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7/26
10:00
Svmuu News: The latest odds on contracts betting that “the U.S. government will ban open-source AI models in 2026” have dropped to about 19%; just a few days ago, those odds had exceeded 60%. Several CEOs in the AI and tech industries have recently publicly expressed support for the open-source AI approach, diverging from the stance of some cutting-edge labs that advocate for stricter regulation.
09:52
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost posted on X that a large liquidity cluster has formed below the current price of Bitcoin, concentrated between $61,500 and $60,000. There is a possibility that the market could pull back in the coming days and trigger liquidations in this liquidity zone.Typically, areas where a large number of stop-loss orders and leveraged positions are concentrated are prone to price volatility and become key targets for the release of market liquidity. However, this analysis is based on on-chain liquidity patterns and does not imply that the market will definitely fall to the aforementioned range; investors should continue to monitor subsequent price movements and shifts in market sentiment.
09:31
Svmuu News: Aave founder Stani Kulechov posted on X, stating that now more than ever, all stakeholders in the industry need to reach a consensus and make every effort to ensure the smooth passage of the U.S. “CLARITY Act.”
Stani noted that while the CLARITY Act is not perfect and many details still need to be worked out by regulators, the bill will become the first piece of regulatory legislation addressing decentralized finance (DeFi), providing a clear legal framework and regulatory certainty for institutions, fintech companies, and banks to participate in on-chain finance. Once the CLARITY Act is officially enacted, its impact on the on-chain finance ecosystem is expected to be similar to the development opportunities the GENIUS Act previously brought to the stablecoin industry, attracting more investment and institutional capital into the on-chain sector.
Stani added that over the past year—and especially in recent weeks and days—the Aave team has been in close communication with relevant policymakers in Washington, D.C. He noted that the initiative has now entered the “final stretch” toward the bill’s enactment, a phase he described as critical.
09:29
Svmuu News: According to reports from Al-Arabiya TV and the Saudi media outlet Hadath, Iran has informed Pakistani officials that it has not withdrawn from the negotiations but has temporarily suspended them. Iran reiterated the need to resume negotiations once the current impasse is resolved and stated its refusal to open a new shipping lane in the Strait of Hormuz. In addition, Iran has confirmed to Pakistan its willingness to continue negotiations (with the United States) in Geneva, Qatar, or Islamabad; it has also requested that talks resume on the Strait of Hormuz issue, followed by the issue of frozen funds, and finally the nuclear issue. (Jin Shi)
09:25
Svmuu News Donald Trump The government has so far made cumulative investments of approximately $26.7 billion through 30 equity or quasi-equity transactions, involving Intel, MP Materials,U.S. Steel, among others. However, these holdings are scattered across multiple government agencies, and there is currently no unified, public mechanism for disclosing the investment portfolio, nor is there a unified oversight and regular reporting mechanism similar to the TARP program during the 2008 financial crisis.To date Donald Trump, the government’s equity holdings are spread across at least four departments, including the Department of Commerce (17 transactions), the Department of Defense (7 transactions), the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC, 6 transactions), and the Department of Energy (2 transactions). The largest of these investments is the U.S. Department of Commerce’s 9.9% stake in Intel.Notably, Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, described these equity investments as “a down payment on the U.S. establishing a sovereign wealth fund,” suggesting that the U.S. government may further expand its direct holdings of corporate equity. (Fortune)
09:21
Svmuu News: CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated on X that the holdings of long-term Bitcoinholders (LTHs, those holding coins for more than 6 months) have reached an all-time high,currently exceeding 16.3 million BTC. Their average cost basis is approximately $49,400, and at current prices, they have realized only about a 30% paper profit—a relatively low level. By comparison, in January 2025, long-term holders’ net paper profit once reached as high as approximately 340%.
Darkfost also noted that toward the end of the previous bear market, long-term holders were collectively sitting on an unrealized loss of about 20%, and the market ultimately experienced a deeper correction. This suggests that the market could still face further corrections in the future, potentially pushing long-term holders back into the red; however, this does not necessarily mean history will repeat itself.He advised investors to prepare for both a market rally and a pullback.
09:03
Svmuu News: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has informed prediction market companies that they frequently exceed regulatory limits when establishing a large number of event contracts.
