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9/16
21:00
Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin tweeted that the Qwen 3.8 flash model's performance is impressive, and llama.cpp is getting better at processing. He believes that local models will soon be able to handle a large number of tasks, and for more advanced tasks, a pattern where local models coordinate queries to powerful models to prevent personal information leakage will become feasible.
20:58
Giulio Esposito of Goldman Sachs' fixed income and equities division noted that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16 was more hawkish than Goldman Sachs had anticipated. Goldman Sachs believes that if inflation trends do not show a substantial change in the fourth quarter, the Federal Reserve may pursue a more aggressive front-loaded rate hike path than indicated by the current dot plot, rather than just one more hike. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh explicitly characterized current financial conditions as "far from restrictive" at the press conference and took a strong stance on inflation, deeming it too high and persistent for too long.
20:53
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh held a press conference in Washington on September 16, lasting only about 30 minutes, setting a new record for the shortest regular press conference by a Fed Chair. Warsh consistently refused to provide any forward guidance on the future policy path, focusing his remarks on the decisions made at this meeting and officials' assessment of the current economic situation. This move is seen as a signal of the Federal Reserve's reshaping of its communication approach with the market. Additionally, the Federal Reserve adjusted the seating arrangements for press conferences and established a special working group to review its overall communication mechanisms, with the future of the press conference itself also facing uncertainty.
20:42
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that if the European Union's proposal to make Canada its first "associate member" was ill-intentioned, the United States would impose heavy taxes on Europe and could cease trade with Europe in many respects. This follows European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's proposal to open "associate member" status to Canada to strengthen ties with Europe, as Canada's relationship with Washington deteriorates. Currently, "associate member" status does not exist in EU treaties, and its specific rights and obligations remain unclear. Any proposal would require the support of EU member states.
20:40
Vitalik Buterin stated that Mozi's chapters 14 and 15 are an "open-source urban defense manual" designed to enhance people's defensive knowledge, thereby further shifting the offense-defense balance towards defense. He pointed out that defense is central to Mozi's philosophy, and offensive warfare is an act of exchanging small gains for great harm, thus emphasizing the importance of universal love.
20:37
The median FOMC member predicts one more rate hike this year and maintaining a median rate of 4.1% throughout 2027. The dot plot also raised the long-run equilibrium rate from 3.1% to 3.2%, but the rate path actually written down by the members remains above this long-run equilibrium point throughout the forecast period, indicating that the FOMC is operating at a level above its nominal long-run equilibrium interest rate.
20:37
UBS's report assesses a substantial shift in Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's policy reaction function compared to his predecessors: greater sensitivity to financial conditions, less sensitivity to labor market impacts, and a higher threshold for "restrictive monetary policy." Warsh disclosed at the press conference that a strong labor market, concerning inflation trends, and geopolitical developments and their impact on energy prices were the main logical supports for this rate hike.
20:21
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh signaled at a press conference that the market interpreted as leaning towards skipping October and acting again in December. Warsh emphasized close monitoring of inflation trends and stated that the current economy is strong enough to withstand higher interest rates.
20:21
Following the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday, the 2-year US government bond yield jumped to its highest level since July 2024, and the 10-year government bond yield surpassed the 5% mark.
20:02
China International Capital Corporation (CICC) stated that Hong Kong stocks could face greater volatility from renewed US monetary tightening, but the impact should be short-lived unless the Federal Reserve embarks on a sustained rate-increase cycle. Liu Gang, CICC's chief offshore China and overseas strategist, added that monetary conditions are only one of several market drivers.
20:02
Lippo General Insurance (LGI) is targeting a place among Indonesia’s top five general insurers within three to five years. This follows an overhaul under controlling shareholder Hanwha Insurance, which transformed LGI's previously loss-making health business into its largest earnings contributor. LGI President Director Agus Benjamin stated that their priority is sustainable growth based on a profitability-focused strategy.
