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10/2
01:55
The Pentagon is deploying another aircraft carrier strike group and additional Marine Corps vessels to the Middle East, adding approximately 9,000 to 10,000 troops, the Wall Street Journal reported. These forces are expected to arrive in late November, following considerations by President Donald Trump for new strikes against Iran without a deal. More than 50,000 U.S. troops are currently deployed in the region.
01:48
A study by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco found that stablecoin issuers prefer short-term debt, while China's divestment has focused on long-term securities. The study's authors noted that additional demand will depend on stablecoin purchasers.
01:48
Federal Reserve's Neel Kashkari stated he has "no strong view" on an October rate hike and remains open-minded on the pace of tightening. His September projections indicated one more hike in 2026 and another in 2027. Kashkari warned the Fed might need to raise rates further if the economy's strength persists, even as inflation expectations remain anchored near 2%.
01:42
Kalshi has officially launched fully regulated Dogecoin (DOGE) perpetual contract trading in the United States, offering retail investors a legal avenue to trade perpetual contracts on the meme token within the CFTC regulatory framework. These contracts are subject to strict leverage limits, with a maximum of 3.8x for long positions and 2.8x for short positions, and benefit from tax advantages under Section 1256 of the U.S. Internal Revenue Code, where 60% of gains are taxed at the lower long-term capital gains rate and 40% at the short-term rate. Kalshi, previously known for its prediction markets, sees this expansion as a continuation of its business model's shift towards the crypto space.
01:35
Trump announced the nomination of Brian Meyers to the United States District Court for the Eastern District of North Carolina. Meyers currently serves as a Magistrate Judge on the same Court and previously worked as an Assistant U.S. Attorney and an attorney in the U.S. Marine Corps.
01:33
The new framework for regulated token eligibility and recovery requires new deployments rather than in-place upgrades of existing 2.x identities, according to the project's changelog.
01:33
A study by Castle Labs found that Hyperliquid, an onchain perpetuals platform, held as much resting liquidity as the median of Binance, Bybit, and OKX on four of five crypto assets, and cost less to trade. The study also noted that the remaining gap between onchain perps and centralized exchanges lies in how venues price stocks and commodities when the underlying market is closed.
01:32
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson stated that the Federal Reserve "may need more time" before making its next interest rate decision, and future actions will be data-driven. He noted that inflation remains above target with upside risks, while the economy and labor market remain broadly solid. Jefferson also warned that persistent inflation could spill over into inflation expectations.
01:30
Anthropic is reportedly targeting a major IPO before Thanksgiving, with Kalshi traders pricing a 71% chance of an IPO announcement by December 1st, rising to 76% by January 1st.
01:18
Israel's Supreme Court has advised Balad party leader Sami Abu Shehadeh to withdraw his application to run in the October 27 parliamentary elections, warning that if he does not, the court may issue a ruling disqualifying him. This follows a vote by the Central Elections Committee to disqualify the lists of the country's two largest Arab-majority parties and two candidates. The court began hearing appeals against these decisions on Thursday and gave Abu Shehadeh until Friday to withdraw his application.
01:18
British counter-terrorism police on Thursday arrested a 27-year-old British-Iranian dual national in London on suspicion of preparing acts of terrorism, as part of an investigation into an incident near RAF Fairford over the weekend. Police also questioned another 26-year-old British citizen. Previously, five men had been arrested and bailed in connection with the incident. UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham had stated there were "strong indications" of Iranian involvement, but Iran denied the allegations.
01:13
Bitcoin recorded a 6.33% gain in September, breaking the historical "Red September" curse, and entered the traditionally strong "Uptober" at a price of $83,823. However, the market is facing macroeconomic headwinds, including the Federal Reserve's rate hike on September 16, raising the interest rate range to 3.75%-4% (the first hike this year), and the US 10-year government bond yield closing at a 52-week high of 5.289% at the end of September. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that inflation "remains high," and the Federal Reserve's median forecast indicates another 25 basis point rate hike this year. Prediction market Myriad data shows that traders believe Bitcoin has a 90% chance of hitting a high of $85,000, but only a 7% chance of reaching an all-time high before 2027.
01:12
The analysis, based on Stork's on-chain settlement data, found that 69.2% of approximately 2.9 million "manually operated" retail investor accounts on the Polymarket international platform ultimately incurred losses, totaling $338.9 million. The report also indicated that 15.2% of accounts did not trade again within 30 days after a loss, compared to 6.1% for accounts that did not trade again after a profit. Approximately 44.1% of traders concentrated over 60% of their activity on a single topic. Sports professional traders accounted for 47% of all professional traders but had the lowest profitability rate at 25.1%; technology and science professional traders had the highest profitability rate at 41.2%, despite a smaller sample size. The median position size for profitable traders was $13.96, while for losing traders it was $10, and there was no clear correlation between holding period and profitability.
01:00
A Japanese government fund for revitalizing the shipbuilding industry has begun to spur private-sector investment in projects aimed at doubling the country's capacity by 2035. This initiative comes as builders reverse course on downsizing due to booming demand, with some shipyards like Hakodate Dock having over a three-year order backlog, though obstacles remain.
00:50
Amazon Web Services (AWS) Strands Labs has released its latest decision model, Strands Decider 2B. Inspired by TypeSafe's Jev, the model aims to provide a high-speed, low-cost method for classifying and giving confidence scores for choices among preset options. Strands Decider 2B is fully open-source, can run locally, and is suitable for agent workflows where the full capabilities and costs of large language models (LLMs) are not required.

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