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10/9
21:10
BofA's Hartnett: US Midterm Elections are the Biggest Market Catalyst for Year-End, Democratic Sweep Could Send US Stocks Down Over 10%
Bank of America Global Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett stated in a report published on October 8 that the US midterm elections on November 3 are the biggest potential catalyst for a ±10% fluctuation in global equities before the end of the year. Current market forecasts show that the probability of a Democratic sweep of both chambers has risen to 64%. If this scenario materializes, US equities could face more than a 10% downside risk. The BofA Bull & Bear Indicator dropped from 8.8 to 8.1, maintaining its "sell" signal.
21:05
Category 2 Hurricane Isaias is approaching the U.S. Gulf Coast, with significant disruptions to energy infrastructure expected.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts that Category 2 Hurricane Isaias will make landfall along the Gulf Coast late Friday, October 9, or early Saturday, October 10, Eastern Time, potentially causing significant disruptions to energy infrastructure. This is the first hurricane of the 2026 Atlantic season and the largest storm system to make landfall in the region since Hurricane Helen in September 2024.
20:54
According to Axios: Executives from AI companies including Anthropic and OpenAI are privately simulating AI disaster scenarios and communicating with U.S. members of Congress in advance to influence future regulation.
According to a recent Axios report, executives from AI companies such as Anthropic and OpenAI are privately simulating catastrophic scenarios that AI could trigger, including extreme situations like large-scale cyberattacks leading to disruptions in financial services, internet connectivity, and even power and water supply systems. Several AI industry insiders believe that significant events could occur within the next 6 to 12 months. Company executives have begun engaging with U.S. Congress members in advance, hoping to influence relevant laws and policies formulated by the U.S. government after a crisis truly unfolds. The report notes that industry leaders such as Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, as well as U.S. President Donald Trump, may face public pressure.
20:54
XRP fell 0.44% in the past 24 hours to $1.39, after the Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed most officials expect another rate hike before year-end.
XRP fell 0.44% in the past 24 hours to $1.39, after the Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed most officials expected another rate hike before year-end, leading to a general decline in cryptocurrencies on Thursday evening. XRP had sharply dropped to $1.31 on Thursday, marking its fourth consecutive day of decline since October 5.
20:54
The XRP Ledger's Batch amendment and its fix version will go live in a few hours.
The XRP Ledger's Batch amendment and its fix version are set to go live in a few hours. This amendment is a prerequisite or accelerator for several high-value XRPL use cases, including atomic multi-party settlement, and is expected to support ecosystem growth.
20:48
S&P 500 Bull Market Gains 117% Since Oct 2022, Driven by AI Rally Amid Concentration Risks
The S&P 500 has surged 117% since October 2022, adding nearly $40 trillion in market value, largely driven by AI-related stocks. This rally, however, shows narrow leadership, with the equal-weight S&P 500 underperforming by a record 52 percentage points. Nvidia's stock is up over 1,900%, and Treasury yields recently hit 5.34%, raising investor focus on whether earnings growth can sustain the bull market.
20:44
Iran's IRGC says from now on, any vessels committing violations outside Strait of Hormuz will also be 'punished'
20:44
AI-Powered Bull Market in US Stocks Nears Fourth Anniversary with Rock-Solid Profits and S&P 500 Near Record
20:44
XRP Ledger sees sudden drop of 400,000 payments
The XRP Ledger (XRPL) experienced a sudden drop in payment activity, losing around 400,000 transactions overnight. The reason behind this decline has not been confirmed, but it could be a result of the recent market crash or a reduction in automated or low-value transactions. This drop in network activity is considered a weak indicator, reflecting stress also seen in XRP's price chart. After falling from about $1.50 earlier this week, XRP is now trading near $1.3866, having dropped to about $1.32 on Thursday before bouncing back. The crucial long-term average near $1.38 serves as a key support level, with $1.335 as the next safety net. Resistance levels are noted at approximately $1.40 and $1.43.
20:44
Fidelity Adds $438.9 Million in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana to Holdings Amid ETF Demand
Fidelity has increased its crypto portfolio by adding $438.9 million worth of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana through its ETF products over the past 20 trading days. This includes $354.1 million in Bitcoin (FBTC), $66.6 million in Ethereum, and $18.2 million in Solana, reflecting sustained demand for its crypto ETF offerings.
20:43
US Treasury term premium has surged, with the New York Fed's model estimating it has reached a new high since 2014, and another model estimating a new high since 2010.
According to Bloomberg, the U.S. Treasury market showed signs of unease on October 9, with term premiums rapidly climbing, becoming a significant driver of the Treasury sell-off and exacerbating market concerns about persistently high long-term interest rates. The New York Fed's model estimates that the 10-year Treasury term premium has risen to approximately 0.98%, the highest since 2014; another model's estimate reached 1.08%, a new high since 2010. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari once likened term premiums to "dark matter."
20:41
Fitch Analyst: France's €43 Billion Budget Proposal Is Significant, Failure to Pass Could Lead to Adverse Consequences
20:38
Iran's Revolutionary Guard Navy Claims LPG Tanker NV Sunshine Struck Near Strait of Hormuz, Vessel Reportedly Caught Fire
Iran's Revolutionary Guard Navy claims a large LPG carrier named NV Sunshine was struck while attempting to transit south of the Strait of Hormuz, with reports indicating the vessel caught fire. The IRGC insists it controls maritime passage through the strait and will prevent what it calls hostile military interference. The reported attack and vessel damage remain independently unverified.
20:38
Ukrainian delegation arrives in Miami for talks with US team, source familiar says
20:37
Canada Sep Employment Change
★★★★★Previous -41.7KForecast 7KActual -68.3K Below forecast↓
20:37
Canada Sep Unemployment Rate
★★★★★Previous 6.4%Forecast 6.5%Actual 6.5% In line with forecast
20:32
Canada's September employment plummets by 68,300, significantly missing expectations.
Canada's economy shed 68,300 jobs in September, significantly missing market expectations for an increase of 9,200. The unemployment rate rose to 6.5%, with declines in both full-time and part-time employment. The services sector lost 52,300 jobs, and the labor force participation rate fell to 64.8%. Meanwhile, annual wage growth accelerated to 2.3%, complicating the inflation outlook.
20:21
OKX launches UAH P2P voucher campaign
The campaign starts on Oct 10, 2026, offering first-time UAH P2P buyers a 5 USDT discount on orders between 60-99.99 USDT, or 10 USDT off orders of at least 100 USDT. Vouchers are valid for 2 days from issuance.
20:20
Europe faces a difficult choice this winter regarding natural gas supply: purchase gas at high prices or restrict consumption, neither of which is an optimal solution.
20:14
Germany to release up to 15 million barrels of emergency oil reserves, implementing G7 energy reserve agreement
20:11
France's CAC40 index rose 1.03% today, now at 7,809.31.
20:07
Blockchain.com Seeks CFTC Approval for Prediction Markets and Crypto Derivatives Trading
Digital asset platform Blockchain.com has filed two applications with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), seeking Designated Contract Market (DCM) and Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) licenses. The aim is to offer event contracts and cryptocurrency derivatives trading to U.S. retail and institutional clients.

