The U.S. Economy

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U.S. mortgage rates rose for a second consecutive day, with the 30-year fixed rate climbing to 6.91%.
U.S. mortgage rates rose for a second consecutive day on Saturday, September 12, 2026, according to Zillow's lender market data. The 30-year fixed rate increased by 8 basis points to 6.91%, the 15-yea

12/09/2026 10:09 UTC #Mortgage Interest Rates #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Macro
U.S. September consumer sentiment index fell 7.5% to 47.8, the second-lowest reading since 1952
The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index dropped 7.5% in September to 47.8, marking the second-lowest reading in the survey's history dating back to 1952. Consumers expect inflation to co

11/09/2026 16:59 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, above expectations of 0.2%.
U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, above expectations of 0.2%.

11/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
Bank of America Strategist: Diesel Prices Are the Real Threat to the U.S. Economy, Surpassing $6 on Friday to Hit a New All-Time High
Bank of America Strategist: Diesel Prices Are the Real Threat to the U.S. Economy, Surpassing $6 on Friday to Hit a New All-Time High

11/09/2026 10:44 UTC #Bank of America #The U.S. Economy #Energy prices #Commodities #Inflation #Macro
Investor Warning: US Treasury Secretary Bessent's $6 Billion Bond Operation Insufficient to Curb Soaring Borrowing Costs
Investor Warning: US Treasury Secretary Bessent's $6 Billion Bond Operation Insufficient to Curb Soaring Borrowing Costs

11/09/2026 04:22 UTC #Bond Market #Bonds #U.S. Department of the Treasury #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. container imports reached 2.6 million TEUs in August, the third-highest monthly level on record, according to Descartes.
U.S. container imports in August rose 3% year-over-year and 22% versus August 2019, signaling resilient consumer demand despite tariffs and inflation. Shipping costs remain elevated, with Shanghai-New

10/09/2026 18:41 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Shipping #Geopolitics #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
US August Existing Home Sales fell 2% MoM to 3.98M units, meeting estimates
US August Existing Home Sales fell 2% MoM to 3.98M units, meeting estimates

10/09/2026 14:02 UTC #Sales of Existing Homes #The U.S. Economy #Macro
UBS's Reiman Expects Two Fed Rate Hikes This Year, Says US Economy Can Withstand Them
Kurt Reiman, head of fixed income at UBS Global Wealth Management, expects two interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve this year, stating that the US economy can withstand them. He attributes ris

10/09/2026 11:48 UTC #UBS #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate hike #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
HSBC's Kettner Says Bond Yields Are About Fundamentals, Not Bessent's Influence
Max Kettner, chief multi-asset strategist at HSBC Bank, argues that higher US bond yields are driven by US growth and exceptionalism, stating, "at the end of the day, this is fundamentals, this is not

09/09/2026 11:12 UTC #HSBC #U.S. Treasury Bonds #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. mortgage demand fell by 2.7%, with the average 30-year fixed rate rising to 6.85%.
U.S. mortgage applications fell by 2.7% last week, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), with refinancing applications down 6.2% and purchase applications down 0.2%. During th

09/09/2026 11:03 UTC #Real Estate #Mortgage #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Small Business Confidence Edged Lower in August, Index Down 1.1 Points to 98.7
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) reported that its small-business optimism index ticked down 1.1 points to 98.7 in August, as uncertainty remained elevated and expectations for b

08/09/2026 10:55 UTC #Small Business Confidence #NFIB #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US Mortgage and Refinance Rates on Sep 7: 30-Year Fixed Purchase at 6.67%, 15-Year Fixed at 6.04%, Fixed Purchase Rates Lower Than Refi Rates
According to Zillow lender marketplace data for Monday, September 7, 2026, the 30-year fixed purchase rate is 6.67%, 6 basis points lower than the current refinance rate. The 15-year fixed purchase ra

07/09/2026 10:13 UTC #Refinancing Rate #Zillow #Mortgage #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #Macro
Trump posts on Truth Social: "No wonder they like me!!! Women account for almost all net U.S. job gains since I took office."
Trump posts on Truth Social: "No wonder they like me!!! Women account for almost all net U.S. job gains since I took office."

07/09/2026 01:54 UTC #Truth Social #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks #Donald Trump
The Nikkei 225 rose 1.8% to 66,167.70 points, led by chip-related stocks.
Japanese stocks rose in early trading, buoyed by sustained optimism for AI-related demand and signs of a strengthening US economy. SoftBank Group climbed 6.2%, Tokyo Electron gained 4.5%, and Lasertec

07/09/2026 00:23 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Stocks #Japanese stock market #chip #Artificial Intelligence #Macro
US trucking industry sees business boom from AI data center construction, offsetting trade war and fuel price impacts
The construction of sprawling AI data centers, which require massive components like HVAC systems, wiring, and semiconductors to be transported primarily by truck, is providing a significant boost to

