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10/9
17:42
CoinShares reported on October 8 that digital asset fund inflows slowed significantly this week, with cumulative inflows of approximately $11.1 billion since mid-July. Meanwhile, the US 10-year government bond yield has risen above 5.3%, and the 30-year yield has climbed to 5.7%, both near multi-decade highs. Following weaker-than-expected September jobs data, the market's implied probability of a rate hike in October has fallen to 23% from 71% three weeks ago. CoinShares believes that the bond market could become a more significant driver than Federal Reserve policy. If rising long-term yields reflect concerns about US fiscal sustainability more than robust economic growth, Bitcoin might be viewed as an alternative to government-issued currency. Fund flows have not yet clearly reflected this view, and the coming weeks will be a key indicator to watch.
17:32
The chip maker's quiet shift in how it counts cash flow signals a new approach to balancing capital returns with investments in its AI ecosystem, according to WSJ Markets.
17:30
CATL's A-shares rose over 5% intraday today, closing up approximately 3.84%. In the preceding two months, market concerns that automakers' in-house battery development would impact CATL's orders and pricing led to a cumulative share price decline of over 20%. Li Auto has disclosed that its new generation MEGA will switch from CATL batteries to self-developed batteries, and Xiaomi has also announced joint battery development with Sunwanda and CALB. XPeng Motors develops its own battery pack structure while still procuring battery cells externally. Leapmotor has delved deep into battery cell production, with its joint venture factory in operation, claiming that self-developed battery cells can reduce costs by about 10%. Geely Auto has adjusted its battery factory projects, with the goal of 50% battery self-sufficiency remaining. Industry observers believe that automakers will renegotiate prices once they gain a deeper understanding of batteries. Despite this, SNE Research data shows that CATL's global power battery usage increased by 26.6% year-on-year in the first seven months of this year, with its market share rising to 39.9%. Furthermore, its overseas business and energy storage business have performed strongly, boasting cost advantages and high capacity utilization. CATL itself has also begun to expand into the complete vehicle sector, collaborating with Turkish automaker Togg to develop a chassis platform.
17:30
Goldman Sachs analyzed in a report released on October 8 that despite the gradual recovery of crude oil supply in the Middle East, global oil inventories have fallen to their lowest level since 2017. Furthermore, the average risk premium reflected in the September Brent crude oil term spread, which accounts for geopolitical and other factors, reached $22 per barrel, the second highest on record. Goldman Sachs believes that these factors collectively support Brent oil prices remaining above $100 per barrel, as market concerns about potential supply disruptions persist.
17:27
A strengthening El Niño is threatening the outlook for cocoa supplies, with top grower Ivory Coast’s state weather agency warning of a rainfall deficit through early 2027. The dry weather and heat stress also threaten other crops, including coffee, rubber and oil palm, according to a report published Thursday by Sodexam, the country's state weather agency.
17:24
The XRP Ledger has activated the "PermissionDelegationV1_1" amendment, allowing large accounts to delegate limited permissions to third-party accounts while keeping master keys offline for enhanced security. This feature is designed to meet the stringent standards of large businesses and traditional finance, paving the way for the secure deployment of regulated stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets. The upgrade does not affect ordinary XRP holders but represents a strategic shift to attract institutional capital, which could impact the blockchain's long-term utility.
17:24
Barclays and Morgan Stanley predict that the US September headline CPI will accelerate due to higher energy prices, rising to around 3.7% year-on-year. However, the month-on-month increase in core CPI is expected to slightly narrow to 0.24%, down from 0.29% in August. Both institutions believe that despite inflation risks remaining skewed to the upside, Federal Reserve officials are likely to keep interest rates unchanged in October and postpone a 25 basis point rate hike until December. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September CPI data on October 14.
17:21
Raheim Hamilton, a co-creator of the dark web drug enterprise Empire Market, has been sentenced to 40 years in federal prison and agreed to forfeit 1,230 bitcoin (valued at $101 million). Hamilton, 30, of Suffolk, Virginia, was sentenced on Monday by a federal judge in Chicago and also faces a $5 million fine. He and his co-conspirator Thomas Pavey operated Empire Market from 2018 to 2020, facilitating over 4 million drug transactions worth more than $430 million. Pavey had previously forfeited 1,584 bitcoin last year and is set to be sentenced later this month. The Justice Department stated that the pair required customers to use cryptocurrency and encouraged mixing services to obscure fund movements.
17:20
Bloomberg Markets reports that Wall Street sees an ominous sign in the latest bond market sell-off: the re-emergence of the "term premium." Term premium refers to the extra return investors demand for holding 10-year Treasury bonds rather than simply rolling over short-term securities. Although its measurement and explanations for its movements vary, it has recently regained attention in the market.
17:17
PepsiCo Inc. entered Europe’s public bond market on Friday with a €1 billion ($1.12 billion) two-part deal, split into €500 million three-year and €500 million nine-year tranches. This move comes a day after the company cut its profit outlook due to mounting costs in North America.
