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9/3
07:51
Anthropic's head of threat intelligence, Jacob Klein, stated that foreign adversaries are illegally accessing their Claude models to train competing technology and sell copycat versions at lower prices. The company specifically named Chinese AI labs Moonshot AI (developer of Kimi K3), DeepSeek, MiniMax, and Alibaba (developer of Qwen models) in its allegations. Klein highlighted a growing illicit ecosystem, including the dark web, used to evade controls and create fraudulent accounts for large-scale model access. The Trump administration had previously deemed such distillation that undermines American proprietary information as "unacceptable," vowing to explore measures to hold foreign actors accountable. Anthropic, valued at nearly $1 trillion, is expected to go public as early as October.
07:38
HSBC has raised its US government bond yield forecasts, expecting the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to reach 4.20% and 4.65% respectively by the end of 2026. The bank stated that this move is due to a more hawkish outlook from the Federal Reserve, now anticipating a nearly 50% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in September, although it still expects rates to remain unchanged. HSBC also predicted that persistent fiscal deficits will drive a long-term steepening of the yield curve.
07:33
CoinDesk's latest "Daybook" notes that while conventional wisdom holds that rising government bond yields are a headwind for cryptocurrencies, the foreign exchange market no longer follows this logic. For example, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has climbed 58 basis points this year to 4.81% (the highest since October 2023), yet the DXY (US Dollar Index) has only risen by 0.9%. Japan's 10-year government bond yield surged by 90 basis points, but the Japanese Yen fell to a four-decade low. Analysis suggests that the market appears to interpret high yields as a warning sign of fiscal stress rather than fiscal strength. If this interpretation holds, investors may turn to hard assets like Bitcoin and gold to hedge against the risk of governments being unable to arbitrarily increase supply or devalue their currencies.
07:33
Bank of Japan (BOJ) account data released on Thursday showed that speculation of market intervention following Wednesday's more than 1 yen drop in USD/JPY was unfounded, as the gap between its current account forecast and money brokers' estimates was far too small to support large-scale intervention. Meanwhile, Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated on Thursday evening that authorities remain highly vigilant and will continue to prevent further depreciation of the yen. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the BOJ is leaning towards a 25 basis point rate hike at its September meeting, with market expectations for a rate hike being the core driver of the current yen fluctuations.
07:33
Lloyd's of London sees losses “arising from Middle East conflict” amounting to about £1.4 billion ($1.9 billion), the insurance marketplace’s first estimate of the US-Iran war’s impact.
07:22
Bloomberg reports that Europe is bracing for a costly winter, unprepared for higher consumption due to soaring energy prices and insufficient fuel reserves.
07:18
Huang Ling stated that if France persists in its actions, China will take necessary measures to safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises, and France will bear all consequences. The law aims to curb the low-price strategies of Chinese e-commerce platforms such as Temu.
07:18
Huang Ling stated that despite repeated requests from China, the U.S. has repeatedly sanctioned Chinese companies and citizens using Iran as a pretext, which China strongly resents and firmly opposes. Previously, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent had stated that any entity assisting Iran in money laundering or evading sanctions, including Chinese banks, could be cut off from the U.S. financial system.
07:16
British savers have sharply upped their purchases of UK government bonds this week as a selloff lifted yields to multi-decade highs.
07:11
At the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that the SCO has evolved into one of the independent and influential centers of the emerging multipolar world. Iranian President Pezeshkian said at the summit that if the United States fulfills its commitments under the previous Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, Iran will immediately take reciprocal action. U.S. sanctions against Iran pose a challenge to the economies of Central Asia, but Central Asian countries may find it difficult to fully comply with the sanctions due to their economies being deeply intertwined with the trade networks of Russia and China.
07:11
Pencil Finance announced it has completed a $1 million onchain lending cycle, providing financing to 6,600 students in Southeast Asia who were underserved by traditional lenders through its first-of-a-kind loan.
07:07
According to Bitwise data, Bitcoin and gold's 90-day correlation reached a nearly six-year high during the latest bond market selloff, with Bitcoin rising 22.4% and gold adding about 5% over the following week as stocks fell. However, Glassnode analysts noted in a Tuesday report that while Bitcoin's 30-day correlation with the S&P 500 fell towards zero during the August rally, historically, sudden decorrelations during sovereign bond selloffs have tended to be short-lived, marking local exhaustion rather than structural regime shifts.
07:05
The Wall Street Journal's analysis indicates that some stock index funds named "international," "global," or "world" may hold up to 60% or even more U.S. stocks, even as they claim to offer exposure to foreign equities. This could inadvertently increase investors' exposure to U.S. stocks when they are seeking portfolio diversification.
07:05
A new analysis by the American Gaming Association reveals that individuals under 21, who are restricted from most sportsbooks, have instead wagered over $5 billion on prediction market Kalshi.
07:01
Abel believes that as AI accelerates data center construction, the real constraint is not electricity itself, but the time required for energy infrastructure development, with grid expansion and transmission and distribution capacity becoming critical bottlenecks. He stated that Berkshire Hathaway Energy, with its large-scale power operations, is poised to benefit, but related projects must meet conditions such as not raising electricity prices for other users, controlling water resource impact, and gaining local community approval.
07:01
Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel revealed in an exclusive interview with CNBC in Tokyo on September 2 that Berkshire was offered an opportunity to participate in Google (Alphabet)'s equity financing in late May this year. After discussing with Warren Buffett, he proposed investing $10 billion and requested a 6.5% discount to the market price, ultimately completing the transaction. Abel stated that Buffett began building a position in Alphabet approximately 15 months ago, and despite stepping down as CEO, he continues to participate in Berkshire's important investment discussions.
06:48
JPMorgan states that some stocks face a very different environment depending on how America votes in the midterms, and has outlined corresponding trading strategies.
06:45
This move signals that the competition among major tech companies for general-purpose agents is rapidly extending into the financial sector. Previously, Baidu had already prioritized financial applications for GenFlow (Chinese name "Kuku AI") as a key step from general office use to specialized professional applications. ByteDance's Coze has also introduced financial agents and skills from institutions such as Huatai Securities and GF Securities. Major tech companies are optimistic that a large volume of repetitive tasks in high-value financial businesses can be taken over by agents. However, challenges such as data accuracy, traceability, and execution permissions still persist. Currently, there is no consensus among these companies on whether a separate financial version of agents needs to be developed.
06:41
Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, believes the factors behind higher bond yields are “not something that would really stop markets in their track.”
06:34
BTC rose 0.76% since midnight as a softer dollar lifted equities and metals alongside crypto. Meanwhile, PONS and Arbitrum (ARB) also pushed higher for a third consecutive session, extending their Robinhood Chain rally.
06:08
The current rebound of the Japanese Yen is primarily driven by a dual expectation of intervention from Japanese authorities and an anticipated interest rate hike. Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have both stated they would not hesitate to re-enter the market if necessary. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is leaning towards a 25 basis point rate hike this month, though BOJ board member Hajime Takata stated on Wednesday that a 25 basis point hike is not a certainty, and consecutive rate hikes are also theoretically possible. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, however, warned that inflation has not substantially slowed, suggesting that monetary policy will remain tight. Analysts caution that if USD/JPY re-touches the 160 mark, the risk of a new round of intervention will significantly increase.

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