05/09/2026 13:48 UTC #Freight Industry #The U.S. Economy #Data Center #Artificial Intelligence #Macro
JPMorgan Chase has reinstated its long position on the dollar, with analysts believing the dollar remains undervalued by 3% to 4% relative to interest rate differentials, and that the resilience of the U.S. economy has not been fully priced in.
JPMorgan Chase has reinstated its long position on the dollar, with analysts believing the dollar remains undervalued by 3% to 4% relative to interest rate differentials, and that the resilience of th

05/09/2026 04:34 UTC #The U.S. Economy #JPMorgan Chase #Macro #U.S. dollar #Foreign Exchange
Donald Trump praised the strong performance of the US summer tourism industry, with the World Cup contributing over $18 billion.
Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, stating that the U.S. summer tourism season was "incredible," with Americans traveling nearly 300 billion miles and national parks hosting 78 million visitors. He

04/09/2026 22:55 UTC #FIFA World Cup #Tourism Industry #The U.S. Economy #Macro #Donald Trump
U.S. August employment report shows manufacturing and construction job growth outpaced services, with AI infrastructure investment identified as a core driver.
Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) shows that over the six months ending in August, employment in goods-producing industries grew by 0.6%, surpassing the 0.4% increase in the service

04/09/2026 21:47 UTC #Manufacturing #The U.S. Economy #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks #Donald Trump
U.S. Employers Added 162,000 Jobs in August, Marking a Hiring Rebound and Stronger Summer Job Market Than Previously Thought
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on September 4 that U.S. employers added 162,000 jobs in August, exceeding some forecasters' expectations. Revisions to previous months' totals also indicated a

04/09/2026 16:04 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
Fed source Nick Timiraos: U.S. August wage growth slowed to 3.1%, the lowest in the current cycle; private sector aggregate weekly payrolls index rose 4.3% year-over-year.
Fed insider Nick Timiraos cited data indicating that U.S. wage growth over the past 12 months slowed to 3.1% in August, marking a new low for the current cycle. Specifically, wage growth for private s

04/09/2026 14:44 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
US six-month hiring average rises to 107,000 for all employers and 106,000 for private-sector employers, reaching the highest levels in over two years.
US six-month hiring average rises to 107,000 for all employers and 106,000 for private-sector employers, reaching the highest levels in over two years.

04/09/2026 12:38 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Average Hourly Earnings YoY 3.1%, expected 3%, prior 3.2%
Average Hourly Earnings YoY: 3.1%, expected 3%, previous 3.2% Private Nonfarm Payrolls: 127K, expected 45K, previous 30K U6 Unemployment Rate: 7.7%, expected 8%, previous 7.9% Labor Force Participatio

04/09/2026 12:32 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro
US August Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 53,000, Unemployment Rate to Stay at 4.1% Ahead of Friday's Report
US August Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 53,000, Unemployment Rate to Stay at 4.1% Ahead of Friday's Report

03/09/2026 19:41 UTC #Nonfarm Payrolls #Unemployment rate #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US ISM Services PMI 55.4, expected 54.3, previous 54.1
ISM Services PMI: 55.4, expected 54.3, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 55.4, expected 54.2, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index: 72.6, prior 70.3 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Index

03/09/2026 14:03 UTC #Service Industry #PMI #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int

30/10/2026 16:43 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate hike #Inflation #Macro #Federal Reserve #Foreign Exchange
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala

30/10/2026 15:57 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Employment #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks #Federal Reserve
Fed insider Nick Timiraos: US private sector compensation growth slowed to 3.1% in Q3, the lowest since Q1 2021.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos cited Employment Cost Index data, stating that U.S. wage growth has slowed slightly over the past year. Private sector compensation (excluding incentive-based occ

30/10/2026 12:54 UTC #Remuneration #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis points to 4.586%.
Following the release of US economic data, Treasury yields broadly declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling 6.22 basis points to 4.927% and the 2-year Treasury yield dropping 7.05 basis point

30/10/2026 12:39 UTC #Bonds #The U.S. Economy #U.S. Treasuries #Macro
Donald Trump reposted a tweet from Mark Levin, reiterating his optimistic assessment of the U.S. economy, citing falling gasoline and food prices, economic growth, and rising consumer confidence.
Donald Trump reposted a tweet from conservative radio host Mark Levin, reiterating his optimistic assessment of the U.S. economy. The tweet highlighted falling gasoline prices, flat or decreasing food

30/10/2026 10:51 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
Donald Trump stated that the U.S. economy grew by 3.4%, a new historical high, with equipment investment surging 21% and core inflation remaining low.
Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, stating that the U.S. economy is "booming" at a rate of 3.4%, with "significant increases" in consumer spending and business investment, and a "21% explosion" in n

29/10/2026 19:12 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Q3 GDP Grows 3.4%, Strongest in a Year; Private Investment Hits Nearly 15-Year High
The White House announced that the U.S. economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, marking its strongest pace in a year. Private investment in plants and equipment surged

29/10/2026 16:46 UTC #Consumption #GDP #Investment #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding expectations, while the core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above expectations.
U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, above market expectations of 3.2% and the previous quarter's 2.2%. Meanwhile, the Q3 core PCE price index annualized growth was 2.5%, slightly above the ex

29/10/2026 12:57 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #digital currency
US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, beating forecasts, with AI spending fueling growth.
US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter, beating forecasts, with AI spending fueling growth.

