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Interest rate hike
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Analysis: Active buying by long-term holders has helped BTC form short-term support, but caution is still warranted regarding potential cycle lows.
Svmuu News: 10x Research published an analysis noting that stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data caused temporary price volatility in Bitcoin,and ETF outflows also intensified selling pressure.
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Bank Santander: Despite Weak June Employment Data, Federal Reserves Will Continue to Focus on Inflation
Svmuu News: Evercore ISI stated, “Employment data has returned to normal, and the Federal Reserve will continue to focus on inflation.” Economists believe the Federal Reserve will view the weak June e
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Analysis: Nonfarm Payrolls Data Weakens but Still Shows Growth; Federal Reserve’s Decision to Hold Rates Is Reassessed
Svmuu News: Analyst Eric Merlis said, “June’s nonfarm payrolls fell significantly short of expectations, in sharp contrast to the string of upward surprises earlier this year, but the labor market con
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Analysis: Gold Prices Boosted by Nonfarm Payroll Data and Recent Remarks by Warsh
Svmuu News: Lower-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payroll data has boosted gold prices, which are currently up 2% after falling slightly prior to the report’s release. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor St
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Surprise Nonfarm Payrolls Data Dampens Rate Hike Expectations; U.S. Treasury Yields Drop in Response
Svmuu News: The weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report prompted traders to scale back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming months, causing U.S. Treasur
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Analysis: Weak nonfarm payrolls data have dampened expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve, causing bond prices to rise.
Svmuu News: Following a weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report, U.S. Treasury prices rose as traders scaled back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming m
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Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise to the Downside; Market Bets on Rate Hike Delay Until Year-End
Svmuu News: U.S. June nonfarm payroll data showed that, despite a decline in the unemployment rate, hiring slowed significantly in June, dampening the initial momentum of job growth this year.Accordin
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The market is scaling back bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply following the release of the nonfarm payrolls data, as the market scaled back its bets on Federal Reserve raising interest rates. The mar
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Ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve's probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July stands at 68.5%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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Bank of Japan (BOJ), a private-sector member of Japan’s Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy: Interest rates should continue to rise at a moderate pace
Svmuu News: Toshihiro Nagahama, a private-sector member of Japan’s Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest rates should continue to rise at a moderate pace. Moderate Bank o
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to say whether interest rates would be raised in July
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to comment on whether Federal Reserve might raise interest rates at its July meeting.“I hope that when we meet in four weeks, we’ll have a full ‘in-
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Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 33.7%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis po
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UBS: First Monetary Policy Meeting of the Warsh Era Takes a Hawkish Turn; Expectations for Rate Hikes This Year May Be on the Aggressive Side
Svmuu News UBS noted in its latest report that the first monetary policy meeting following Kevin Warsh’s appointment as Chairman of the Federal Reserve sent a clearly hawkish signal, but market bets o
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ING Group: Warsh's Upcoming Speech May Boost the Dollar
Svmuu News: Chris Turner of ING Group stated in a report that if Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh focuses on price stability during his speech at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Sintra, Portuga
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Amid concerns over interest rate hikes, gold prices fell back below $40,000
Svmuu News: Gold prices fell back below $4,000 per ounce ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Wash at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Portugal. Analysts at Saxo Bank stated, “The mar
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ITC: The yen's depreciation appears unusually gradual
Svmuu News: Sean Callow, Senior Forex Analyst at InTouch Capital Markets, said that the most striking aspect of the yen’s depreciation over the past few weeks has been the relatively smooth and orderl
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Will Not Prejudge Whether an Interest Rate Hike Is Needed in July
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that he would not prejudge whether an interest rate hike is needed in July, and that he currently sees no tensions in the dual mandate. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Federal Reserve: A rate hike may need to be considered
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that the job market is nearing full employment and the outlook for growth is positive. Inflation remains too high, Federal Reserve and a rate hike may need to b
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Castle Securities: The AI Market Is Facing Greater Risks; Federal Reserve's Policies Will Become More Stringent
Svmuu News: Castle Securities stated that the AI market is facing greater risks, including weakening demand, declining returns, and increased political and regulatory scrutiny. Investors have underest
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Bank of America Securities: A Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Report May Lead the Market to Anticipate Three Rate Hikes in 2026
Svmuu News: On June 29, Bank of America Securities projected that U.S. nonfarm payrolls would rise significantly by 110,000 in June, driven primarily by moderate initial jobless claims and strong ADP
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South Korea's inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month; June CPI is expected to rise 3.2% year-over-year
Svmuu News: A survey indicates that South Korea’s overall inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month, surpassing the Bank of Korea’s 2% target. The median forecast of seven economis
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: In last week’s dot plot projections, nearly half of the officials expected at least one more rate hike this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Official Kashkari stated, “I am concerned about inflation; this is not just related to the situation in the Middle East, but is a manifestation of broader inflationary press
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: Expects One Rate Hike in 2026 and No Change in Interest Rates in 2027
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Kashkari said he expects one rate hike in 2026 and that rates will remain unchanged in 2027, noting that it remains to be seen how the absence of forward guidance will play
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell as inflation concerns eased
Svmuu News: As oil prices fell more than 3% and the market reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rates, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. CME Group(CME) Federal Reserve’s monitoring too
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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ODMCoin (ODMC) Project Review: A Blockchain Attempt at Oil and Gas Waste Treatment
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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