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10/26
19:14
Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expects the current equity correction to end as major risks, including the U.S. midterm elections, clear. Wilson projects a near-term S&P 500 downside target of 7,100–7,200, with a year-end base case of 8,000. He identifies AI financing concerns, midterm elections, and tightening financial conditions as key catalysts. Wilson notes that while liquidity remains the biggest near-term risk, a potential Fed pivot could trigger a market rebound, citing historical trends where midterm elections are followed by strong 6–12-month equity returns.
19:09
Brent crude prices fell below $110/barrel, down over 6% from Friday's high, as market hopes for a US-Iran deal grew, easing concerns of further escalation. According to the Financial Times, Iran is hosting officials from Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey following a visit by Qatari officials.

Brazil's stock market fell 20% after President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva unexpectedly won a fourth term; the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF dropped 26% in pre-market trading.

Bitcoin prices remained above $80,000, and gold prices were slightly above $4,000/ounce. The Invesco QQQ Trust was flat in pre-market trading, despite ongoing concerns about AI trading. The DXY remained below 102, and the US 10-year government bond yield was slightly below 5%.

This week, Microsoft and Amazon will release quarterly earnings, while the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the European Central Bank will announce interest rate decisions.
19:01
Pakistan has condemned Houthi ballistic missile attacks targeting Saudi Arabia from Yemen, including areas near holy sites, stating that these attacks violate Saudi Arabia's sovereignty and territorial integrity and disregard the sanctity of Islam's holiest sites and civilian safety. The Foreign Ministry reiterated Islamabad's solidarity with Saudi Arabia and commitment to the Mecca alliance, reaffirming steadfast support for the kingdom's security, stability, and defense against external aggression or threat.
18:52
Cardano developers have merged key Leios code, aiming to increase network transaction capacity by 15 times. The blockchain's consensus team has integrated Praos2 (combining the existing consensus protocol with the Leios scaling system) into the main development branch and merged the LeiosNotify and LeiosFetch components. Leios will be introduced via the upcoming Dijkstra hard fork, with an initial goal of increasing processing power by three to five times. Subsequent plans, pending performance testing and independent governance approval, aim to ultimately boost capacity to 10 to 15 times the current limit.
18:50
Barclays upgraded Tesla (TSLA) stock from "Equal Weight" to "Overweight" and raised its price target from $370 to $450. The bank believes a potential merger between Tesla and SpaceX is the primary bullish catalyst, in addition to the accelerated adoption of Robotaxi, strengthening EV demand, and AI-driven growth in its energy business. Tesla's energy business is reportedly nearly sold out of orders through 2027. Barclays emphasized that a potential SpaceX deal is central to its bullish thesis.
18:49
U.S. envoy Tom Barrack stated in an interview on Friday that the U.S. and Israel have differences on the issue of Syria, with Washington prioritizing an agreement with Damascus. Barrack noted that the U.S. favors the Damascus government controlling Syria's southern Sweida province, rather than Druze armed groups linked to Israel. Analysts believe Barrack's remarks send a clear message to Israel that the U.S. does not endorse Israel's support for Druze armed groups. Since Syrian President Bashar al-Assad stepped down in December 2024, the U.S. has gradually rebuilt relations with the new government in Damascus, while Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's view of the new Syrian government differs sharply from that of U.S. President Donald Trump. Israel had previously invaded Syria and threatened the Damascus government.
18:45
According to an analysis of holdings of approximately 7,900 high-net-worth Korean investors (with financial assets exceeding 3 billion KRW) commissioned by the *Seoul Economic Daily* to major brokerage firms, this group collectively net sold approximately 14.83 billion KRW in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix between October 1 and 20. Concurrently, the KODEX Semiconductor Leverage ETF became the largest net bought asset this month, with net purchases totaling 33.2 billion KRW.

Analysts point out that this structural shift reflects high-net-worth investors' cautious stance on the short-term volatility of the chip sector and a directional bet on a broader market rebound. The movement of funds from individual stocks to a leveraged ETF essentially trades higher volatility for the avoidance of individual stock risk.
18:44
According to Iranian television, Pakistan's Chief of Army Staff, Asim Munir, has arrived in Tehran to attend the inaugural Mecca Agreement conference. Discussions are reportedly focused on regional security and escalating Middle East tensions, though the full agenda remains unclear. This move is seen as a potentially significant diplomatic development amid rising geopolitical risks.
18:39
Zcash will undergo a major network upgrade called "Network Upgrade 7" (NU7) on November 5, which will reduce block times from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. This upgrade will also disable Sprout transactions, and users are advised to migrate funds from the Sprout pool to the Sapling pool before then. Additionally, NU7 introduces a network sustainability mechanism that recycles a portion of transaction fees into future block rewards and adds new shielding limits to protect wallets from spam attacks. Zebra 7.0.0 has been released to support this upgrade.
18:38
The XRP Ledger has seen a surge in payment activity over the past 24 hours, with transaction volume skyrocketing by 2,633.3% to approximately 137.7 million XRP.

Despite this significant increase in payment volume, it remains below its 30-day average of approximately 496 million XRP and its all-time high of around 7 billion XRP. Furthermore, this rebound in payment activity has not immediately translated into a price increase for XRP, which currently remains dominated by bearish momentum.
18:37
The California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) is reducing its holdings in major U.S. technology companies amid growing concerns about overvalued tech stocks and the sustainability of the artificial intelligence (AI) investment boom.

According to the Financial Times, CalPERS, which manages over $600 billion in assets, collectively cut its direct holdings in the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks (including Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, and Tesla) by 26% in the first half of this year. The fund is shifting towards private equity investments to diversify risk and reduce reliance on a few stock market leaders. Anton Orlich, CalPERS' Deputy Chief Investment Officer, stated that public market equity valuations are too high, and tech giants may underperform.