29/10/2026 12:41 UTC #The U.S. Economy #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis: U.S. Q3 real GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, higher than Q2's 2.2%.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026 (July, August, and September), according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic A

29/10/2026 12:38 UTC #BEA #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
US Q3 GDP initial estimate rose 3.4%, exceeding expectations; the market anticipates September PCE inflation year-on-year to accelerate to 3.7%.
U.S. Q3 GDP grew at an annualized 3.4% in its initial estimate, exceeding market expectations. Meanwhile, according to Dow Jones consensus, the market anticipates a 0.5% month-over-month increase in t

29/10/2026 12:36 UTC #GDP #PCE #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth exceeded expectations at 3.4%, while inflation accelerated, with Q3 core PCE rising to 2.5%.
U.S. Q3 GDP annualized growth was 3.4%, exceeding market expectations of 3.2% and accelerating from Q2's 2.2%. Meanwhile, inflation data also showed signs of acceleration, with the Q3 core PCE price i

29/10/2026 12:35 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Foreign Exchange
US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations
US September headline PCE inflation rises to 3.6% YoY, core PCE to 3.1% YoY, both matching expectations

29/10/2026 12:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro #Foreign Exchange
EPA projects Trump's methane policy rollback would minimally impact 2027 crude prices, lowering them by 11 cents a barrel
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) projects that U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed rollback of methane emissions rules would lower U.S. crude prices by 11 cents a barrel in 2027, or 0.14%.

29/10/2026 04:05 UTC #U.S. Environmental Protection Agency #The U.S. Economy #Policy #Commodities #Crude oil #Macro
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent anticipates strong Q3 GDP data.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent anticipates strong Q3 GDP data.

28/10/2026 20:14 UTC #GDP #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US September Goods Trade Deficit Widens to $134.9 Billion, Largest Since March 2025, Driven by AI Data Center-Related Capital Goods Imports
The US goods trade deficit widened 2.1% to $134.9 billion in September, marking its largest level since March 2025. This exceeded economists' expectations of $130.2 billion. Imports rose 2.4%, primari

28/10/2026 12:45 UTC #Trade Deficit #The U.S. Economy #Semiconductor #AI #Macro #U.S. stocks
Early Q3 earnings reports indicate U.S. consumers remain 'resilient' despite high inflation, though some companies show signs of strain. Companies like Royal Caribbean, Coca-Cola, and UPS reported ste

27/10/2026 18:18 UTC #Consumption #The U.S. Economy #Financial Report #Inflation #Macro #U.S. stocks
US October Consumer Confidence Index rises to 91.7, exceeding consensus of 81.0; September revised to 84.2 from 81.9, according to Conference Board
US October Consumer Confidence Index rises to 91.7, exceeding consensus of 81.0; September revised to 84.2 from 81.9, according to Conference Board

27/10/2026 14:01 UTC #Conference Board #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Macro
US durable goods orders rose 1.8% in September, slightly above the 1.7% forecast, following a revised 0.1% increase in August
US durable goods orders rose 1.8% in September, slightly above the 1.7% forecast, following a revised 0.1% increase in August. However, orders excluding transportation rose 0.5% against a 0.6% expecta

27/10/2026 12:33 UTC #The U.S. Economy #Macro #U.S. stocks
ADP data shows that the U.S. private sector added an average of 16,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 10.
ADP data shows that the U.S. private sector added an average of 16,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 10.

27/10/2026 12:21 UTC #ADP #The U.S. Economy #Employment Data #Macro
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.07 in September, up from -0.08
The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) rose to 0.07 in September, up from -0.08, indicating that U.S. economic growth was slightly above its historical trend. The report showed that productio

26/10/2026 12:32 UTC #Chicago Fed #The U.S. Economy #Macro
U.S. consumer confidence fell to 48.0 ahead of the midterm elections, nearing a historic low.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 48.0 in its latest reading released on Friday, the second-lowest on record, only above the all-time low of 44.8 set in May of this year. Eco

23/10/2026 17:43 UTC #Consumer Confidence #Midterm Elections #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
US Consumer Sentiment Slips to Five-Month Low on Inflation Woes
US consumer sentiment edged down to a five-month low in October as high prices and rising interest rates depressed morale.

23/10/2026 14:08 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Interest rate #Inflation #Macro
U.S. October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final Reading Rose to 48.0, Exceeding Expectations but Inflation Expectations Increased
The final reading of the US October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index was 48.0, exceeding the expected 46.3 but still below September's 48.1. Within this, the Current Economic Conditions

23/10/2026 14:03 UTC #Consumer Confidence #The U.S. Economy #Inflation #Macro
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