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8/17
22:35
The US tech giant has informed suppliers of its intention to produce all Pixel smartphones, smartwatches, and wireless earbuds outside of China, starting next year. This move is driven by ongoing Washington-Beijing tensions and aims to increase smartphone shipments, with production shifting to Vietnam and India.
22:34
European Central Bank (ECB) researchers Malin Andersson and Stefano Corradin, among others, published an article on the ECB's official blog on Monday, stating that as AI widely penetrates the economy, risks will spread from individual companies to the overall economy. Investors will demand higher risk premiums, and unless profit growth is sufficient to offset this, stock prices will face downward pressure. Furthermore, overly optimistic investors might push valuations above fundamentals, and once sentiment reverses, the magnitude of the correction could be more severe.

The researchers emphasized that Euro area households hold approximately 440 billion euros in exposure to US tech stocks, and insurance companies and pension funds also hold significant positions in the "tech Magnificent Seven." The impact of the US AI market will not stop at the US; a stock market collapse coupled with broader market turmoil would pose a financial stability threat to the Euro area. They also warned that policymakers currently have significantly less room to maneuver in response to market turmoil compared to when the dot-com bubble burst.
22:29
The whale had perfectly bought the dip in August and October 2023, acquiring 291,790 $SOL ($6.82M) at an average price of $23.37. As Solana surged, the whale sold 191,789 $SOL ($24.62M) at an average price of $128.36, realizing over $20M in profit before becoming inactive.
22:29
Goldman Sachs analyst Ankush Gupta noted that the gold market's "short squeeze" is evolving into a more sustainable upward structure, with macro signals and technical factors resonating in sync, providing support for the next phase of gold price appreciation. On the macro front, gold's movement is almost perfectly aligned with the Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations and has begun tracking the movements of ultra-long-term Japanese interest rates again. Technically, gold recorded a strong bullish candlestick after a recent small flag consolidation, with the 21-day and 50-day moving averages forming a bullish cross. Funding data from Bank of America shows that gold inflows recorded their largest single-week record since January this year, and this rally has been dominated by Chinese capital, with Asian exchange participation jumping to around 50%, forcing short covering. Gupta set $4,500 as a key resistance level for gold.
22:13
Investors have shown signs of unease regarding growing government debt, but there is no reason to panic about the U.S. bond market yet, according to Yardeni Research.
22:08
The Q2 13F holdings reports in the US reveal a subtle negative shift in the overall sentiment towards NVIDIA, with D1 Capital, Discovery Capital, and Third Point all liquidating their positions. The divestment signal for AI hardware leader Broadcom is even more pronounced, as D1 Capital, Altimeter, Duquesne, and Third Point all closed out their positions, while Iconiq and Soros Capital also trimmed theirs.
21:46
The Russian Embassy in the UK stated that Britain's actions made it "an accomplice and co-perpetrator of bloody crimes and terrorist attacks," adding that London's actions would "inevitably lead to consequences." A spokesperson for the UK Ministry of Defence responded by saying that the UK "stands shoulder to shoulder" with Ukraine and is committed to providing Ukraine with the equipment it needs for self-defence. This follows confirmation that British-made drones have been used to attack military and industrial targets inside Russia, causing over £35 billion in economic damage, including to oil refineries and warehouses belonging to Russian e-commerce giant Amazon Wildberries.
20:58
According to The Information on August 17, Anthropic and OpenAI, while accelerating their deployment of vertical industry applications, may tighten their API access, which creates direct competition with their own API clients and raises concerns among enterprise customers. The reasons behind this move include pressure from the Donald Trump administration on model security, preventing model distillation, and the potentially more lucrative returns from vertical applications. Anthropic's Q2 revenue has already reached $11.5 billion. Facing this uncertainty, leading developers such as legal AI company Harvey have begun training their own models to reduce their reliance.
20:43
Blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain reported that the trader identified as 'Gambler 0xff84' was liquidated for 288 BTC, valued at approximately $18.55 million, as Bitcoin prices rose. Despite closing part of their position earlier, the trader could not avoid liquidation. They still hold a 512 BTC ($33 million) short position, with a new liquidation price set at $64,665.18.
20:35
Nikkei Asia comments that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's long-hoped-for consumption tax cut on food, while fulfilling a campaign pledge, is seen by many economists as a poor inflation response that will force the government to walk a fiscal tightrope.
20:30
Wallstreetcn.com analysis points out that in addition to explicit factors such as the recovery of the US economy and geopolitical conflicts pushing up inflation, the strengthening of the US dollar is also due to a subtle structural evolution in the global dollar liquidity mechanism, which has formed an unnoticed bottom support for the dollar. Among these, the overseas private sector is replacing the official sector as the core force in global dollar absorption and allocation. Even under the "de-dollarization" narrative, dollar buying is unlikely to truly dry up. This trend is reflected in the continuous decline in the proportion of global central banks' dollar foreign exchange reserves, while the private sector's share of holding US long-term securities has risen from 67% in 2008 to 83% in the past five years. The analysis suggests that the acceleration of the "foreign exchange hidden among the people" trend since 2020 may be related to the global AI industry wave. Overseas technology companies' rigid dollar demand for future AI capital expenditures has led to the formation of an "external closed loop" for the dollar outside the American continent. Furthermore, the private sector's allocation logic, centered on risk-return ratios, has made it a core holding force in the US Treasury market. The outperformance of US equity assets has strengthened the preference for dollar allocation, and carry trades have further solidified the dollar's pivotal position. The article also warns that this pro-cyclical loop, built by profit-seeking capital and carry trade leverage, while supporting the dollar in the short term, also harbors immense inherent fragility. It could amplify volatility in overseas asset markets and inversely impact the global foreign exchange and cross-border liquidity environment.