Peter Smith, CEO and co-founder of the company, stated that this move is intended to allow users to easily manage digital assets, trade derivatives, and bet on real-world events within a single application. Blockchain.com began offering prediction market and perpetual futures services in international markets earlier this year.

Furthermore, Blockchain.com confidentially filed for an Initial Public Offering (IPO) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in May, reportedly planning to go public this year with a target valuation between $4 billion and $6 billion.
20:04
Saylor: All signs point to Bitcoin.
20:02
Blockchain data provider Bitquery's audit found that even with an 87% win rate for favored candidates on Polymarket in the 2026 US primaries, equal bets would still result in a 4% loss.
20:00
KKR bans non-compete clauses for low-wage workers at its U.S. portfolio companies.
19:59
Ferrari Chairman John Elkann is bullish on AI but less certain about its revenue generation
Ferrari Chairman John Elkann expressed optimism for the artificial intelligence (AI) buildout over the next decade, dismissing concerns about a potential AI bubble. However, he cautioned that investment in the technology could outpace the development of clear revenue-generating mechanisms and business models, potentially leading to a supply and demand mismatch in markets. Elkann, who also serves as chairman of Stellantis and a Meta Platforms board member, made these remarks in an exclusive interview with CNBC on the sidelines of the Wave 2026 technology conference in Turin.
19:59
Kalshi traders anticipate over 5,100 data centers will be planned or operational in the U.S. by 2027.
Despite growing opposition to data center construction, traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi believe there is a 75% probability that the number of data centers planned or operating in the U.S. will exceed 5,100 by 2027. This probability has risen from 60% in two weeks. Currently, according to Data Center Map, the U.S. has over 4,700 operational and planned data centers, with Virginia leading with over 670 facilities. Tech companies are expanding their data center footprint in states such as Texas, New Mexico, and Arizona, but these projects face opposition from communities and activists due to concerns about potentially increasing local utility costs and consuming large amounts of water. Previously, Oracle's data center project in New Mexico was stalled after regulators rejected its natural gas pipeline application.
19:58
BofA's Hartnett: $8T in Cash Won't Move Without Fed Cuts
BofA strategist Michael Hartnett stated that $8 trillion in cash will not be deployed without Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. This comes as money market funds attracted $166.4 billion last week, marking the largest inflow since April 2020. Hartnett emphasized, "No rate cuts, no cash cuts," indicating that sustained Fed cuts are necessary to unlock this sidelined capital.

BofA's key market calls include:
Stocks: Risk-off into midterms; potential 10% move either way.
Tech: Avoid adding exposure; the Magnificent Seven are expected to outperform semiconductor stocks.
Bonds: Begin buying 30-year Treasuries, anticipating a peak in yields.
Small Caps & REITs: Selective buying opportunities are present.
Gold & Commodities: Maintain long positions.
Emerging Markets: Stay long, with China tech looking particularly interesting.
Market Breadth: 50% of global indexes are currently trading below key moving averages.

The BofA Bull & Bear Indicator has decreased to 8.1 from 8.8, remaining in "sell" territory.
19:55
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has risen to 57, moving from "Neutral" into the "Greed" zone.
19:52
Crypto Majors Slide as Bitcoin Funds See Over $700M Outflows in Two Days
Bitcoin dropped below $81,000 and Ethereum fell near $2,400, with the top ten cryptocurrencies turning red over seven days. Spot Bitcoin funds saw $484.9 million in outflows on Wednesday, followed by another $244 million yesterday, bringing October's total net outflow to $400 million. Ethereum funds have bled $640 million over eight consecutive sessions. Decrypt attributes the downturn to factors including Bitmine's impending halt of Ethereum purchases, Ethereum funding rates turning negative, and rising oil prices due to attacks on Iranian tankers. However, major cryptocurrencies have rebounded in the past 12 hours, with Bitcoin back above $82,000 and Ethereum nearing $2,500, suggesting a leverage flush rather than a collapse ahead of the "10/10" anniversary.

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