The CFTC warned that it needs more specific information in order to evaluate contract submissions on a case-by-case basis.
08:27
Svmuu News: South Korean media conducted a survey of the top 50 overseas derivatives exchanges ranked by CoinMarketCap and found that at least 29 of them have been removed from the Google Play Store in South Korea, including OKX, Bybit, MEXC, KuCoin, BingX, Gemini, BitMEX, and Backpack Exchange.
07:59
Svmuu News: Musk recently sat down for an interview with Zanny Minton Beddoes, editor-in-chief of *The Economist*, and shared his views on topics such as super-intelligent AI, politics, and AI regulation.
Musk predicted that artificial intelligence will surpass the combined intelligence of all humanity within the next five years or so, and stated that by then, AI will outperform humans in nearly every field—except for “being human.” He believes that AI has the potential to usher in an “era of unprecedented abundance,” enabling people to obtain almost anything they desire.
Regarding the risks of AI, Musk reiterated his previous assessment that the probability of AI causing human extinction is approximately 10% to 20%, but noted that as the development of AI and robotics is now irreversible, he has come to accept this reality and said his current attitude is to “enjoy the journey”—even if a “pause button” existed, it might not necessarily be the right choice to press it.
Musk admitted that he had “gotten a little too involved in politics, even to the point of getting carried away.” However, he still defended his previous efforts to push the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to cut fiscal spending, stating that his goal was to reduce government waste and fraudulent spending.
Regarding AI governance, Musk suggested that major AI labs such as OpenAI, xAI, and Anthropic should hold regular safety meetings to assess potential risks in each other’s models before new models are released. He believes that competitors are better equipped than the government to identify issues in each other’s models.
Furthermore, Musk once again criticized OpenAI’s transition from a nonprofit organization to a closed-source, for-profit company and reiterated his dissatisfaction with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman; At the same time, he praised Anthropic co-founder and CEO Dario Amodei as “a man of great principle” and stated that, if necessary, AI companies should “set aside personal grievances and cooperate for the good of the world.”
During the interview, Musk also insisted that budget cuts to the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) “have not caused anyone’s death” and denied related criticisms, prompting skepticism from the interviewer. (Business Insider)
07:58
Svmuu News: According to a report by Iran’s Mehr News Agency on the 26th, Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghaei stated that Iran recently held talks with Oman at the deputy foreign minister level regarding the management of safe shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, noting that the talks were “fruitful and yielded some progress.” He said the Omani delegation had left Tehran on the 25th, but technical and political consultations between the two sides would continue. Baghaei also noted that the current situation regarding navigation in the Strait of Hormuz remains unchanged. (Xinhua News Agency)
07:30
1. U.S. sources reveal Donald Trump that the decision to temporarily suspend the expansion of military operations against Iran was driven by concerns over an escalation of the conflict;
2. Tom Lee responds to Ethereum claims that Ethereum is being eroded by Layer 2 solutions: He disagrees, stating that ETH is a native on-chain currency;
3. A 2.95 billion yuan online gambling case has been exposed; multiple individuals were sentenced for using the Sifang Payment platform to settle transactions involving virtual currencies such as USDT;
4. The three major U.S. closed-source AI giants—OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google—have not yet signed the joint open letter from Jensen Huang;
5. Kioxia undergoes a shareholder shakeup: SK Hynix may become the de facto second-largest shareholder;
6. Huaxia Fund discloses that some of its ETFs may face net asset value discrepancy risks on Changxin Technology’s first day of trading;
7. Analysis: Bitcoin’s rebound faces four major pressures, with rising U.S. Treasury yields exacerbating market risks;
8. South Korea’s SK Telecom bets 750 billion won on AI infrastructure by establishing SK Hyper, ramping up its hyperscale AI data center (AIDC) deployment;
9. CXMT is set to list on the STAR Market tomorrow, with Hyperliquid’s CXMT contract pricing mechanism facing a critical test;
10. With MiCA taking effect in Europe, the crypto industry faces a “major shakeup”: high regulatory barriers may spur a new wave of mergers and acquisitions.
07:27
Svmuu News: Bitcoin News posted on X stating that Cash App has waived transaction fees for purchases over $2,000 and for all automatic Bitcoin purchases.