20:09
Tesla has communicated plans to internal employees to launch its Cybercab, designed for Robotaxi service, to the public in Austin, Texas this month, according to sources familiar with the matter. The vehicle, which has no steering wheel or brake pedal, will first offer rides to employees before officially integrating into the public-facing Austin Robotaxi service a few days later. Tesla completed emergency training for first responders in Austin last week, but it is currently unclear whether it has obtained regulatory approval to operate for a fee.
19:58
Rich Privorotsky, head of the Goldman Sachs Delta-one trading desk, noted in an August 17 report that when the S&P 500 is at historical highs and financial conditions are extremely loose, the market's constraint on policymakers significantly decreases, lowering the political cost of initiating geopolitical conflicts. He warned that the current market might be systematically underestimating geopolitical tail risks and pointed out that the cost of extreme tail-risk hedging tools is at historical lows, offering investors an opportunity to build protection at a low cost. Privorotsky also believes that pressure on long-end interest rates is the market's "only real sticking point," and the Federal Reserve might eventually be forced to resume interest rate hikes to restore credibility. In terms of overall strategy, he suggested maintaining a risk-on stance, holding the S&P 500 and gold, shorting bonds, and allocating to cheap volatility protection, favoring financials, semiconductor capital expenditure, industrials, and cyclical sectors.
19:56
Donald Trump stated via the Truth Social platform that Ashley Moody has done an outstanding job representing the people of Florida, citing her efforts in economic growth, tax cuts, promoting "Made in America," strengthening border security, and defending the Second Amendment. He emphasized that Election Day is Tuesday, August 18.
19:55
Donald Trump has announced his full endorsement for Representative Jimmy Patronis' re-election bid, commending his excellent performance in representing Florida's First Congressional District. Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, urging voters to support Patronis on election day, August 18.
19:45
South Korean retail investors are flocking to the U.S. market to avoid local market adjustments, even as global investors pour into the South Korean market. Data shows that South Korean retail investors were net sellers of domestic stocks for most of last week, while foreign investors turned to net buyers. Of the $4.5 billion in U.S. stocks net purchased in July, approximately $840 million was invested in SK Hynix's American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), despite investors being able to buy the company's shares directly in South Korea. Owen Lamont, Senior Vice President at Acadian Asset Management, noted that SK Hynix ADRs have recently traded at a premium of about 10% to their South Korean counterparts and exhibit greater volatility. He called this behavior "absolutely insane" and considered the price discrepancy a warning sign of excessive speculation. Additionally, leveraged products are popular among South Korean investors, with four of the top U.S. stocks by net purchases in July being leveraged products, among which the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares ETF (SOXL) was the most popular.
19:30
Gold held a two-day gain as reduced expectations for an interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve weighed on the US dollar, making bullion cheaper for most buyers.
19:28
The US holds a significant capital advantage in AI development, with private sector investment approximately 23 times higher than in mainland China, according to BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions。However, China is prioritizing AI spending over other sectors like real estate, aiming for self-sufficiency rather than global leadership。Experts note that while China has made strides in advanced chips, it still lags behind Nvidia, and its ability to advance in AI is constrained by chip access, despite efforts to develop domestic alternatives like Huawei's Ascend series。
19:28
CNBC host Jim Cramer believes the artificial intelligence (AI) boom has fundamentally transformed the historically cyclical memory industry, making current rallies sustainable. He noted that memory manufacturers are now more disciplined in managing supply and securing long-term customer agreements, which support stronger profits. Cramer's Charitable Trust recently initiated a position in Micron, which he suggests could double again before the AI boom ends, assuming no data center slowdown.
18:51
Donald Trump stated that Begich has done an outstanding job representing the people of Alaska and supports "America First" policies, including job creation, tax cuts, strengthening the economy, eliminating government waste, securing the border, stopping immigrant crime, combating illegal drugs, strengthening the military and veterans' benefits, defending American energy dominance, and protecting the Second Amendment. He urged voters to cast their ballots for Begich on Election Day, Tuesday, August 18.
18:31
According to data released by the U.S. Treasury Department on Monday, the total amount of U.S. Treasury bonds held by foreign entities decreased by $72.1 billion month-on-month in June, falling to $9.3 trillion. Among these, Japan, the largest overseas holder, reduced its holdings by $26.4 billion to $1.12 trillion; China reduced its holdings by $25.9 billion to $633.4 billion. The market is concerned about the outlook for demand for U.S. Treasury bonds. Previously, in late July, U.S. Treasury Secretary Besant uncharacteristically participated in a coordinated intervention in the foreign exchange market, partly aimed at preventing Japan from massively selling U.S. Treasury bonds to support the yen. Paresh Upadhyaya, a strategist at Pioneer Investments, believes that after the U.S. intervention, the likelihood of Japan further reducing its holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds has significantly decreased.

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