20:01
Nick Timiraos also pointed out that the recent rise in the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to over 5%, near its highest level in 20 years, cannot be simply attributed to Federal Reserve rate hikes. Investors attribute this to growth expectations driven by AI investments, competition for capital from data center financing, and a re-evaluation by the market of future inflation and the Federal Reserve's terminal interest rate. This indicates that the U.S. Treasury market is no longer solely focused on the current rate hike, but rather on how long high interest rates will be maintained.
20:01
Nick Timiraos, a reporter for The Wall Street Journal, noted that this rate hike reflects a changed inflation environment for the Federal Reserve. He believes that rising energy prices due to the war in Iran and infrastructure investments like data centers driven by the AI boom are simultaneously putting new pressure on inflation. Such investments are insensitive to interest rate changes, making it difficult for rate hikes to directly curb them, but they can reduce overall demand pressure by suppressing other economic activities.
19:44
Holtec founder Kris Singh stated that Holtec International's decision to suspend its plans for an initial public offering (IPO) in the United States was due to a "perfect storm" in the AI industry, with negative market sentiment towards data centers impacting its listing process.
19:40
The two countries' foreign ministers met in New York on Wednesday, agreeing to elevate their respective missions to embassies and appoint ambassadors. They also committed to advancing economic and trade relations, including finalizing agreements on investment protection and preventing double taxation by year-end. Additionally, both sides will expand air travel, reinstate direct commercial flights, and plan high-level bilateral visits. This announcement follows the sixth anniversary of the Abraham Accords, which aim to normalize ties between Arab/Muslim-majority countries and Israel.
19:39
U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) spokesperson Captain Tim Hawkins stated on Wednesday that despite an ongoing blockade on Iranian maritime trade and attacks by the Iranian military on merchant vessels, U.S. forces have ensured the Strait of Hormuz remains open for commercial shipping, including facilitating the passage of hundreds of millions of barrels of oil through the strategic waterway. Since early May, U.S. forces have assisted in the transit of over 900 million barrels of crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz to global energy markets and have intercepted more than 100 vessels attempting to violate the blockade. Hawkins refuted claims of Iranian control over the waterway, adding that U.S. forces completed mine clearance operations in the strait's international shipping lanes weeks ago.
19:22
Consultancy Verisk Maplecroft states that severe weather disruptions, particularly from El Niño, combined with war threats, will exacerbate food security risks across Asia. This could potentially trigger civil unrest and political instability in vulnerable countries such as India, Indonesia, and the Philippines.
19:11
OpenAI on Wednesday stated it had identified six new instances of "unexpected or concerning model behaviors" over the past six months, including models inserting instructions into chat window summaries to conceal errors and unauthorized use of API keys to falsify data. The company reiterated that the AI industry has not yet adequately addressed alignment and monitoring issues to responsibly scale at maximum speed. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman previously supported calls to slow down model progress and outlined a new framework for disclosing abnormal model behaviors in the future.
19:09
The California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) voted on Wednesday to award its CEO a $1.1 million bonus and a salary increase after the pension system exceeded its return targets. This move comes as state government workers are advocating for higher wages.
19:07
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) increased the city’s base rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.25% on Thursday. This marks the first rate hike since 2023, following the US Federal Reserve's decision to raise its federal funds target range to 3.75% to 4%.
19:05
Salesforce issued a revenue forecast for fiscal 2030 of over $63 billion at its annual Dreamforce conference, topping analysts' estimates of $59.2 billion.
19:04
CNBC commentator Jim Cramer said Wednesday that the range of stocks worth buying is narrowing after the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in more than three years. He noted that the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark overnight funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4%, and this hike appears to be the start of a series of increases, each of which will hit the stock market. He suggested that investors should not completely abandon the market but should focus on stocks that can still perform well during a tightening cycle, such as defensive pharmaceutical stocks.
19:02
In the latest dot plot released on September 16, only 18 dots appeared out of 19 seats again, leading to widespread speculation that Warsh's projection was once again absent. This move has raised market concerns about the future direction of the Federal Reserve's policy transparency.

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