07:24
Svmuu News: Julian Schrittwieser, a member of the Anthropic engineering team, recently posted on social media, poking fun at the shift in attitude toward “open source” among some tech giants in recent years. He expressed his hope that NVIDIA and Microsoft would further open up their core technologies, stating: “It’s great to see Jensen Huang become a supporter of open source, and I look forward to the open-source release of CUDA and GPU drivers; I also look forward to Satya Nadella’s support for open source and hope to see Windows and Microsoft Office open-sourced in the future.”
Julian Schrittwiese also addressed external speculation regarding his opposition to open weight models, stating that such interpretations are inaccurate. He believes that open models can actually play an important role in many scenarios.However, Schrittwiese noted that it is interesting to observe that some companies, which in the past had long maintained a very cautious or even opposed stance toward open source, are now rapidly shifting toward supporting an open ecosystem.
In recent years, as competition in artificial intelligence has intensified, open-source models, open weights, and developer ecosystems have become key competitive battlegrounds in the tech industry. Companies such as NVIDIA and Microsoft have continuously emphasized their support for open ecosystems, but the definition of “open” remains controversial within the industry—some companies open their model interfaces, toolchains, or ecosystems, while keeping their core commercial assets closed-source.
Julian Schrittwiese’s remarks have also sparked discussion, with the focus centered on whether the “selective open-source” approach promoted by tech giants represents true openness or is merely a new competitive strategy for the ecosystem.
07:21
Svmuu News: According to monitoring by on-chain investigator Specter, the Wemix Network may have suffered a security breach resulting in losses of over $700,000; the relevant address is 0xC921...7EA2.
06:40
Svmuu News: The battle over the EU’s “Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation” (MiCA) is coming to an end, but the real challenges for businesses are just beginning. The high costs of maintaining ongoing compliance systems may reshape the European crypto industry landscape. In the future, the focus of industry competition may shift from “who can obtain a license” to “who can afford the regulatory costs,” driving companies to achieve scale through mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures, or partnerships with banks. As MiCA is gradually implemented and the UK’s crypto regulatory framework nears completion, the European crypto industry is entering a new phase of consolidation. Industry insiders believe that stringent regulatory requirements may drive a new wave of mergers and acquisitions, and collaboration between crypto-native companies and traditional financial institutions will deepen further.
This trend may be even more pronounced in the UK market. The UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is developing a new regulatory framework for crypto assets, which is expected to integrate crypto businesses into the existing financial services regulatory system, subjecting them to capital, operational, and client asset protection requirements similar to those faced by traditional investment institutions. Steven Lightstone, a partner at Morgan Lewis’s London office and co-head of the global fintech team, stated that while the FCA aims to promote market competition and support new entrants, its regulatory standards will be very strict when it comes to consumer protection. Unlike the EU’s standalone MiCA framework, the UK’s approach will directly utilize the existing financial regulatory system to oversee crypto firms.
Meanwhile, increased regulatory certainty is driving European banks to accelerate their entry into the digital asset space. Simon Schneider, CEO of Sygnum Europe, noted that currently, fewer than 20% of European banks offer crypto-related services, indicating a significant market gap. The greatest value of MiCA lies not merely in creating a new licensing system, but in providing legal certainty for financial institutions entering the digital asset market. Citing Switzerland as an example, he noted that following the introduction of distributed ledger technology regulations, most major Swiss banks have begun offering digital asset services, and other parts of Europe may follow this path in the future. In the future, banks will not necessarily replace crypto-native companies but are more likely to rely on specialized infrastructure service providers to collaborate in areas such as custody, brokerage, staking, and asset tokenization.
As firms that fail to obtain MiCA licenses gradually exit the European market, assets may become further concentrated among regulated institutions. However, Schneider believes that self-custody and institutional custody models will continue to coexist for the long term.
