data from Eurostat, the eurozone’s year-over-year consumer price index (CPI) rose to 2.9% in July, up from 2.8% in June. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rebounded unexp
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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Eurozone inflation rises to 2.9% in July
Eurozone inflation rose to 2.9% in July. An energy shock is expected to keep the European Central Bank (ECB) on alert ahead of its September rate decision.
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: We will accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes as circumstances warrant; exchange rates are having a greater impact on inflation than in the past
Bank of Japan (BOJ) At a press conference following the July 31 monetary policy meeting, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that if financial conditions become excessively loose, the central ban
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Kenya's July Inflation Rises to 6.5% as Fuel Costs Drive Price Growth
Kenya's annual inflation rate slightly increased to 6.5% in July, primarily driven by rising energy costs. This marks the third consecutive month that the inflation rate has surpassed the midpoint of
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Bank of Japan Releases July 2026 Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices
The Bank of Japan has released its 'Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices' report for July 2026, detailing the central bank's latest views on the economic situation and inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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U.S. Stocks Rise Amid Inflation Fears
U.S. stocks rose amidst ongoing inflation fears.
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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US Dollar Slips Against Yen as Focus Shifts to Inflation Data
The US dollar weakened against the Japanese yen, with the yen rising 0.3% to a one-week high of 162.88 per dollar. This movement occurred as market attention shifted to the upcoming US Personal Consum
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U.S. economic growth slowed to 1.5% in the second quarter; the core inflation rate in June was 3.3%
U.S. economic growth slowed to 1.5% in the second quarter; the core inflation rate in June was 3.3%
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Dow Rises Ahead Of Inflation Data; Meta Plunges On Earnings
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose as investors awaited key inflation data. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms' stock plunged following its earnings report.
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US June Core PCE Price Index Rises Less Than Expected M/M, Headline PCE Matches Estimates
The US June Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 0.1% month-over-month, which was below the estimated 0.2% increase. The June PCE Price Index fell 0.1% month-over-month, match
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The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged, but there are hawkish voices within the bank
The Bank of England decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 3.75%. The vote was 6 to 3, with three policymakers supporting a rate hike and none supporting a cut, reflecting internal hawkish
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Inflation
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