17:11
Meanwhile, a Bitcoin life insurance company backed by OpenAI founder and CEO Sam Altman, has completed a $37.5 million funding round. The round was led by existing investor Bain Capital Crypto, with participation from Haun Ventures, Framework Ventures, Pantera Capital, Apollo, and others. The Bermuda-based company's total funding has now reached $180 million. Meanwhile has obtained an insurance license from the Bermuda Monetary Authority and has signed agreements with 15 brokers to serve high-net-worth clients in markets such as Switzerland, Singapore, Hong Kong, and the UAE.
17:06
In London's southeastern edge, real estate manager Steve Brown has started discussing swap rates with clients, a new topic alongside house prices and commute times. This shift stems from a growing disconnect between the Bank of England's steady 3.75% interest rate and surging swap rates, which have pushed average mortgage rates to around 6%.
17:03
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has published a tentative issuance schedule for institutional Government Bonds (GBs) under the Infrastructure Bond Programme and Government Sustainable Bond Programme for October 2026 to March 2027. The GBs will be denominated in Hong Kong dollars and renminbi, offered via competitive tendering. Additionally, the HKMA re-appointed 13 financial institutions as Primary Dealers for a two-year term until September 2028 to assist in GB tenders and facilitate secondary market trading.
17:02
Darren Chan, Managing Director of Food Business at DFI Retail Group, Hong Kong's largest supermarket network owner and operator, stated that despite cautious consumer sentiment, the group will continue to invest in new stores and seek opportunities to strengthen its existing network to meet clear customer demand and achieve long-term returns. DFI's supermarket brands include Wellcome and Market Place.
17:02
South Korea's financial regulators and the Korea Exchange have tightened delisting rules, but a court raised procedural concerns just three months later. The exchange has paused further delistings, but trading remains suspended for eight companies, leaving shareholders unable to sell their shares. The Korea Exchange said Wednesday it would defer further delisting procedures for companies designated as administrative issues for failing to meet minimum market capitalization requirements.
16:41
OpenAI clarified that its annualized revenue was approximately $50 billion as of the end of September this year, lower than the widely circulated market estimate of $70 billion. This discrepancy has raised investor concerns about the growth prospects of AI demand, dragging down the U.S. tech sector on Thursday, with the Nasdaq 100 Index falling 1.4% and the chip stock index plummeting 3.4%. However, Bloomberg reported, citing sources, that OpenAI still expects its annualized revenue to reach or exceed $70 billion by the end of 2026, primarily driven by its enterprise business.
16:34
Chinese state funds are significantly increasing their support for Hua Hong Semiconductor, the country's second-largest contract chipmaker. According to a stock exchange filing on Thursday, Hua Hong Group, the parent company, saw its registered capital surge by 6.2 billion yuan (US$2.9 billion) to 19.7 billion yuan. This capital injection, led by state-backed Shanghai Guosheng Group, aims to fuel Beijing's drive for self-reliance in mature-node chips and support a new manufacturing facility in Wuxi.
16:28
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose for a fourth consecutive week, gaining nearly 3% this week, marking its longest winning streak since early 2025. Analysts attribute the dollar's strength primarily to surging oil prices, which pressure currencies of energy-importing nations, and persistent global inflation concerns. Brent crude prices jumped on Thursday due to Iran's renewed threats of attacks in the Middle East, which could disrupt energy supplies, prompting investors to flock to the safe-haven dollar.
16:25
The Financial Times analysis points to five current market signals warning of a potential simultaneous approach of an AI bubble and a US Treasury crisis. These signals include: rising credit default swap (CDS) prices for AI-related borrowers such as Meta, Google, and Microsoft, with Oracle showing a significant increase, and SpaceX's CDS prices jumping sharply after seeking $40 billion in financing; the US 10-year government bond yield has surpassed 5%.

The article outlines five core issues: the optimism of AI revenue forecasts, debt expansion in AI capital expenditures (a PGIM official stated that "the amount of debt pouring into the market is historic"), fiscal pressure from US Treasury interest rates (Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent believes AI growth will reduce the deficit, but East Asian capital inflows into the US Treasury market have decreased), oil price risks (Saudi officials state that oil inventories are thin, and the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament explicitly expressed an intention to push up oil prices and US interest rates through blockades), and the risk of the growth engine stalling if the AI boom cools down.
16:22
An Ethereum whale's position was liquidated, involving 28,716 ETH, valued at approximately $69.69 million. Despite the significant loss, the whale still holds a long position of 78,955 ETH, worth about $195.57 million. Its liquidation prices were between $2,299.09 and $2,286.28, close to key support levels. Ethereum saw a sharp decline from $2,700 earlier this week and is currently trading around $2,499.
16:21
Iraq's Communications Minister Mustafa Sanad announced plans to ban the Waze navigation app, citing its Israeli origins, with the measure expected to take effect in early 2027. The decision has sparked discussions within Iraq about developing local alternatives and data privacy. Iraq does not recognize Israel and has criminalized ties with it since 2022. Sanad suggested users switch to Google Maps or a local Iraqi app currently under development.
16:14
China's Ministry of Finance reported that the central government has allocated 250 billion yuan in ultra-long-term special treasury bonds to support trade-ins of consumer goods, with 125 billion yuan already disbursed in the first half of the year, driving over 1.1 trillion yuan in related product sales. Additionally, the central government's budget for science and technology expenditures is set to increase by 10% in 2026, with basic research expenditures rising by 16.3%.

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