Industry insiders believe that the European crypto sector is entering a “regulation-driven consolidation cycle.” For crypto startups that have historically relied on rapid innovation and asset-light models, core competitiveness in the future may no longer lie solely in the speed of technological development, but rather in compliance capabilities, capital scale, and the ability to integrate financial infrastructure. (CoinDesk)
06:36
Svmuu News: According to reports from Al-Arabiya TV and the Saudi media outlet Hadath, the United States and Iran have responded to the proposal put forward by Pakistan and Qatar to resume negotiations. (Jin Shi)
06:31
Svmuu News: According to Al Jazeera, Iranian military spokesman Mohammad Akramian told state media that, since the United States has not launched any strikes against Iran over the past two nights, Iran has halted its retaliatory attacks, and its operations are currently on hold. (Jin Shi)
06:10
Svmuu News: CZ, founder of Binance, responded to the question “Why not acquire small CEXs?” by stating that acquiring centralized exchanges differs from other business ventures. If a hack occurs after an acquisition, it is difficult to determine whether it stems from a backdoor left by the previous team or a new issue, resulting in higher security and compliance risks.He emphasized that acquiring a CEX remains a possibility, but the due diligence and risk control processes are more complex.
06:05
Svmuu News: On-chain analyst “Aunt Ai” posted that CXMT (CXMT) will list on the STAR Market on July 27, which will put the CXMT futures pricing mechanism, funding rates, and liquidity performance on Hyperliquid to a major test.
The analysis notes that following Changxin’s official listing, the CXMT futures price on Hyperliquid will gradually transition from the internal oracle price used during the pre-IPO phase to an external oracle price that tracks actual A-share trading prices.
Specifically, once the STAR Market opens and the market has sufficiently stable external price data, the system will automatically trigger the price transition. The new price anchor will shift from the internal oracle generated by TradeXYZ based on the order book to an external oracle price that tracks Changxin’s A-share spot price and is converted according to real-time exchange rates.
Since the oracle price is updated approximately every 3 seconds, with each fluctuation limited to ±1%, even if there is a significant deviation between the contract price during the pre-IPO phase and the actual market price, convergence will occur gradually; however, liquidation risk may still arise during this process.
Regarding the funding rate, Hyperliquid CXMT contracts will revert to the standard mechanism after Changxin’s listing.Previously, during the pre-IPO phase, to reduce funding costs for traders holding long positions while awaiting the listing, the funding rate multiplier was set at just 1% of that for standard contracts—reduced from 0.5 to 0.005. Following the official listing, this parameter will revert to 0.5, and the funding rate adjustment mechanism will take effect once again.
Regarding price formation during A-share market closures, analysts note that Hyperliquid CXMT prices will revert to internal oracle prices based on its own order book, effectively entering an “internal market” trading phase.
However, price fluctuations during market closures will still be subject to the Discovery Bound mechanism.Each price re-anchoring adjustment is capped at ±20%, with a maximum of seven dynamic boundary adjustments allowed to mitigate the risk of price manipulation during periods of insufficient liquidity.
Additionally, as a new listing on the STAR Market, Changxin will have no daily price fluctuation limits for the first five trading days after its listing, but trading constraints will still apply:
The call auction phase runs from 9:15 to 9:25, during which orders can be canceled from 9:15 to 9:20, and orders can only be placed (but not canceled) from 9:20 to 9:25;
Once the price reaches or exceeds a 30% or 60% daily price fluctuation limit for the first time after the market opens, a temporary trading halt will be triggered; each halt lasts 10 minutes, with a maximum of four such triggers per day;
Starting on the sixth trading day, the STAR Market’s standard daily price fluctuation limits will resume.
As of 5:40 p.m. on July 26, the open interest (OI) for the Hyperliquid CXMT contract stood at approximately $63.9 million, with a contract price of about $6.18, corresponding to a price of approximately 41.9 yuan.
Based on the current contract price, CXMT’s estimated market capitalization is approximately 2.8 trillion RMB, slightly higher than Industrial and Commercial Bank of China’s (ICBC) market capitalization of approximately 2.76 trillion RMB. The market is watching to see if the company has the potential to become one of the highest-valued companies on the A-share market after its listing.
With the launch of spot trading for Changxin, Hyperliquid—as an on-chain derivatives platform exploring price discovery mechanisms for traditional stock IPOs—will also face its first large-scale market test.
06:00
Svmuu News: Jesse, the head of Base, posted on X stating that Base aims to become “the free market of the internet.”Over the past year, Base’s market share of on-chain spot trading volume has grown approximately threefold, and it has not experienced any loss of relative market share in the past two weeks. Base currently leads in trading volume for Bitcoin and foreign exchange, and will soon be aggressively expanding into the on-chain stock trading market.

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