This adjustment also echoes previous warnings from Elon Musk, who noted that funding for companies lacking substantial revenue beyond AI data centers has largely dried up, and predicted consolidation among "new cloud" providers. In pre-market trading on Monday, shares of "new cloud" companies such as CoreWeave, Cipher Digital, and IREN all declined.
18:29
This week, Microsoft, Amazon, Google (Alphabet), and Oracle are scheduled to release their earnings reports. The market will closely monitor whether these hyperscale technology companies can translate AI capital expenditures into actual profits, alleviating ongoing concerns about AI financing costs. Current market sentiment is cautious, with defensive rotations accelerating. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index's outperformance relative to the market-cap-weighted index this month marks its sixth largest since 1990. Valuations in the semiconductor sector have fallen to approximately 17 times forward earnings, nearing historical lows.
18:28
Saudi Arabia has confirmed that the 2027 AFC Asian Cup will proceed as planned, opening in Riyadh on January 7, 2027, with the final on February 5, despite ongoing attacks and instability in the country and region. The Asian Football Confederation (AFC) announced the schedule on Monday, with the opening match featuring host Saudi Arabia against Palestine. This follows the Dakar Rally's decision to move its 2027 event out of Saudi Arabia due to regional conditions, and concerns previously raised by Japan Football Association officials regarding the safety of the Asian Cup.
18:28
Algeria's parliament has approved the deployment of troops to neighboring Niger, marking the country's first foreign military deployment in 50 years and a significant shift in its non-interventionist military doctrine. The move is reportedly aimed at protecting the oil facilities of Algeria's state-owned energy company, Sonatrach, in Niger.
18:21
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a critical communication challenge, as the market expects interest rates to remain unchanged this week but anticipates a potential hike in December. Chairman Warsh needs to explain the rationale behind pausing rate hikes amidst persistent inflation driven by energy prices and AI infrastructure demand. His message could impact U.S. government bond yields, the dollar, and technology stocks.
18:20
Asia Gulf Holdings, the parent company of Bahrain-licensed crypto platform SGB, has appointed Revolut Group Chairman Martin Gilbert and former Singaporean Minister Maliki Osman to its Global Advisory Board. Gilbert will advise on investment strategies and asset management in Asia and the Middle East, while Osman will focus on geopolitics and government relations.
18:19
Satellite images show an expanding oil spill off the coast of the United Arab Emirates, prompting authorities to restrict access to more beaches. The spilled oil is approaching the coast of Umm Al Quwain in the northern UAE. The UAE Ministry of Environment stated on Friday that efforts are underway to control the spill but did not specify the cause. Reuters cited analysts suggesting that the "Gem No 2" tanker, which was hit by an unidentified projectile last month, could be the source of the leak.
18:12
Ping An Bank of China released its Q3 2026 report, with revenue for the first three quarters reaching 103.1 billion yuan, a 2.4% year-on-year increase. Net profit was 39.186 billion yuan, up 2.2% year-on-year, marking three consecutive quarters of growth in both revenue and profit. As of the end of September, the bank's net interest margin (NIM) was 1.80%, up 1 basis point from the same period last year; the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.05%, flat with the end of last year. Additionally, in Q3, Ping An Bank launched China's first personal AI hashrate consumption debit card, the "AI Smart Computing Card," and a full-scenario AI credit card, the "Enjoy White AI Life Card."
18:05
Bybit announced that PREDICTUSDT will be listed on its Pre-Market perpetual contracts platform at 10:00 AM UTC on October 26. Bybit reminds that this announcement is solely a pre-market notification and does not guarantee that PREDICTUSDT will ultimately be listed on its derivatives platform. A separate official announcement will be issued if a decision is made to list it.
18:02
Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation Limited (HKMC) today announced its unaudited consolidated after-tax profit of HK$3 billion for the first half of 2026, a significant increase from HK$53.3 million in the first half of 2025. This substantial profit growth was primarily driven by a reversal of accounting losses in the reverse mortgage business due to a rebound in the property market during the first half of the year, narrowed accounting losses in the annuity business, and increased investment income from the expanded investment scale and higher returns of the Exchange Fund.
18:02
Israel will hold general elections on Tuesday, with war, security, the economy, and coalition formation being the main issues.

This election is the first for Israel since the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, and the subsequent joint war with the United States against Iran. The main issues focus on the war, national security, the economic situation, and mandatory military service.

According to László Csicsmann, a Middle East expert at Corvinus University, this vote is effectively a referendum on incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, as the Hamas attack has "changed Israeli society." He noted that Israel currently spends about 8% of its GDP on military expenditures, and the economic cost of the war is also a key concern for voters.

Farzan Sabet, a senior analyst at the Eurasia Group think tank, stated that both Netanyahu's right-wing Likud party and the centrist opposition led by former military chief Gadi Eisenkot are "quite hawkish" on security issues, and their policies on key areas such as Iran and Hezbollah in Lebanon may converge. However, if an anti-Netanyahu bloc forms a new government, it might "re-evaluate its strategy towards Tehran" before taking significant escalatory actions.

The outcome of this election could influence Israel's future direction regarding its military operations in Gaza, its policy towards Iran, and its relationship with the United States.
18:02
Al Jazeera reports that Israeli politicians are using the blockade of Hebron to garner more votes. The blockade, now in its fourth day, has severely impacted the daily lives of local Palestinians. Far-right politicians are leveraging this to show voters that, if elected, they will continue to implement policies that make life difficult for Palestinians.

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