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Interest rate hike
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July rate hike probability stands at only 13% as US core inflation eases recent Fed concerns
Svmuu reported that US CPI data for May showed inflation surging to a three-year high, but the moderate rise in core prices has alleviated Wall Street's concerns about interest rate hikes. Today's CPI
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Market Reduces Bets on Fed Rate Hikes, US and Brent Crude Oil Remain Stable
Svmuu reported that short-term interest rate futures show the market has reduced its bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates. US and Brent crude oil prices remain largely unchanged, at $89.
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U.S. CPI Preview: Core Inflation Expected to Be Moderate, Potentially Easing Market Rate Hike Concerns
Svmuureports that economists Durie and Wong predict that the overall U.S. CPI data for May will be strong, but core inflation, which is more critical to the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, sh
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Gold prices have erased all of this year's gains, and international gold prices continue to fall
Svmuu News Following a decline during the Asian trading session on the 10th, international gold prices continued to fall during the European trading session that same day, briefly dipping below the $4
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Bank of America: If BOJ Takes Hawkish Stance with Rate Hike Next Week, It Will Support the Yen
Svmuureports that Shusuke Yamada, a foreign exchange and interest rate strategist at Bank of America Global Research, stated that if the Bank of Japan (BOJ) takes a hawkish stance with a rate hike at
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Institution: Low Possibility of BOJ Governor Issuing Overly Hawkish Signals
Svmuu reports that Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities believes the possibility of Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda issuing overly hawkish signals at his press conference next week is low (i.e., exceeding
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South Korean regulators will investigate speculative won trading and require banks to strengthen risk management
Svmuu reported that South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has stated that tensions in the Middle East and market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike are driving fluctuations in the
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Trump: Good Economic Performance Shouldn't Lead to Rate Hikes; the U.S. Has a Debt Problem
Svmuureported that U.S. President Trump stated that it would be a mistake for Federal Reserve policymakers to choose to raise interest rates after the U.S. employment data significantly exceeded expec
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Donald Trump: Federal Reserve There is no reason to raise interest rates
Trump stated that there is no reason for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. (Jin Shi)
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Spot gold gives up its year-to-date gains
Svmuu: Spot gold has erased all of its gains for the year, following U.S. employment data that strengthened market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. (Jin Shi)
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Hawk: Recent rate hikes may be appropriate
Svmuureported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated that with the labor market appearing to be approaching balance, a rate hike in the near term may be appropriate. Hammack said that while she never f
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Citi on the Nonfarm Payrolls Report: A Favorable Environment for the Dollar
Svmuu: U.S. employment data came in stronger than expected, boosting the dollar, while progress in U.S.-Iran peace talks stalled. The U.S. dollar index is on track for its biggest gain since April 8 o
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Analyst: If we see a few more nonfarm payroll reports like this, the baseline scenario will shift to several rate hikes
Svmuureports that institutional analyst Jersey commented on the US non-farm payroll data, stating that it is difficult to describe the job market as weak. For the interest rate market, the risk is bec
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U.S. job growth over the past three months has been the strongest in more than two years
According to U.S. media reports, U.S. employment growth in May exceeded all economists' expectations, with the unemployment rate remaining stable, further indicating that the labor market may be emerg
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The probability of a Fed rate hike in December rose to 63%
Svmuu reported that data from U.S. interest rate futures show the probability of a Fed rate hike in December has risen from 48% to 63%. (Jinshi)
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Moody's Warns: Federal Reserves May Be Forced to Raise Interest Rates as Inflation Expectations Soar
Svmuu News: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, pointed out that although U.S. GDP has risen this year and the economy appears resilient, warning signs are already flashing. Under the leadership o
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Federal Reserve Study: With the Logic of Monetary Policy Being Reshaped, the Dilemma Faced by Oil Price Shocks Is Easing, Allowing Prioritization of Inflation Control
Svmuureports that the Boston Federal Reserve released a new study on Thursday stating that fundamental changes in the U.S. energy structure have completely altered the transmission path of oil price s
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International Monetary Fund: Market Has Begun to Bet on Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu reports that the International Monetary Fund stated the expected timeline for the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target return has been pushed back to the end of 2027, compared to a previous for
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World Gold Council: Fed rate hikes may unexpectedly benefit gold
Svmuu reported that the World Gold Council stated in its gold market commentary report released on June 4 that looking ahead, as inflationary pressures rise, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inte
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Svmuu Noon News
1. CryptoQuant Founder: Bitcoin OG selling is part of institutional accumulation process, next rally still expected; 2. Only about $20 away from liquidation price, Machi Big Brother continues to reduc
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Sources: The Bank of Japan (BOJ)s is considering a rate hike in June, with further increases possible thereafter
Svmuu News According to informed sources, Bank of Japan officials are preparing to consider a 25 basis point increase in the benchmark interest rate this month and believe further rate hikes are possi
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Federal Reserve's Logan: The Fed May Need to Raise Interest Rates This Year to Curb Prices
SvmuuNews, Federal Reserve's Logan stated that Fed officials may need to raise interest rates later this year to bring inflation down to the 2% target level. She noted that the U.S. labor market is "l
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ADP data suggests the US labor market may still be accelerating
According to Svmuu, U.S. companies added the highest number of new jobs in May since January 2025, indicating that the labor market may still be accelerating despite rising energy costs due to the war
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Svmuu Noon News
1. WLFI reminds users to comply with sanctions requirements; transactions involving sanctioned addresses may be rejected; 2. The "1011 insider whale" once transferred 1.35 billion USD worth of ETH to
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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